Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Lazio vs Fiorentina

Lazio clash with Fiorentina at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 7 January.

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -161 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Lazio and Fiorentina will serve up a goalfest.

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Lazio were beaten 2-0 at Stadio Olimpico in their last game, being turned over at home to Napoli. Maurizio Sarri's team recorded just 35% possession and didn’t have a single shot on target.

Fiorentina have lost three straight road games. Their most recent appearance was a 1-0 home victory over Cremonese at Stadio Artemio Franchi. La Viola racked up eight shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, with a late winner coming from Moise Kean.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fiorentina have enjoyed three consecutive victories against Lazio. Their last clash saw Fiorentina leave Stadio Olimpico with a 2-1 win. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five Lazio victories, one draw and four Fiorentina wins.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Lazio	18	6	6	6	18	14	4	18:14	24
19	Fiorentina	18	2	6	10	18	28	-10	18:28	12

View Full Table

Lazio have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Le Aquile have averaged 51.8% possession, 489.5 passes and 4.3 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 3.2 corners from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Tijjani Noslin and Gustav Isaksen are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Matteo Guendouzi has 1. Danilo Cataldi, Toma Basic and Matteo Guendouzi are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Ivan Provedel managing 5 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, averaging 14.3 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Florence outfit average 56.4% possession, 447.7 passes, 5.2 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts.

The top scorers have been Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora on 3, with Albert Gudmundsson getting 2. Nicolo Fagioli has had 2 assists, with David de Gea notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Lazio predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ivan Provedel (GK), Manuel Lazzari, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini, Reda Belahyane, Danilo Cataldi, Toma Basic, Gustav Isaksen, Matteo Cancellieri, Mattia Zaccagni.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Nicolo Fagioli, Fabiano Parisi, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Lazio vs Fiorentina betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research tells us that a price of -161 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a worthwhile bet for this Serie A encounter. This wager has a big prospect of landing a payout according to the stats.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Serie A stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Lazio vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 12 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Fiorentina games.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 61.7% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds and are expecting a low-scoring affair, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, especially if you think that one goal or less will be scored in total.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -161 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lazio 1 - 0 Fiorentina

We’re going for Lazio at +525 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Albert Gudmundsson Over 0.5 Shots On Target +115

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has chalked up one or more shots on goal in three straight Serie A games. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the +115 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Albert Gudmundsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-213

Shots

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

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Matteo Cancellieri to Score +330

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio) has racked up two goals in his past five Serie A matches on home soil. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +330 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Matteo Cancellieri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-192

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Over 3.5 Corners -125

It’s been an average of 5.20 corners for Fiorentina in their past 10 matches, with Lazio conceding over 3.5 corners in the last two games. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Fiorentina Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -125 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lazio

Total

7.50 4.30 3.20

Home

9.40 5.70 3.70

Away

6.80 2.50 4.30

Fiorentina

Total

9.70 5.20 4.50

Home

9.10 4.80 4.30

Away

9.00 4.60 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-116

Lazio Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-116

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+600

2

+150

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Lazio vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Lazio are +145 for a Serie A victory, while Fiorentina are +200. The draw is trading at +205 should you think the game will end all square.

There are different betting angles when backing Lazio including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at +108 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Fiorentina.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -133.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Serie A match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+145

X

+205

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+106

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-270

12

-278

X2

-192

Draw No Bet

1

-147

2

+102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+108

2 Hcp +0.25

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-189

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-133

Valentín Castellanos is priced at +400 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +165 to find the net anytime.

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

First

+165

Anytime

+400

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+450

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Tijjani Noslin (Lazio)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Christian Kouamé (Fiorentina)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Elseid Hysaj (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Mario Gila (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+133

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-143

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-143

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-154

Tijjani Noslin (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-167

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-175

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-175

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-192

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-189

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-213

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-263

Christian Kouamé (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-313

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-1000

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1000

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-1250

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1250

Mario Gila (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1667

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Lazio haven’t tasted victory at Stadio Olimpico in the previous three matches. Maurizio Sarri's team have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Fiorentina haven’t tasted victory in the previous nine away matches. La Viola have clocked up five losses, four draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Fiorentina were 2-1 victors against Lazio last time out at Stadio Olimpico. The previous 6 H2H games at Stadio Olimpico have involved four Lazio wins, a single draw and one Fiorentina victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Lazio Home Stats		4-3-3	2.10	1.30	0.80	2	8	2	8
Fiorentina Away Stats		1-4-5	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Lazio vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Lazio vs Fiorentina team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Serie A along with up-to-date injury news.

Lazio Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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