Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Lazio vs Fiorentina

Lazio clash with Fiorentina at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 7 January.

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -161 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Lazio and Fiorentina will serve up a goalfest.

Lazio were beaten 2-0 at Stadio Olimpico in their last game, being turned over at home to Napoli. Maurizio Sarri's team recorded just 35% possession and didn’t have a single shot on target.

Fiorentina have lost three straight road games. Their most recent appearance was a 1-0 home victory over Cremonese at Stadio Artemio Franchi. La Viola racked up eight shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, with a late winner coming from Moise Kean.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fiorentina have enjoyed three consecutive victories against Lazio. Their last clash saw Fiorentina leave Stadio Olimpico with a 2-1 win. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five Lazio victories, one draw and four Fiorentina wins.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26	25	1	26:25	34
18	Fiorentina	25	4	9	12	29	39	-10	29:39	21

View Full Table

Lazio have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Le Aquile have averaged 51.8% possession, 489.5 passes and 4.3 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 3.2 corners from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Tijjani Noslin and Gustav Isaksen are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Matteo Guendouzi has 1. Danilo Cataldi, Toma Basic and Matteo Guendouzi are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Ivan Provedel managing 5 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, averaging 14.3 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Florence outfit average 56.4% possession, 447.7 passes, 5.2 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts.

The top scorers have been Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora on 3, with Albert Gudmundsson getting 2. Nicolo Fagioli has had 2 assists, with David de Gea notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lazio confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ivan Provedel (GK), Manuel Lazzari, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini, Matteo Guendouzi, Danilo Cataldi, Toma Basic, Gustav Isaksen, Matteo Cancellieri, Mattia Zaccagni.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.

Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Lazio vs Fiorentina betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research tells us that a price of -161 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a worthwhile bet for this Serie A encounter. This wager has a big prospect of landing a payout according to the stats.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Serie A stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Lazio vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 12 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Fiorentina games.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 61.7% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds and are expecting a low-scoring affair, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, especially if you think that one goal or less will be scored in total.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -161 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 5, 21:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lazio 1 - 0 Fiorentina

We’re going for Lazio at +550 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Albert Gudmundsson Over 0.5 Shots On Target +115

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has chalked up one or more shots on goal in three straight Serie A games. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the +115 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Albert Gudmundsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-208

Shots

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

---

Matteo Cancellieri to Score +330

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio) has racked up two goals in his past five Serie A matches on home soil. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +330 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Matteo Cancellieri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-175

Shots

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Over 3.5 Corners -125

It’s been an average of 5.20 corners for Fiorentina in their past 10 matches, with Lazio conceding over 3.5 corners in the last two games. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Fiorentina Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -125 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lazio

Total

7.50 4.30 3.20

Home

9.40 5.70 3.70

Away

6.80 2.50 4.30

Fiorentina

Total

9.70 5.20 4.50

Home

9.10 4.80 4.30

Away

9.00 4.60 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-108

Lazio Corners

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-106

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-152

X

+600

2

+160

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lazio vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Lazio are +135 for a Serie A victory, while Fiorentina are +220. The draw is trading at +210 should you think the game will end all square.

There are different betting angles when backing Lazio including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -100 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Fiorentina.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Serie A match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+210

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+108

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-286

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-164

2

+114

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-100

2 Hcp +0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-125

Valentín Castellanos is priced at +400 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +165 to find the net anytime.

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

First

+165

Anytime

+400

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+450

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Tijjani Noslin (Lazio)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Christian Kouamé (Fiorentina)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Elseid Hysaj (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Mario Gila (Lazio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Reda Belahyane (Lazio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+133

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-139

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-143

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-154

Tijjani Noslin (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-167

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-172

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-175

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-175

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-175

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-208

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-263

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-313

Christian Kouamé (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-313

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-556

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-909

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1111

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1111

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1000

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1250

Mario Gila (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1429

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1667

Reda Belahyane (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Mario Gila (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Lazio haven’t tasted victory at Stadio Olimpico in the previous three matches. Maurizio Sarri's team have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Fiorentina haven’t tasted victory in the previous nine away matches. La Viola have clocked up five losses, four draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Fiorentina were 2-1 victors against Lazio last time out at Stadio Olimpico. The previous 6 H2H games at Stadio Olimpico have involved four Lazio wins, a single draw and one Fiorentina victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Lazio Home Stats		4-3-3	2.10	1.30	0.80	2	8	2	8
Fiorentina Away Stats		1-4-5	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Lazio vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Lazio vs Fiorentina team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Serie A along with up-to-date injury news.

Lazio Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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