Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2025
Serie A Betting Preview: Lecce vs AC Milan
Lecce host AC Milan in this Italian Serie A meeting at Stadio Via del Mare, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 29 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Milan Should Have the Edge
The outstanding wager can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Milan are currently trading at -159. We believe the visitors will get the better of Lecce and this looks like a value pick.
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Milan 3-2 to the Good in Previous H2H
Lecce drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Genoa at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Eusebio Di Francesco's men were dominated in possession with 41% and didn’t have a single shot on target.
AC Milan were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 2-1 at home to Cremonese at San Siro. I Rossoneri racked up six shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, with Strahinja Pavlovic on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Milan have three successive wins against Lecce. In their last clash, Milan travelled to Stadio Via del Mare and landed a 3-2 victory. The past 8 H2H matches have included five Milan wins along with three draws.
Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | ![]() |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
15 | ![]() |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Lecce have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. The Apulia club have averaged 40.2% possession, 294.9 passes and 5.5 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 6.0 corners.
Federico Baschirotto is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Nikola Krstovic and Jesper Karlsson each have 1. Nikola Krstovic and Thorir Helgason have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Wladimiro Falcone keeping 3 clean sheets.
AC Milan – Last 10 League GamesMilan have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 14.8 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. I Rossoneri average 52.0% possession, 477.2 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.
Santiago Gimenez has scored 3 goals, followed by Strahinja Pavlovic, Joao Felix, Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao on 2. Christian Pulisic has been chief assist maker on 3, with Mike Maignan recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Lecce predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Danilo Veiga, Tiago Gabriel, Kialonda Gaspar, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha, Balthazar Pierret, Ylber Ramadani, Tete Morente, Francesco Camarda.
AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modric, Youssouf Fofana, Pervis Estupiñán, Christian Pulisic, Santiago Giménez.
Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Lecce vs AC Milan, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We can’t resist the chance to back Milan as we think they’re likely to triumph in this Serie A clash. A victory of sorts can be landed, with betting odds of -159 now available.
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Serie A experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
Key Lecce vs AC Milan league stats:
Milan to Win Probability
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 61.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
It’s recommended to look at different angles. If you’re looking for a bigger price about Milan to win and a specific goals total to be scored, then the Match Result & Total market could be the way to go.
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Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Milan is available at odds of +600. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Tete Morente (Lecce) has fired an average of 2.75 shots in his past four Serie A home matches. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the -102 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.


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Christian Pulisic (Milan) has netted three goals in his past nine Serie A games on the road. There are odds of +225 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.


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Corners Prediction
Lecce have averaged 6.60 corners in the past 10 home matches, with the corner count against Milan going over 3.5 in their previous four away games. Lecce should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -161 are on offer.






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Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Milan on the Full-Time Result, two or less goals combined with Tete Morente (Lecce) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Lecce vs AC Milan Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Milan Victory
AC Milan are forecasted to have a 61% chance of triumphing in this Serie A encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -156. Lecce are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +425.
If Milan at -0.75 beat Lecce by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -118.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -137.
The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Serie A games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.







Santiago Giménez is the First Goalscorer Favourite
There is +170 available that Santiago Giménez finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +380.













Past Ten Lecce Home Games Have Seen Six Defeats
Lecce have managed six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.40 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Milan have managed five victories and five losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Milan enjoyed a 3-2 winning scoreline when last meeting Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare. There have been two draws in the past 4 H2H meetings at Stadio Via del Mare along with two Milan wins.
Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
1-3-6 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 1.40 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | |
![]() |
5-0-5 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 08/03 2025 Lecce 2 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 27/09 2024 AC Milan 3 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 06/04 2024 AC Milan 3 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 11/11 2023 Lecce 2 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 23/04 2023 AC Milan 2 Lecce 0
- Serie A: 14/01 2023 Lecce 2 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 22/06 2020 Lecce 1 AC Milan 4
- Serie A: 20/10 2019 AC Milan 2 Lecce 2


- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 40.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Lecce vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Lecce vs Milan without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Lecce Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Lecce Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Lecce Lineups
Previous AC Milan Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
2 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
4 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
5 | Cremonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
6 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
7 | Atalanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
8 | Cagliari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
10 | Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
11 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
12 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
13 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
14 | Lecce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
15 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
16 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
17 | Lazio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
19 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
20 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
2 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
4 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
5 | Atalanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
6 | Cagliari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
7 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
8 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
9 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Hellas Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
20 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |











