US Lecce
Football Italy - Serie A Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare Sun 20 Oct 09:00
ACF Fiorentina
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Under 2.5 the Most Likely Outcome

We can make an argument for betting Under 2.5 when it comes to Total Goals. The stats imply that Lecce and Fiorentina could fall short of this total and the price of -125 looks a value one.

Lecce Won When They Last Played Fiorentina

Lecce have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udinese recently beat them 1-0. I Salentini managed three shots on target and had 44% possession.

Fiorentina claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 victory occurred against AC Milan at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. La Viola recorded 40% possession and had three shots on goal, while Yacine Adli and Albert Gudmundsson found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Lecce beat Fiorentina in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Stadio Via del Mare. The previous 6 games between these teams have seen two draws, two Lecce wins and two victories for Fiorentina.

Serie A G W D L GF GA GD GD P
12 Fiorentina logo Fiorentina 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 1:1 2
17 Lecce logo Lecce 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 0:2 1
View Full Table
Lecce – Last 10 League Games

Lecce have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Luca Gotti's men have averaged 43.4% possession, 376.2 passes and 4.5 corners per match, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.7 corners from 4.9 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts.

Nikola Krstovic has managed 2 goals, while Patrick Dorgu has 1. Ylber Ramadani and Kialonda Gaspar are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Wladimiro Falcone managing 3 clean sheets.

Fiorentina – Last 10 League Games

Fiorentina have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.7 goals from 13.5 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. The Florence side average 55.3% possession, 410.2 passes, 4.6 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Albert Gudmundsson is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Moise Kean, Cristiano Biraghi, Andrea Belotti and Nicolas Gonzalez have 2. Robin Gosens, Cristiano Biraghi and Gaetano Castrovilli have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Pietro Terracciano has 1 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Lecce confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Frederic Guilbert, Kialonda Gaspar, Federico Baschirotto, Antonino Gallo, Remi Oudin, Ylber Ramadani, Balthazar Pierret, Patrick Dorgu, Ante Rebic, Nikola Krstovic.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): David De Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Danilo Cataldi, Yacine Adli, Andrea Colpani, Albert Gudmundsson, Edoardo Bove, Moise Kean.

Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Our research tells us that odds of -125 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a solid wager for this Serie A clash. This bet has a strong chance of landing a return according to the numbers.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert football recommendations. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Lecce vs Fiorentina league stats:

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lecce games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lecce games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 16 Fiorentina games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Fiorentina games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you are looking for bigger odds, then Under 1.5 Goals is a viable alternative. This bet will reward backers if there’s a goalless draw or one of the teams lands a victory by a single goal.

Our Match Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 13:37, 18 October 2024

Correct Score Prediction

Lecce Lecce logo 0 - 1 Fiorentina logo Fiorentina

Fiorentina are available to back at +600 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Lecce vs Fiorentina Odds

With the bookies giving them a 42% probability of winning, Fiorentina might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their +138 price of winning this Serie A clash. Lecce are the outsiders at +210 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

If you fancy Lecce but want money back if this Serie A match is a draw, then you can get +118. You can bet on Fiorentina at -147 on the Draw No Bet market.

Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
Lecce logo Lecce League Stats
Fiorentina logo Fiorentina League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Lecce vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Lecce vs Fiorentina team news.

The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

30 Wladimiro Falcone
12 Frederic Guilbert 4 Kialonda Gaspar 6 Federico Baschirotto 25 Antonino Gallo
10 Remi Oudin 20 Ylber Ramadani 75 Balthazar Pierret 13 Patrick Dorgu
3 Ante Rebic 9 Nikola Krstovic
43 David De Gea
2 Dodo 15 Pietro Comuzzo 6 Luca Ranieri 21 Robin Gosens
32 Danilo Cataldi 29 Yacine Adli
23 Andrea Colpani 10 Albert Gudmundsson 4 Edoardo Bove
20 Moise Kean

Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Lecce Substitutes

  • 1Christian Fruechtl
  • 2Andy Pelmard
  • 7Tete Morente
  • 8Hamza Rafia
  • 11Nicola Sansone
  • 19Gaby Jean
  • 22Lameck Banda
  • 27Ed McJannett
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 32Jasper Samooja
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 77Mohamed Kaba
  • 98Alexandru Borbei

Fiorentina Substitutes

  • 1Pietro Terracciano
  • 3Cristiano Biraghi
  • 7Riccardo Sottil
  • 9Lucas Beltran
  • 11Jonathan Ikone
  • 22Matias Moreno
  • 24Amir Richardson
  • 28L. Martinez Quarta
  • 30Tommaso Martinelli
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 65Fabiano Parisi
  • 99Christian Kouame

Previous Lecce Lineups

05 Oct Serie A
Udinese 1-0 Lecce
27 Sep Serie A
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
24 Sep Coppa Italia
Lecce 0-2 Sassuolo
21 Sep Serie A
Lecce 2-2 Parma
15 Sep Serie A
Torino 0-0 Lecce
31 Aug Serie A
Lecce 1-0 Cagliari

Previous Fiorentina Lineups

06 Oct Serie A
Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
03 Oct Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2-0 TNS
29 Sep Serie A
Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
22 Sep Serie A
Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
15 Sep Serie A
Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
01 Sep Serie A
Fiorentina 2-2 Monza

Injuries & Suspensions

Lecce Injury Table
Type Name Info
Tete Morente Yellow cards
Hamza Rafia Illness
Balthazar Pierret Illness
Filip Marchwinski Cruciate ligame
Gaby Jean Cruciate ligame
Fiorentina Injury Table
Type Name Info
Albert Gudmundsson Ankle
Nicolas Valentini Hamstring
Antonin Barak Other
Christian Kouame Cruciate ligame
Italy FlagSerie A Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
4 Roma 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
5 Udinese 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Inter Milan 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
7 Lazio 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Como 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
10 Bologna 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Atalanta 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Fiorentina 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Pisa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Genoa 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 Parma 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Lecce 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
18 Hellas Verona 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
19 Torino 2 0 1 1 0:5 1
20 Sassuolo 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Inter Milan 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
2 Lazio 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Juventus 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Como 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 Napoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Roma 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Bologna 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Udinese 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Atalanta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Parma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Torino 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Genoa 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Hellas Verona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Lecce 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0