Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Oct 2024


Under 2.5 the Most Likely Outcome
We can make an argument for betting Under 2.5 when it comes to Total Goals. The stats imply that Lecce and Fiorentina could fall short of this total and the price of -125 looks a value one.
Lecce Won When They Last Played Fiorentina
Lecce have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udinese recently beat them 1-0. I Salentini managed three shots on target and had 44% possession.
Fiorentina claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 victory occurred against AC Milan at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. La Viola recorded 40% possession and had three shots on goal, while Yacine Adli and Albert Gudmundsson found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Lecce beat Fiorentina in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Stadio Via del Mare. The previous 6 games between these teams have seen two draws, two Lecce wins and two victories for Fiorentina.
Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | ![]() |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
17 | ![]() |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0:2 | 1 |
Lecce have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Luca Gotti's men have averaged 43.4% possession, 376.2 passes and 4.5 corners per match, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.7 corners from 4.9 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts.
Nikola Krstovic has managed 2 goals, while Patrick Dorgu has 1. Ylber Ramadani and Kialonda Gaspar are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Wladimiro Falcone managing 3 clean sheets.
Fiorentina – Last 10 League GamesFiorentina have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.7 goals from 13.5 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. The Florence side average 55.3% possession, 410.2 passes, 4.6 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Albert Gudmundsson is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Moise Kean, Cristiano Biraghi, Andrea Belotti and Nicolas Gonzalez have 2. Robin Gosens, Cristiano Biraghi and Gaetano Castrovilli have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Pietro Terracciano has 1 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Lecce confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Frederic Guilbert, Kialonda Gaspar, Federico Baschirotto, Antonino Gallo, Remi Oudin, Ylber Ramadani, Balthazar Pierret, Patrick Dorgu, Ante Rebic, Nikola Krstovic.
Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): David De Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Danilo Cataldi, Yacine Adli, Andrea Colpani, Albert Gudmundsson, Edoardo Bove, Moise Kean.
Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Our research tells us that odds of -125 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a solid wager for this Serie A clash. This bet has a strong chance of landing a return according to the numbers.
It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert football recommendations. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
Key Lecce vs Fiorentina league stats:
Under 2.5 Probability
According to the odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then Under 1.5 Goals is a viable alternative. This bet will reward backers if there’s a goalless draw or one of the teams lands a victory by a single goal.

Correct Score Prediction
Fiorentina are available to back at +600 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Lecce vs Fiorentina Odds
With the bookies giving them a 42% probability of winning, Fiorentina might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their +138 price of winning this Serie A clash. Lecce are the outsiders at +210 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.
If you fancy Lecce but want money back if this Serie A match is a draw, then you can get +118. You can bet on Fiorentina at -147 on the Draw No Bet market.









- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Lecce this season are Nikola Krstovic (2), Patrick Dorgu (1)
- Top Assistors for Lecce this season are Kialonda Gaspar (1), Ylber Ramadani (1)
Lecce vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Lecce vs Fiorentina team news.
The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lecce Substitutes
- 1Christian Fruechtl
- 2Andy Pelmard
- 7Tete Morente
- 8Hamza Rafia
- 11Nicola Sansone
- 19Gaby Jean
- 22Lameck Banda
- 27Ed McJannett
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 32Jasper Samooja
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 77Mohamed Kaba
- 98Alexandru Borbei
Fiorentina Substitutes
- 1Pietro Terracciano
- 3Cristiano Biraghi
- 7Riccardo Sottil
- 9Lucas Beltran
- 11Jonathan Ikone
- 22Matias Moreno
- 24Amir Richardson
- 28L. Martinez Quarta
- 30Tommaso Martinelli
- 33Michael Kayode
- 65Fabiano Parisi
- 99Christian Kouame
Previous Lecce Lineups
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
2 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
3 | Cremonese | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
4 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
5 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
6 | Inter Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 3 |
7 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
8 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
9 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
10 | Bologna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
11 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
12 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
13 | Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
14 | Pisa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
15 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
17 | Lecce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
18 | Hellas Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
20 | Sassuolo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 3 |
2 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
3 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
4 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
5 | Cremonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
6 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
7 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
8 | Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
9 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
10 | Atalanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
11 | Cagliari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
12 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
13 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
14 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
15 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Hellas Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
18 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
19 | Lecce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
20 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |

















