Lech Poznan vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Dec 2025
Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Lech Poznan vs Mainz
Polish Ekstraklasa side Lech Poznan host German Bundesliga team Mainz at Stadion Poznan, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 11 December.
The stats suggest that we’ll see both teams finding the net, with Lech Poznan and Mainz capable of scoring. We find the odds of -164 attractive when it comes to the BTTS Yes option.
Agree with our BTTS Yes prediction? Unlock the most recent BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive site review before deciding where to put your money.
Lech Poznan played Cracovia away in their last game. It was a 2-2 Ekstraklasa draw at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium. The Railwaymen enjoyed just 38% possession and had six shots on target, with Mikael Ishak and Ali Gholizadeh scoring one goal apiece.
Mainz 05 were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 1-0 at home to Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga at MEWA Arena. Benjamin Hoffmann's side had two shots on goal and recorded 55% possession.
In the last round of the Europa Conference League, Lech won 2-0 at home to Lausanne-Sport, while Mainz lost 1-0 away to Universitatea Craiova.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mainz 05 |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 11 | Lech |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 12:8 | 10 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Lech have had 53.7% possession and 6.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.
Mikael Ishak is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Yannick Agnero, Pablo Rodriguez and Luis Palma each have 2. Filip Jagiello, Mikael Ishak and Luis Palma are the leading assists makers with 2.
Mainz have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 8.0 attempts, 2.1 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The Rhineland-Palatinate outfit average 46.2% possession, 4.5 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts.
Jae-Sung Lee and Nadiem Amiri have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Danny da Costa on 1. Jae-Sung Lee, Kaishu Sano and Benedict Hollerbach have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Lech Poznan confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bartosz Mrozek (GK), Joel Pereira, Wojciech Monka, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Michal Gurgul, Antoni Kozubal, Filip Jagiello, Ali Gholizadeh, Pablo Rodriguez, Luis Palma, Mikael Ishak.
Mainz confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Jae-Sung Lee, Kaishu Sano, Nikolas Veratschnig, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper, Benedict Hollerbach.
Lech Poznan vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips
Take in the full Lech Poznan vs Mainz betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
After careful consideration, we’re going to place a BTTS Yes bet on the basis that -164 looks like great value. We anticipate that the sides can both find the net in this Europa Conference League match.
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Europa Conference League data.
Key Lech Poznan vs Mainz Europa Conference League & league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 62.1% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Should you want to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes wager, then you can combine this with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. Predict one of the teams to win or even the draw and boost your price in the process.
Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +460 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Player Prop Picks
Luis Palma (Lech) has netted four goals in his past nine home matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +340 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past 10 Lech matches have involved them having an average of 6.30 corners, with Mainz conceding over 4.5 corners in their last two games. We’re content to wager the -116 for Lech to cover the Team Corners line as this looks appealing.
Lech
Mainz
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a bet builder that has Yes on the BTTS market, the match to end all square together with Lech Over 4.5 corners.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Lech Poznan vs Mainz Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have chalked up the draw at +255 on the 1x2 betting, with Mainz 05 available to bet at odds of +138. Lech Poznan are +175 to claim victory in this Europa Conference League encounter.
There are different ways to bet on Mainz winning and that includes the -100 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Lech, you get half stakes refunded.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -182 on the Both Teams to Score market.
Hundreds of markets for every Europa Conference League game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
Those interested in favourite Mikael Ishak to find the net first are able to get +400. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +160.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Lech Poznan Stats
Mainz Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
Lech Poznan vs Mainz Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Lech vs Mainz team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa Conference League along with up-to-date injury news.
Lech Poznan Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Lech Poznan Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Lech Poznan Substitutes
- 4Joao Moutinho
- 6Timothy Noor Ouma
- 7Yannick Agnero
- 14Leo Bengtsson
- 19B. Solhaug Fiabema
- 20Robert Gumny
- 21Bartlomiej Baranski
- 31Krzysztof Bakowski
- 33Mateusz Pruchniewski
- 54Kamil Jakobczyk
- 56Kornel Lisman
- 88Taofeek Ismaheel
Mainz 05 Substitutes
- 1Lasse Riess
- 5Maxim Leitsch
- 9Arnaud Nordin
- 11Armindo Sieb
- 14William Boeving
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 16Stefan Bell
- 24Sota Kawasaki
- 35Louis Babatz
- 36Fabio Moreno Fell
- 37Ben Bobzien
- 48Kacper Potulski
Previous Lech Poznan Lineups
Previous Mainz Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Lech Poznan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Niels Frederiksen
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sh. Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | KF Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski Mostar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | U Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kiev | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rakow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Zrinjski Mostar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 12 | NK Celje | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 13 | KF Shkendija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 20 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 22 | Breidablik | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 23 | KuPS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 24 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Sh. Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 26 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 27 | U Craiova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 28 | Drita | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 29 | Legia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 30 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 33 | Hacken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 34 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 35 | Shelbourne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Gornik | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 30 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29:21 | 29 |
| 4 | Rakow | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 29 |
| 5 | Zaglebie | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31:24 | 28 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 7 | Radomiak | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 26 |
| 8 | Lech | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 29:26 | 26 |
| 9 | Korona | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Pogon | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Motor | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23:28 | 21 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | 21 |
| 13 | Lechia | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 37:37 | 20 |
| 14 | Piast | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 20 |
| 15 | Widzew | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:28 | 20 |
| 16 | Katowice | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 17 | Legia | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 18 | T. Nieciecza | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:35 | 19 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Radomiak | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Gornik | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Lechia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Pogon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Cracovia | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Korona | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Legia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 13 | Lech | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Katowice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Motor | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 16 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Piast | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 18 | T. Nieciecza | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 72:16 | 50 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 38:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 40:22 | 39 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 37:25 | 36 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36:26 | 36 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 35:25 | 32 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 31:32 | 27 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 39:42 | 27 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:30 | 24 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:32 | 20 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28:41 | 19 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | 19 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21:37 | 18 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | 15 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17:32 | 14 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:42 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 40:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:6 | 23 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:22 | 9 |
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