Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds clash with Aston Villa at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 23 November.

We think the odds of -152 are really attractive when it comes to betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. It’s anticipated that Leeds and Aston Villa could play out a low-scoring contest.

Think goals will be hard to come by? Snag the BetMGM promo code and give our betting review a look before locking in your bet.

Leeds United have been defeated in back-to-back Premier League games. On the road at City Ground, Nottingham Forest recently beat them 3-1. The Whites had most of the ball boasting 54% possession and three shots on target, with Lukas Nmecha registering the goal.

Aston Villa secured a 4-0 home win over Bournemouth at Villa Park in their previous game. Unai Emery's team had 52% possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Emiliano Buendia, Amadou Onana, Ross Barkley and Donyell Malen were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa have avoided defeat against Leeds in the past five meetings. Their last encounter saw Villa make home advantage count at Villa Park, winning 2-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings have ended in three Villa victories, three draws and one Leeds win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	20	13	3	4	33	24	9	33:24	42
16	Leeds	20	5	7	8	26	33	-7	26:33	22

View Full Table

Leeds have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Daniel Farke's side have averaged 48.5% possession, 415.2 passes and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 2.0 goals and 3.4 corners from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.

Top scorers are Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor on 2 goals, while Lukas Nmecha has racked up 1. Sean Longstaff is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has kept one clean sheet.

Villa have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 11.1 attempts, 3.6 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Birmingham club average 55.3% possession, 442.0 passes, 5.6 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.

Emiliano Buendia and Donyell Malen have scored 3 goals, followed by Matty Cash with 2. Lucas Digne has been the top assist maker on 3, with Emiliano Martinez notching 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Lucas Perri (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson, Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach, Noah Okafor, Lukas Nmecha.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Leeds vs Aston Villa betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We don’t think the teams will combine to score three or more in this Premier League clash. Therefore, we’ll wager on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently available at odds of -152.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Premier League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Leeds vs Aston Villa league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Villa games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Villa games on the road.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to place an Under 2.5 Goals bet at larger odds, then there’s the chance to combine this selection with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager is a popular option.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 0 - 1 Aston Villa

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves Aston Villa winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ollie Watkins Under 0.5 Shots On Target +110

Ollie Watkins (Villa) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in six straight Premier League away games. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of +110 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+163

First

+360

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Shots

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Emiliano Buendía To Score +425

Emiliano Buendía (Villa) can be wagered at +425 to find the net. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Emiliano Buendía Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-263

Shots

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Aston Villa To Have Most Corners +106

It’s been an average of 5.60 Aston Villa corners in the past 10 matches, while the last 10 Leeds games have seen them average 4.00. Villa should be capable of winning this Corner Match Bet and the odds of +106 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

7.40 4.00 3.40

Home

8.70 5.70 3.00

Away

6.90 4.20 2.70

Aston Villa

Total

10.90 5.60 5.30

Home

10.60 5.70 4.90

Away

10.00 4.50 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-143

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-133

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+650

2

+102

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Leeds vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites are 44% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Aston Villa being priced at +125 to come away with a victory in this Premier League encounter. The +225 means that Leeds United are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

A win for Villa would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -109 that they overcome Leeds going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -127 on the BTTS market.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Premier League games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+230

2

+125

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+117

2

+180

Double Chance

1X

-159

12

-303

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+125

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-115

2 Hcp -0.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-105

Those interested in Ollie Watkins to find the net anytime are able to get +163. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +360.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+163

Anytime

+360

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+230

Anytime

+500

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Evann Guessand (Villa)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+102

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-143

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-141

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-227

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-263

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-345

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-526

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-714

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+163

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Leeds have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Villa have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

It was a 0-0 draw when Leeds last faced Villa at Elland Road. The past 4 H2H meetings at Elland Road have included two Villa wins along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		6-3-1	3.00	2.20	0.80	7	3	5	5
Aston Villa Away Stats		4-2-4	2.00	1.10	0.90	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Leeds vs Villa team news before wagering. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Leeds United Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

Top Football Pages