Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds clash with Aston Villa at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 23 November.

We think the odds of -152 are really attractive when it comes to betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. It’s anticipated that Leeds and Aston Villa could play out a low-scoring contest.

Think goals will be hard to come by? Snag the BetMGM promo code and give our betting review a look before locking in your bet.

Leeds United have been defeated in back-to-back Premier League games. On the road at City Ground, Nottingham Forest recently beat them 3-1. The Whites had most of the ball boasting 54% possession and three shots on target, with Lukas Nmecha registering the goal.

Aston Villa secured a 4-0 home win over Bournemouth at Villa Park in their previous game. Unai Emery's team had 52% possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Emiliano Buendia, Amadou Onana, Ross Barkley and Donyell Malen were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa have avoided defeat against Leeds in the past five meetings. Their last encounter saw Villa make home advantage count at Villa Park, winning 2-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings have ended in three Villa victories, three draws and one Leeds win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Aston Villa	11	5	3	3	13	10	3	13:10	18
16	Leeds	11	3	2	6	10	20	-10	10:20	11

View Full Table

Leeds have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Daniel Farke's side have averaged 48.5% possession, 415.2 passes and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 2.0 goals and 3.4 corners from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.

Top scorers are Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor on 2 goals, while Lukas Nmecha has racked up 1. Sean Longstaff is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has kept one clean sheet.

Villa have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 11.1 attempts, 3.6 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Birmingham club average 55.3% possession, 442.0 passes, 5.6 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.

Emiliano Buendia and Donyell Malen have scored 3 goals, followed by Matty Cash with 2. Lucas Digne has been the top assist maker on 3, with Emiliano Martinez notching 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Leeds predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Lucas Perri (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson, Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach, Noah Okafor, Lukas Nmecha.

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Leeds vs Aston Villa betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We don’t think the teams will combine to score three or more in this Premier League clash. Therefore, we’ll wager on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently available at odds of -152.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Premier League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Leeds vs Aston Villa league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Villa games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Villa games on the road.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to place an Under 2.5 Goals bet at larger odds, then there’s the chance to combine this selection with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager is a popular option.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 0 - 1 Aston Villa

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves Aston Villa winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ollie Watkins Under 0.5 Shots On Target +110

Ollie Watkins (Villa) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in six straight Premier League away games. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of +110 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

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Emiliano Buendía To Score +425

Emiliano Buendía (Villa) can be wagered at +425 to find the net. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Emiliano Buendía Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+425

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Shots

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Aston Villa To Have Most Corners +106

It’s been an average of 5.60 Aston Villa corners in the past 10 matches, while the last 10 Leeds games have seen them average 4.00. Villa should be capable of winning this Corner Match Bet and the odds of +106 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

7.40 4.00 3.40

Home

8.70 5.70 3.00

Away

6.90 4.20 2.70

Aston Villa

Total

10.90 5.60 5.30

Home

10.60 5.70 4.90

Away

10.00 4.50 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-112

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-102

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-123

Most Corners

1

-108

X

+650

2

+118

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Leeds vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Aston Villa are +148 for a Premier League victory, while Leeds United are +195. The draw is trading at +225 should you think the game will end all square.

A win for Villa would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get +108 that they overcome Leeds going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -116 and No at -114.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Premier League games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+195

X

+225

2

+148

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+115

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-189

12

-294

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+104

2

-141

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-135

2 Hcp -0.25

+108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-114

Those interested in Ollie Watkins to find the net anytime are able to get +180. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +400.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+180

Anytime

+400

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+220

Anytime

+450

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Evann Guessand (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+104

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-161

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-164

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-185

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-189

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-313

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-526

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Leeds have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Villa have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

It was a 0-0 draw when Leeds last faced Villa at Elland Road. The past 4 H2H meetings at Elland Road have included two Villa wins along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		6-3-1	3.00	2.20	0.80	7	3	5	5
Aston Villa Away Stats		4-2-4	2.00	1.10	0.90	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Leeds vs Villa team news before wagering. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Leeds United Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

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