Leeds vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Sep 2024

Strong Case for Clarets to Cover the Line

Burnley +0.75 at -105 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible plan of attack, with our stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0 when they clash with Leeds. We’re expecting defeat to be avoided.

Teams’ Last Battle Saw 3-1 Leeds Victory

Leeds United last game was a 2-0 home win. This triumph over Hull City at Elland Road made it back-to-back victories. The Whites recorded 52% possession and managed five shots on target, with Mateo Joseph and Joel Piroe scoring one goal each.

Burnley drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Turf Moor ended 1-1 against Blackburn Rovers. Scott Parker's team enjoyed a mind-boggling 77% of possession and had three shots on goal, with Lyle Foster finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 3-1 win for Leeds at Elland Road when they last played Burnley. Looking at the past 4 H2H meetings, there has been one draw. Leeds have won three games and Burnley zero.

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Leeds have had 55.7% possession and 5.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 6.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Top goalscorers Crysencio Summerville and Joel Piroe have found the net 3 times, with Brenden Aaronson scoring 2. Leading assistor is Junior Firpo with 4, while goalie Illan Meslier has recorded 1 clean sheets.

Burnley have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. The Clarets average 53.3% possession, 3.8 corners in their favour and 5.8 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 15.1 attempts and 6.8 shots on goal.

Josh Brownhill is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Lyle Foster, Zeki Amdouni, Johann Berg Gudmundsson and Dara O'Shea have 2. Look no further than Vitinho for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Illan Meslier (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Junior Firpo, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Wilfried Gnonto, Brenden Aaronson, Manor Solomon, Mateo Joseph.

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Lucas Pires, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Josh Laurent, Josh Brownhill, Luca Koleosho, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Take Burnley +0.75 at -105 for this Championship encounter. Dividing stakes between +0.5 and +1.0 could be the best plan and we think a price of 2.0 is value when it comes to the visitors.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Leeds vs Burnley league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Burnley in 6 of their last 7 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Burnley in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 3 of their last 5 games.

Burnley +0.75 Probability

According to the bookies, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Want to back Burnley to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.

Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 2 - 2 Burnley

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +1300 and it involves the game ending in a 2-2 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Leeds vs Burnley Odds

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+280

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+128

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-417

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-106

2 Hcp +0.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-105

Leeds vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Leeds vs Burnley team news.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Championship squads.

Leeds United Team Page Burnley Team Page