Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Dec 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Chelsea
Leeds welcome Chelsea to Elland Road, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Wednesday 3 December.
Chelsea are capable of securing the spoils when it comes to Full-Time Result wagering and we’ll back the Blues with optimism against Leeds. The odds of -130 are really appealing when it comes to this pick.
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Leeds United have lost their last four Premier League games. Away at Etihad Stadium, they recently suffered a 3-2 defeat against Manchester City. The Whites recorded just 38% possession and had four shots on target, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha each scoring one goal.
Chelsea were held to a 1-1 draw in their previous match, a London derby at Stamford Bridge against Arsenal. Chelsea midfielder Moisés Caicedo was sent off in the 38th minute, yet the Blues earned a point against the league leaders despite being a man down for much of the match. Enzo Maresca's team had 38% possession and recorded four shots on goal, while Trevoh Chalobah was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Chelsea have beaten Leeds 3-2 and 1-0 in their last two encounters, with both being home clashes played at Stamford Bridge. The previous 7 H2H games have involved five Chelsea triumphs, one Leeds win and one draw.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea |
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 36:24 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds |
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30:37 | 25 |
Leeds have 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Daniel Farke's side have averaged 49.5% possession, 417.9 passes and 3.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 2.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 3.8 corners.
Top scorer Lukas Nmecha has found the net 3 times, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor getting 2 each. Sean Longstaff has made the most assists with 2.
Chelsea have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 5.5 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 1.7 goals. The West London club average 56.8% possession, 495.3 passes, 6.1 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 8.6 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal.
Pedro Neto has scored 3 goals, followed by Trevoh Chalobah, Enzo Fernandez, Joao Pedro and Moises Caicedo on 2. Reece James has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Robert Sanchez has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Leeds confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ao Tanaka, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Lukas Nmecha.
Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Trevoh Chalobah, Tosin Adarabioyo, Benoit Badiashile, Marc Cucurella, Enzo Fernandez, Andrey Santos, Estevao, Joao Pedro, Jamie Gittens, Liam Delap.
Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Leeds vs Chelsea tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
We think that Chelsea can claim a Premier League win and there’s the opportunity to get odds of -130 that this prediction is proved correct. The price holds enough appeal for us to place a wager.
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Premier League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
Key Leeds vs Chelsea league stats:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 56.5% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re looking to extract more value from the odds, take a look at Chelsea on the Asian Handicap. Those anticipating our winner to punch above their weight can back them to cover the line.
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Correct Score Prediction
Chelsea can be backed to win 2-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +750 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Lukas Nmecha (Leeds) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in four consecutive Premier League matches. There is odds of -102 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
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Pedro Neto (Chelsea) has registered two goals in his past five Premier League matches. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +290.
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Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder selections include Chelsea on the Full-Time Result, one or both teams drawing a blank merged with Lukas Nmecha (Leeds) to end up with one or more shots on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Leeds vs Chelsea Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With the bookies giving them a 52% probability of winning, Chelsea might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -110 when it comes to triumphing in this Premier League clash. The +295 means that Leeds United are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
There are two Asian Handicap options and they are Chelsea -0.5 at -112 or alternatively Leeds +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -110.
The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -147 on the Both Teams to Score market.
The best football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Premier League matches, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Favourite João Pedro is now available at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Leeds have managed five victories, three draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Chelsea have won three on the bounce away from home. The Blues have racked up six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
The last Elland Road meeting saw Leeds beat Chelsea 3-0. In the past 3 H2H games at Elland Road, we have seen one Leeds win, one Chelsea victory and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leeds Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
Chelsea Away Stats |
6-2-2 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- FA Cup: 28/02 2024 Chelsea 3 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 04/03 2023 Chelsea 1 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 21/08 2022 Leeds 3 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 11/05 2022 Leeds 0 Chelsea 3
- Premier League: 11/12 2021 Chelsea 3 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 13/03 2021 Leeds 0 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 05/12 2020 Chelsea 3 Leeds 1
Leeds League Stats
Chelsea League Stats
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Leeds this season are Lukas Nmecha (4), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (2), Joe Rodon (2)
- Top Assistors for Leeds this season are Sean Longstaff (2), Anton Stach (1), Brenden Aaronson (1)
Leeds vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Leeds vs Chelsea team news before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Leeds Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Substitutes
- 10Joel Piroe
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 19Noah Okafor
- 20Jack Harrison
- 23Sebastiaan Bornauw
- 24James Justin
- 26Karl Darlow
- 29Wilfried Gnonto
- 44Ilia Gruev
Chelsea Substitutes
- 7Pedro Neto
- 10Cole Palmer
- 12Filip Joergensen
- 21Jorrel Hato
- 24Reece James
- 27Malo Gusto
- 34Josh Acheampong
- 38Marc Guiu
- 49Alejandro Garnacho
Previous Leeds Lineups
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Daniel Farke
Chelsea Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:14 | 50 |
| 2 | Man City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 45:21 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33:25 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Man United | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38:32 | 35 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:24 | 34 |
| 7 | Brentford | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 33 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 23:23 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:25 | 32 |
| 11 | Fulham | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:31 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 31:28 | 29 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:29 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34:40 | 26 |
| 16 | Leeds | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 30:37 | 25 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 21:34 | 22 |
| 18 | West Ham | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | 17 |
| 19 | Burnley | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:42 | 14 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15:41 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26:5 | 29 |
| 2 | Man City | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27:8 | 26 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 4 | Brentford | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 24 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Man United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Fulham | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 20 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 11 | Leeds | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 19 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 19 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 18 | Burnley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 19 | West Ham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:25 | 7 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | 5 |
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