Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Manchester United

Leeds welcome Manchester United to Elland Road, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Sunday 4 January.

We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market, with Leeds and Man United set to score a combined three goals or more. Take odds of -120 that this outcome happens.

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Leeds United played Liverpool away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Anfield. The West Yorkshire team ended up with just 31% possession and had two shots on target.

Manchester United hosted Wolverhampton Wanderers in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford. Ruben Amorim's men recorded 56% possession and had six shots on goal, while Joshua Zirkzee was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Man United have not lost to Leeds in the past six meetings. In the last clash, away side Man United landed a 2-0 victory at Elland Road. The previous 6 H2H games have featured four Man United victories and two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Man United	26	12	9	5	47	37	10	47:37	45
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	36	45	-9	36:45	30

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Leeds have had 44.7% possession, 380.3 passes and 4.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin has found the net 7 times, Lukas Nmecha 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka both scoring 2. Brenden Aaronson has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has one clean sheet.

Man United have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.2% possession, 471.3 passes, 5.6 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Bruno Fernandes has scored 3 goals, followed by Joshua Zirkzee, Matheus Cunha, Casemiro and Amad on 2. Bruno Fernandes has managed 6 assists in the last 10 games, while Senne Lammens has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Ilia Gruev, James Justin, Brenden Aaronson, Pascal Struijk, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.

Manchester United confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Senne Lammens (GK), Leny Yoro, Ayden Heaven, Lisandro Martínez, Diogo Dalot, Casemiro, Manuel Ugarte, Luke Shaw, Patrick Dorgu, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko.

Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Leeds vs Manchester United with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

There could be some merit in backing Over 2.5 Goals when it comes to this Premier League match. We think that this is a value betting angle and we’re happy to take the -120 that is currently available.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Premier League experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Leeds vs Manchester United league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 7 Leeds games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 19 Leeds games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Man United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Man United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 6 games between these teams.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s a chance to back selections at larger odds, with bettors able to combine the Over 2.5 Goals pick with BTTS Yes on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (13:37, 02 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 2 Man United

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Man United to win 2-1. The odds of +750 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 2.5 Shots -143

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has recorded over 2.5 shots in four consecutive Premier League games on home soil. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of -143 on offer.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

Shots

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

---

Matheus Cunha to Score +170

Matheus Cunha (Man United) has registered two goals in his past five Premier League games. There are odds of +170 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Matheus Cunha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+112

Shots

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -115

All of the past three Leeds matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with the same thing happening in the previous three Man United games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Total Corners line to get covered at -115.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

9.10 4.80 4.30

Home

8.90 5.80 3.10

Away

7.60 3.70 3.90

Man United

Total

10.50 5.60 4.90

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

9.80 4.40 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-114

Leeds Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-156

Man United Corners

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Manchester United Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Leeds United are +155 for a Premier League victory, while Manchester United are +170. The draw is trading at +250 should you think the game will end all square.

If you think that Leeds are able to beat Man United, then the +118 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -164 on the Both Teams to Score market.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Premier League game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+250

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+133

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-333

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-125

2

-114

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+123

Those interested in favourite Dominic Calvert-Lewin to find the net first are able to get +430. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +155.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+155

Anytime

+430

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Mason Mount (Man United)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Patrick Dorgu (Man United)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Jack Fletcher (Man United)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+112

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-108

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-118

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-133

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-172

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-179

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-217

Patrick Dorgu (Man United)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Mason Mount (Man United)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Jack Fletcher (Man United)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Patrick Dorgu (Man United)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Jack Fletcher (Man United)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Mason Mount (Man United)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Leeds are unbeaten in the last three games at Elland Road. The West Yorkshire team have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Man United have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Man United beat Leeds 2-0 when the teams last met at Elland Road. The previous 3 H2H meetings at Elland Road have featured two Man United victories and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-3-2	3.30	2.10	1.20	8	2	7	3
Manchester United Away Stats		3-3-4	3.20	1.50	1.70	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Manchester United Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Leeds vs Man United team news before wagering. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and the newest injury information.

Leeds United Team Page Manchester United Team Page

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