Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Manchester United

Leeds welcome Manchester United to Elland Road, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Sunday 4 January.

We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market, with Leeds and Man United set to score a combined three goals or more. Take odds of -120 that this outcome happens.

Backing our Total Goals prediction? Pick up the best BetMGM promo code and check out the in-depth site review - it could come in handy.

Leeds United played Liverpool away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Anfield. The West Yorkshire team ended up with just 31% possession and had two shots on target.

Manchester United hosted Wolverhampton Wanderers in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford. Ruben Amorim's men recorded 56% possession and had six shots on goal, while Joshua Zirkzee was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Man United have not lost to Leeds in the past six meetings. In the last clash, away side Man United landed a 2-0 victory at Elland Road. The previous 6 H2H games have featured four Man United victories and two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Man United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	33:29	30
16	Leeds	19	5	6	8	25	32	-7	25:32	21

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Leeds have had 44.7% possession, 380.3 passes and 4.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin has found the net 7 times, Lukas Nmecha 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka both scoring 2. Brenden Aaronson has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has one clean sheet.

Man United have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.2% possession, 471.3 passes, 5.6 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Bruno Fernandes has scored 3 goals, followed by Joshua Zirkzee, Matheus Cunha, Casemiro and Amad on 2. Bruno Fernandes has managed 6 assists in the last 10 games, while Senne Lammens has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Leeds predicted lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ao Tanaka, Ilia Gruev, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.

Manchester United predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens (GK), Diogo Dalot, Ayden Heaven, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Manuel Ugarte, Casemiro, Joshua Zirkzee, Matheus Cunha, Patrick Dorgu, Benjamin Sesko.

Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Leeds vs Manchester United with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

There could be some merit in backing Over 2.5 Goals when it comes to this Premier League match. We think that this is a value betting angle and we’re happy to take the -120 that is currently available.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Premier League experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Leeds vs Manchester United league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 7 Leeds games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 19 Leeds games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Man United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Man United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 6 games between these teams.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s a chance to back selections at larger odds, with bettors able to combine the Over 2.5 Goals pick with BTTS Yes on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -120 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 2 Man United

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Man United to win 2-1. The odds of +750 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 2.5 Shots -143

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has recorded over 2.5 shots in four consecutive Premier League games on home soil. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of -143 on offer.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+475

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Matheus Cunha to Score +170

Matheus Cunha (Man United) has registered two goals in his past five Premier League games. There are odds of +170 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Matheus Cunha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+475

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+105

Shots

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -115

All of the past three Leeds matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with the same thing happening in the previous three Man United games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Total Corners line to get covered at -115.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

9.10 4.80 4.30

Home

8.90 5.80 3.10

Away

7.60 3.70 3.90

Man United

Total

10.50 5.60 4.90

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

9.80 4.40 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-122

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+110

Man United Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-139

X

+650

2

+143

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Leeds vs Manchester United Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Leeds United are +155 for a Premier League victory, while Manchester United are +165. The draw is trading at +250 should you think the game will end all square.

If you think that Leeds are able to beat Man United, then the +118 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get similar odds on Under or Over 2.5 Goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -159 on the Both Teams to Score market.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Premier League game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+250

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+128

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-333

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-125

2

-115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+118

Those interested in favourite Dominic Calvert-Lewin to find the net first are able to get +475. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +170.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Mason Mount (Man United)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Patrick Dorgu (Man United)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Jack Fletcher (Man United)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+105

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-128

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-133

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-189

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-233

Mason Mount (Man United)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Patrick Dorgu (Man United)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-233

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-250

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Jack Fletcher (Man United)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-500

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

Patrick Dorgu (Man United)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Jack Fletcher (Man United)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Mason Mount (Man United)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Leeds are unbeaten in the last three games at Elland Road. The West Yorkshire team have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Man United have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Man United beat Leeds 2-0 when the teams last met at Elland Road. The previous 3 H2H meetings at Elland Road have featured two Man United victories and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-3-2	3.30	2.10	1.20	8	2	7	3
Manchester United Away Stats		3-3-4	3.20	1.50	1.70	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Manchester United Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Leeds vs Man United team news before wagering. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and the newest injury information.

Leeds United Team Page Manchester United Team Page

Top Football Pages