Leeds vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Apr 2025

Bet on Potters to Run Their Opponents Close

Stoke +1.5 could be the real deal when it comes to the Asian Handicap. We’re able to back them at odds of +107 knowing that a one-goal defeat against Leeds would still see us land a payout from this wager.

Leeds Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

Leeds United got a third straight victory in their last game. It was a 1-0 away win at Kassam Stadium when meeting Oxford United. The West Yorkshire outfit had four shots on target and boasted 67% possession, with Manor Solomon scoring the winning goal in the 33rd minute.

Stoke City made it back-to-back victories after a 2-0 home win over Sheffield Wednesday at Bet365 Stadium. The Potters recorded 44% possession and totalled three shots on goal, while Million Manhoef and Ben Wilmot were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leeds have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Stoke. Taking to the road, a 2-0 win was landed at Bet365 Stadium following a 1-0 home victory at Elland Road. In the previous 7 H2H games, there have been four Leeds wins, two Stoke victories and a draw.

Leeds have 5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. Daniel Farke's side have averaged 58.7% possession and 5.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 6.2 attempts and 3.2 corners.

The five top scorers are Manor Solomon, Jayden Bogle, Daniel James, Ao Tanaka and Junior Firpo, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The leading assistor is Daniel James with 3.

Stoke have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.2 goals from 8.0 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. The Staffordshire team average 46.0% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while conceding 1.0 goals from 8.5 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Million Manhoef, Lewis Baker, Joon-Ho Bae and Sam Gallagher, with 2 goals apiece. Jordan Thompson, Junior Tchamadeu and Lewis Baker have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Karl Darlow (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Ethan Ampadu, Junior Firpo, Ao Tanaka, Ilia Gruev, Wilfried Gnonto, Brenden Aaronson, Manor Solomon, Joel Piroe.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Josh Wilson-Esbrand, Ben Pearson, Wouter Burger, Million Manhoef, Lewis Baker, Joon-Ho Bae, Ali Al Hamadi.

Leeds vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ll play Stoke +1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this Championship encounter. There’s plenty of juice at +107 considering the away team can be defeated by one goal and we’ll still win our bet.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Leeds vs Stoke league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Stoke in all of their last 5 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Stoke in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Stoke in 9 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in any of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 6 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 4 of their last 7 games against Stoke.

Stoke +1.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 48.3% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

A bigger price can be landed by going down the Bet Builder route where Stoke to cover the line is one of several options. Add various legs until you’re satisfied with the odds.

Our Match Prediction

Stoke Asian Hcp +1.5 @ +107 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 0 Stoke

We’re going for Leeds at +550 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Manor Solomon to Score +255

Manor Solomon (Leeds) has found the net in two consecutive Championship matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +255.

Latest Manor Solomon Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+118

Shots

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Leeds Under 7.5 Corners -120

In their past five games, Leeds have not covered the 7.5 corners line, while the previous ten Stoke matches have involved them conceding under 7.5 corners. We think Leeds might fall short of the mark, with odds of -120 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

8.90 5.70 3.20

Home

10.70 7.80 2.90

Away

9.30 6.00 3.30

Stoke

Total

8.30 4.30 4.00

Home

8.50 3.70 4.80

Away

9.10 3.40 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-125

Leeds Corners

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-120

Stoke Corners

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-1250

X

+1150

2

+600

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Leeds vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

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At betting odds of -400 with the bookies, Leeds United are regarded as 80% likely to win this Championship encounter. For those wanting to back Stoke City, you will find +1000 about this outsider.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

You can back Leeds United at -1408 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Stoke City are +800 with the football betting sites to win this Championship game.

Full-Time Result

1

-400

X

+500

2

+1000

Half-Time Result

1

-150

X

+162.5

2

+850

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-800

X2

+275

Draw No Bet

1

-1408

2

+800

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-100

2 Hcp +1.75

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+130

Over 2.5

-163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+120

No

-163

Joël Piroe Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

You will find favourite Joël Piroe at +335 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +135 that he finds the net any time.

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+135

Anytime

+335

Largie Ramazani (Leeds)

First

+205

Anytime

+510

Manor Solomon (Leeds)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+235

Anytime

+600

Mateo Joseph (Leeds)

First

+255

Anytime

+650

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Ilia Gruev (Leeds)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Nathan Lowe (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Emre Tezgel (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Lewis Koumas (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Sam Byram (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Joe Rothwell (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Andrew Moran (Stoke)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+118

Manor Solomon (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+118

Largie Ramazani (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+106

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-112

Mateo Joseph (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-130

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-244

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Nathan Lowe (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Ilia Gruev (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-556

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Emre Tezgel (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Sam Byram (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-

Largie Ramazani (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Manor Solomon (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Joseph (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Ilia Gruev (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Lowe (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Emre Tezgel (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Leeds vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Our Leeds vs Stoke team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Championship squads.

Leeds United Team Page Stoke City Team Page