Leicester vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Dec 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Leicester vs Derby
Leicester meet Derby at King Power Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 29 December.
The stats suggest that we’ll see both teams finding the net, with Leicester and Derby capable of scoring. We find the odds of -106 attractive when it comes to the BTTS Yes option.
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Leicester City were defeated in their last league encounter, making it back-to-back Championship losses. King Power Stadium saw them beaten 2-1 at home to Watford. The Foxes had 51% possession and three shots on target, with Jordan James registering the goal.
Derby County played out a 1-1 draw in their previous game. This was away from home at St Andrew's, with Birmingham City the opponents. John Eustace's side had just 27% possession and totalled one shot on goal, while Patrick Agyemang was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Leicester beat Derby away when the teams last met. It was a 3-1 scoreline at Pride Park.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Derby |
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 32:31 | 32 |
| 14 |  Leicester |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 32:33 | 31 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Leicester have had 45.6% possession and 3.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.9 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts, while being awarded 7.1 corners.
Jordan James and Bobby Reid lead the way with 4 goals, while Jordan Ayew has 3. Abdul Fatawu is the top assists maker with 4.
Derby have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 10.5 attempts, 3.8 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The East Midlands club average 40.5% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts.
Patrick Agyemang has top scored with 5, while Sondre Klingen Langaas, Lars-Joergen Salvesen and Carlton Morris are next on 2. Joe Ward is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 4.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Leicester predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jakub Stolarczyk (GK), Ricardo Pereira, Ben Nelson, Caleb Okoli, Luke Thomas, Jordan James, Oliver Skipp, Issahaku Fatawu, Bobby Reid, Stephy Mavididi, Jordan Ayew.
Derby predicted lineup (3-4-3): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Dion Sanderson, Danny Batth, Matt Clarke, Max Johnston, Liam Thompson, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Díaz, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.
Leicester vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our best Leicester vs Derby picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
Leicester and Derby both look capable of finding the net and we’re really taken by the -106 available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. This means a nice potential return for this Championship encounter.
It’s always a case of checking out the latest Championship team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
Key Leicester vs Derby league stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.
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Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Derby
Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that Derby secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Jordan Ayew (Leicester) is available at -139 to register one or more shots on goal. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.
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Patrick Agyemang (Derby) has managed five goals in his past five Championship matches away from home. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +300.
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Corners Prediction
Derby have averaged 5.80 corners in the past 5 matches, with the corner count against Leicester going over 3.5 in their previous seven home games. There are odds of -161 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Derby will cover the line.
Leicester
Derby
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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our same-game multi, try BTTS Yes, Derby with the +0.25 Asian Handicap as well as Jordan Ayew (Leicester) to end up with one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Leicester vs Derby Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With an approximate 48% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +110 betting odds for Leicester City triumphing in this Championship encounter. Derby County are seen as the most unlikely winner at +265.
If you think that Leicester are able to beat Derby, then the -128 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -130 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.
If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Championship game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.
Jordan Ayew is the market leader at +600 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Leicester have finished with four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Derby have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
| Derby Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Leicester League Stats
Derby League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 7.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 7.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 40.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 35.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Leicester this season are Jordan James (6), Abdul Fatawu (4), Bobby Reid (4)
- Top Assistors for Leicester this season are Abdul Fatawu (6), Bilal El Khannouss (2), Boubakary Soumare (2)
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Leicester vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Leicester vs Derby before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups along with timely injury updates.
Leicester Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Leicester Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Leicester Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Leicester Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Marti Cifuentes
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 54:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 33:24 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 38 |
| 4 | Hull | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 39:37 | 38 |
| 5 | Preston | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 30:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 36 |
| 7 | Millwall | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 25:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Watford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 33:29 | 35 |
| 9 | QPR | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:21 | 34 |
| 11 | Derby | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:31 | 32 |
| 12 | Southampton | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 31 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 32:30 | 31 |
| 14 | Leicester | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | 31 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:30 | 30 |
| 16 | West Brom | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 28 |
| 17 | Charlton | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:27 | 27 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:26 | 26 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 20 | Swansea | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 24:31 | 26 |
| 21 | Oxford | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:32 | 22 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19:29 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 22 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 18:45 | -8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 29 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Watford | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 5 | Hull | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 7 | Stoke | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:12 | 20 |
| 11 | Millwall | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 20 |
| 12 | Southampton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 13 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 15 | Swansea | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 18 |
| 16 | Charlton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 17 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 20 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7:29 | 3 |
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