Lille vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Oct 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Lille vs Metz

Lille host bottom-of-the-table Metz in this French Ligue 1 meeting at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 26 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Lille are likely to beat Metz and we think there’s merit in backing the favourites at -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at -112. It’s well within their capability to claim a victory by two goals or more here.

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LOSC Lille got the win in their last Ligue 1 game. A 2-0 victory occurred on the road at Stade de la Beaujoire when meeting Nantes. Les Dogues enjoyed 64% possession and had five shots on target, while Hakon Arnar Haraldsson and Hamza Igamane scored one goal each.

On Thursday night, Lille hosted PAOK Thessaloniki and were defeated 4-3 in the Europa League.

Metz have suffered a loss in their previous four away games including a recent 4-0 defeat. This occurred at Stadium Municipal against Toulouse. The Lorraine team dominated possession with 64% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Lille have claimed back-to-back wins over Metz. Taking to the road, a 2-1 win was landed at Stade Saint-Symphorien following a 2-0 home victory at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. We’ve seen four of 7 H2H games go the way of Lille, with three draws also taking place.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Lille	15	9	2	4	29	17	12	29:17	29
18	Metz	15	3	2	10	15	34	-19	15:34	11

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 16.5 attempts. Lille have had 59.1% possession, 506.0 passes and 6.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts, while being awarded 3.8 corners.

Top goalscorers Hakon Arnar Haraldsson and Hamza Igamane have found the net 3 times, with Ethan Mbappe scoring 2. Felix Correia is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Berke Ozer has kept 2 clean sheets.

Metz have 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.6 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts. Stephane Le Mignan's men have averaged 51.1% possession, 472.0 passes, 3.8 corners taken and 5.4 corners against, while conceding 2.5 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts.

We’ve seen Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Gauthier Hein, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Boubacar Traore and Sadibou Sane score 1 goals each. Gauthier Hein has had 2 assists in the previous 8 games, while Jonathan Fischer has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Lille confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer (GK), Thomas Meunier, Chancel Mbemba, Aissa Mandi, Romain Perraud, Benjamin Andre, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Felix Correia, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Hamza Igamane.

Metz confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Pape Sy (GK), Koffi Kouao, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Terry Yegbe, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Benjamin Stambouli, Jessy Deminguet, Alpha Toure, Giorgi Abuashvili, Cheikh Sabaly, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

Lille vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Lille vs Metz betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

Lille could have the upper hand in this Ligue 1 clash. We think the favourites will win by a convincing margin, so we’ll play the -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at tempting betting odds of -112.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Ligue 1 team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Lille vs Metz league stats:

• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Metz in 3 of their last 4 games on the road.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Metz in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Metz in 2 consecutive games.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

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Our Match Prediction

Lille Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lille 3 - 0 Metz

Let’s go for Lille to win 3-0, a bet which is available at +600. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Olivier Giroud To Score -123

Olivier Giroud (Lille) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at -123. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Olivier Giroud Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-123

First

+280

Shots

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Lille Under 6.5 Corners -120

The 6.5 corners line has not been covered by Lille in their past two home games, with the corner count against Metz going under 6.5 in their last five matches. We’re backing Lille to fall short when it comes to Team Corners and this pick is on offer at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lille

Total

10.50 6.70 3.80

Home

9.40 5.50 3.90

Away

9.40 5.10 4.30

Metz

Total

9.13 3.75 5.38

Home

7.75 3.75 4.00

Away

10.50 3.75 6.75

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Lille Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

Metz Corners

Over 2.5

-150

Under 2.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-769

X

+1000

2

+650

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Lille vs Metz Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

LOSC Lille are strong -435 favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 81% chance of claiming victory. Metz are the outsiders at +1050 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.

For those wanting an alternative, Lille are -167 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Metz being priced up at +650 and the draw is +195.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -127.

All of the Ligue 1 matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-435

X

+550

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-167

X

+195

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-1000

X2

+280

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+650

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-120

2 Hcp +1.75

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+180

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-108

No

-127

There is -123 available that Olivier Giroud finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +280.

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

First

-123

Anytime

+280

Hamza Igamane (Lille)

First

-111

Anytime

+300

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Félix Correia (Lille)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

First

+235

Anytime

+650

Marius Sivertsen Broholm (Lille)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Osame Sahraoui (Lille)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Tiago Santos (Lille)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Chancel Mbemba (Lille)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Morgan Bokele (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ibou Sané (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Brian Madjo (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nathan Ngoy (Lille)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Benjamin Andre (Lille)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Ayyoub Bouaddi (Lille)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ugo Raghouber (Lille)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ngay Ayel Mukau (Lille)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-

Hamza Igamane (Lille)

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Félix Correia (Lille)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Marius Sivertsen Broholm (Lille)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Chancel Mbemba (Lille)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Morgan Bokele (Metz)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Ngoy (Lille)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Lille are winless in the last three games at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Les Dogues have six wins, two draws and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

It’s now been four straight Metz defeats on the road.

Lille overcame Metz 2-0 when the sides last met at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. 2 of the past 4 H2H matches at Stade Pierre-Mauroy have gone the way of Lille, with two draws also occurring.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Lille Home Stats		6-2-2	2.70	1.60	1.10	5	5	7	3
Metz Away Stats		0-0-4	4.75	1.00	3.75	4	0	2	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Lille vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Lille vs Metz team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 and the newest injury information.

LOSC Lille Team Page Metz Team Page

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