Lille vs PSG Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Lille vs PSG

Lille host PSG in this French Ligue 1 meeting at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Net Could Bulge at Both Ends

We can’t pass up the chance to back BTTS Yes at -156, with both Lille and PSG expected to find the net. The Both Teams to Score market provides a great angle for a wager.

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PSG Have 8 Wins in Last 10 H2H Battles

LOSC Lille have been defeated in back-to-back Ligue 1 outings. In a recent home game at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, they lost 1-0 to Lyon. Les Dogues had three shots on target and enjoyed 54% possession.

Three days ago, Lille won 1-0 away to Roma in the Europa League.

Paris Saint-Germain won their previous Ligue 1 game, beating AJ Auxerre at home. It was a 2-0 win at Parc des Princes. Luis Enrique's side enjoyed 66% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Ilya Zabarnyi and Lucas Beraldo were both on target.

On Wednesday night, PSG triumphed 2-1 when facing Barcelona in the Champions League at Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three successive wins for PSG when playing Lille. In the last encounter, PSG claimed a 4-1 victory when hosting at Parc des Princes. The past 10 H2H matches have involved eight PSG wins, one Lille victory and one draw.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	PSG	6	5	0	1	12	4	8	12:4	15
6	Lille	6	3	1	2	13	9	4	13:9	10

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 14.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Lille have had 59.3% possession, 510.4 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while earning 4.0 corners.

Top goalscorers are Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Hakon Arnar Haraldsson on 3 goals, while Hamza Igamane has bagged 2. Felix Correia is the top assists maker on 3, with goalkeepers Berke Ozer and Lucas Chevalier managing 2 clean sheets between them.

PSG have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.1 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts. There’s been an average of 72.7% possession, 734.3 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 3.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.

Bradley Barcola is top scorer on 4, with Joao Neves and Goncalo Ramos next on 3. Vitinha has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Lucas Chevalier has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Lille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer (GK), Tiago Santos, Aissa Mandi, Nathan Ngoy, Calvin Verdonk, Ngal'ayel Mukau, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, Félix Correia, Olivier Giroud.

PSG predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Chevalier (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez, Kang-in Lee, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Senny Mayulu, Ibrahim Mbaye, Goncalo Ramos, Bradley Barcola.

Lille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Lille vs PSG betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

It stands to reason that both teams can find the net and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. The fact that you can secure -156 for this Ligue 1 encounter means a nice return if the bet lands.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Ligue 1 stats when making our football predictions.

Key Lille vs PSG league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 18 Lille games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lille games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 18 PSG games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 PSG games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 games between these teams.

BTTS Yes Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

A BTTS Yes selection can be paired with Over 2.5 Goals in order to land a slightly bigger price. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager means you are cheering on two picks.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -156 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lille 1 - 2 PSG

We’re taking a chance on PSG to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +650 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matias Fernandez-Pardo Over 1.5 Shots +115

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille) has totalled over 1.5 shots in his past two Ligue 1 games on home soil. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of +115.

Latest Matias Fernandez-Pardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1050

Shots

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

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Gonçalo Ramos to Score +163

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG) has racked up five goals in his past eight Ligue 1 matches away from home. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +163 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Gonçalo Ramos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+163

First

+380

Shots

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Lille Over 3.5 Corners -150

The past 5 Lille matches have involved them having an average of 7.20 corners, with PSG conceding over 3.5 corners in 4 of their previous 5 away games. We think it’s achievable that Lille will cover the Team Corners line and odds of -150 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lille

Total

9.90 5.90 4.00

Home

10.40 6.00 4.40

Away

9.20 5.00 4.20

PSG

Total

9.90 6.60 3.30

Home

9.30 7.00 2.30

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-149

Under 8.5

+106

Lille Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

PSG Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+180

X

+650

2

-164

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Lille vs PSG Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest PSG Victory

Paris Saint-Germain are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Ligue 1 encounter. The -143 for them coming out on top suggests a 59% probability based on their latest betting odds. The +350 means that LOSC Lille are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting PSG -0.75 at -112 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Lille by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -156.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+350

X

+310

2

-143

Half-Time Result

1

+350

X

+143

2

+114

Double Chance

1X

+106

12

-476

X2

-556

Draw No Bet

1

+225

2

-333

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-109

2 Hcp -0.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+115

Gonçalo Ramos Favourite to Find the Net First

Gonçalo Ramos is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +380. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +163.

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

First

+163

Anytime

+380

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+165

Anytime

+380

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Désiré Doué (PSG)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Hamza Igamane (Lille)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Félix Correia (Lille)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Marius Sivertsen Broholm (Lille)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Osame Sahraoui (Lille)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

Olivier Giroud (Lille)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Désiré Doué (PSG)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Hamza Igamane (Lille)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Félix Correia (Lille)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Hákon Haraldsson (Lille)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

PSG Avoid Defeat Against Lille in Last Six H2H Stade Pierre-Mauroy Encounters

Lille have managed seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

PSG have seven wins, two losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.70 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

The past meeting at Stade Pierre-Mauroy saw PSG defeat Lille 3-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings at Stade Pierre-Mauroy have ended in four PSG victories, two draws and a solitary win for Lille.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Lille Home Stats		7-1-2	2.20	1.40	0.80	5	5	6	4
PSG Away Stats		7-1-2	3.90	2.70	1.20	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Lille vs PSG Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Lille vs PSG team news beforehand. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with up-to-date injury news.

LOSC Lille Team Page Paris Saint-Germain Team Page