Lille vs PSG Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025
Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Lille vs PSG
Lille host PSG in this French Ligue 1 meeting at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We can’t pass up the chance to back BTTS Yes at -156, with both Lille and PSG expected to find the net. The Both Teams to Score market provides a great angle for a wager.
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LOSC Lille have been defeated in back-to-back Ligue 1 outings. In a recent home game at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, they lost 1-0 to Lyon. Les Dogues had three shots on target and enjoyed 54% possession.
Three days ago, Lille won 1-0 away to Roma in the Europa League.
Paris Saint-Germain won their previous Ligue 1 game, beating AJ Auxerre at home. It was a 2-0 win at Parc des Princes. Luis Enrique's side enjoyed 66% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Ilya Zabarnyi and Lucas Beraldo were both on target.
On Wednesday night, PSG triumphed 2-1 when facing Barcelona in the Champions League at Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It has been three successive wins for PSG when playing Lille. In the last encounter, PSG claimed a 4-1 victory when hosting at Parc des Princes. The past 10 H2H matches have involved eight PSG wins, one Lille victory and one draw.
| Ligue 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Lille |
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23:15 | 20 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 14.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Lille have had 59.3% possession, 510.4 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while earning 4.0 corners.
Top goalscorers are Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Hakon Arnar Haraldsson on 3 goals, while Hamza Igamane has bagged 2. Felix Correia is the top assists maker on 3, with goalkeepers Berke Ozer and Lucas Chevalier managing 2 clean sheets between them.
PSG have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.1 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts. There’s been an average of 72.7% possession, 734.3 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 3.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.
Bradley Barcola is top scorer on 4, with Joao Neves and Goncalo Ramos next on 3. Vitinha has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Lucas Chevalier has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Lille confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Berke Ozer (GK), Thomas Meunier, Nathan Ngoy, Aissa Mandi, Romain Perraud, Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Olivier Giroud, Matias Fernandez-Pardo.
PSG confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Chevalier (GK), Warren Zaire-Emery, Lucas Beraldo, Willian Pacho, Lucas Hernandez, Kang-In Lee, Senny Mayulu, Ibrahim Mbaye, Quentin Ndjantou, Bradley Barcola, Goncalo Ramos.
Lille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Lille vs PSG betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
It stands to reason that both teams can find the net and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. The fact that you can secure -156 for this Ligue 1 encounter means a nice return if the bet lands.
Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Ligue 1 stats when making our football predictions.
Key Lille vs PSG league stats:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
A BTTS Yes selection can be paired with Over 2.5 Goals in order to land a slightly bigger price. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager means you are cheering on two picks.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a chance on PSG to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +650 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille) has totalled over 1.5 shots in his past two Ligue 1 games on home soil. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of +115.
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Gonçalo Ramos (PSG) has racked up five goals in his past eight Ligue 1 matches away from home. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +163 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
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Corners Prediction
The past 5 Lille matches have involved them having an average of 7.20 corners, with PSG conceding over 3.5 corners in 4 of their previous 5 away games. We think it’s achievable that Lille will cover the Team Corners line and odds of -150 can be landed.
Lille
PSG
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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our same-game multi, try BTTS Yes, PSG on the 1x2 together with Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille) to manage Over 1.5 shots.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Lille vs PSG Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Paris Saint-Germain are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Ligue 1 encounter. The -127 for them coming out on top suggests a 56% probability based on their latest betting odds. The +335 means that LOSC Lille are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting PSG -0.75 at -100 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Lille by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -161.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +380. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +165.
Lille have managed seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 0.80.
PSG have seven wins, two losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.70 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
The past meeting at Stade Pierre-Mauroy saw PSG defeat Lille 3-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings at Stade Pierre-Mauroy have ended in four PSG victories, two draws and a solitary win for Lille.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lille Home Stats |
7-1-2 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
PSG Away Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.90 | 2.70 | 1.20 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Ligue 1: 01/03 2025 PSG 4 Lille 1
- Ligue 1: 01/09 2024 Lille 1 PSG 3
- Ligue 1: 10/02 2024 PSG 3 Lille 1
- Ligue 1: 17/12 2023 Lille 1 PSG 1
- Ligue 1: 19/02 2023 PSG 4 Lille 3
- Ligue 1: 21/08 2022 Lille 1 PSG 7
- Ligue 1: 06/02 2022 Lille 1 PSG 5
- Ligue 1: 29/10 2021 PSG 2 Lille 1
- Ligue 1: 03/04 2021 PSG 0 Lille 1
- Coupe de France: 17/03 2021 PSG 3 Lille 0
Lille League Stats
PSG League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 72.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 68.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Lille this season are Hakon Arnar Haraldsson (2), Hamza Igamane (2), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (2)
- Top Assistors for Lille this season are Felix Correia (3), Benjamin Andre (1), Berke Ozer (1)
Lille vs PSG Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Lille vs PSG team news beforehand. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with up-to-date injury news.
Lille Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
PSG Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lille Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
PSG Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lille Substitutes
- 8Ethan Mbappe
- 11Osame Sahraoui
- 16Arnaud Bodart
- 17Ngal Ayel Mukau
- 18Chancel Mbemba
- 22Tiago Santos
- 27Felix Correia
- 28Ugo Raghouber
- 29Hamza Igamane
PSG Substitutes
- 2Achraf Hakimi
- 6Ilya Zabarnyi
- 17Vitinha
- 25Nuno Mendes
- 39Matvey Safonov
- 41Mathis Jangeal
- 89Renato Marin
Previous Lille Lineups
Previous PSG Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Ligue 1 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:26 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:19 | 7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Lens | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 5 | PSG | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 6 | Nice | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Lyon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 10 | Angers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Brest | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 18 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
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