Lithuania vs Poland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Lithuania vs Poland

Lithuania host Poland in this World Cup qualifying encounter at Dariaus Ir Gireno Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 12 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Back Lithuania to Cover the Line

Lithuania +1.25 looks to be a good Asian Handicap bet at odds of -118. It means we split our stake between +1 and +1.5 in their meeting with Poland and that provides some good insurance.

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Teams’ Last Clash Saw 1-0 Poland Win

Lithuania lost away from home in their last game. Finland won 2-1 at Olympiastadion in the World Cup qualifier. Edgaras Jankauskas' team had three shots on target and 47% possession, while Pijus Sirvys bagged the goal.

Poland claimed a 3-1 World Cup qualifying home victory over Finland at Stadion Slaski in their previous game. The Eagles had 45% of possession and six shots on goal, with Matty Cash, Robert Lewandowski and Jakub Kaminski finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Poland triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 1-0 home win when playing Lithuania at National Stadium, Warszawa.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Poland	5	3	1	1	8	4	4	8:4	10
4	Lithuania	6	0	3	3	6	9	-3	6:9	3

View Full Table

Lithuania have 7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts. The Green and White have averaged 47.0% possession and 2.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 5.4 corners.

Gvidas Gineitis is the top goalscorer with 4, Armandas Kucys has 2, with Pijus Sirvys and two other players on 1. Paulius Golubickas is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Edvinas Gertmonas keeping one clean sheet.

Poland have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 15.8 attempts, 5.9 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. Jan Urban's men average 45.7% possession, 399.8 passes, 5.1 corners in their favour and 4.0 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

We’ve seen Robert Lewandowski, Matty Cash, Karol Swiderski and Piotr Zielinski score 2 goals each. Robert Lewandowski, Piotr Zielinski and Jakub Kaminski have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Lukasz Skorupski has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Lithuania vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Lithuania vs Poland with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re sweet on the chances of Lithuania for this World Cup qualifying match, especially as you can back them at an attractive +1.25 line at odds of -118. Taking this Asian Handicap pick looks to be the way forward.

The World Cup qualifying form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Lithuania vs Poland stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Lithuania in 10 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Lithuania in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Lithuania in 13 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Poland in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Poland in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Poland in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.

Lithuania +1.25 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 54.1% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Match Prediction

Lithuania Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lithuania 1 - 1 Poland

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +700. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Corners Prediction

Poland Under 5.5 Corners -119

In their past six away games, Poland have had less than 5.5 corners. We’re happy to back the -119 when it comes to Poland falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lithuania

Total

7.40 2.00 5.40

Home

8.10 3.00 5.10

Away

7.70 2.70 5.00

Poland

Total

9.10 5.10 4.00

Home

9.50 6.40 3.10

Away

8.90 4.40 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-120

Lithuania Corners

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-102

Poland Corners

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-122

Most Corners

1

+390

X

+750

2

-370

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Lithuania vs Poland Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Poland Big Favourites According to Latest Odds

Poland are convincing -263 favourites to land the spoils in this World Cup qualifying encounter, which means a 72% likelihood of securing a victory according to the current betting odds. Lithuania are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +750.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +138. Alternatively, Poland can be backed at -109 and Lithuania are on offer at +650.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -192 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest World Cup qualifying games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+750

X

+350

2

-263

Half-Time Result

1

+650

X

+138

2

-109

Double Chance

1X

+180

12

-500

X2

-1429

Draw No Bet

1

+475

2

-909

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-118

2 Hcp -1.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+138

No

-192

Robert Lewandowski (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Krzysztof Piątek (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Piotr Zielinski (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Sebastian Szymanski (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Jakub Kamiński (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Michal Skóras (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Matty Cash (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Bartosz Slisz (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Jakub Kiwior (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Jan Bednarek (Poland)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Krzysztof Piątek (Poland)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Robert Lewandowski (Poland)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-112

Piotr Zielinski (Poland)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Sebastian Szymanski (Poland)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-208

Michal Skóras (Poland)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Jakub Kamiński (Poland)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-417

Matty Cash (Poland)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-500

Bartosz Slisz (Poland)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-667

Jakub Kiwior (Poland)

Over 0.5

+480

Under 0.5

-2500

Robert Lewandowski (Poland)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-

Krzysztof Piątek (Poland)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Piotr Zielinski (Poland)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Sebastian Szymanski (Poland)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Jakub Kamiński (Poland)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Matty Cash (Poland)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Michal Skóras (Poland)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Lithuania Stats

Poland Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.00 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 47.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Lithuania vs Poland Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Lithuania vs Poland team news before betting. Expect the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and all current injury developments from us.