Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid

Premier League side Liverpool host Spanish La Liga outfit Atlético Madrid in this Champions League match at Anfield, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 17 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Reds Look Capable of Covering the Line

Liverpool should be able to beat Atlético Madrid by two goals or more. We’ll back them -1 at -118, meaning money back if the favourites claim a one goal victory, although we think the margin should be bigger.

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2-0 Liverpool Win When Teams Last Clashed

Liverpool won their last game 1-0. This was a Premier League away victory at Turf Moor against Burnley. The Reds enjoyed an incredible 81% of possession and recorded four shots on target, with a late goal from Mohamed Salah making all the difference.

Atlético Madrid claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 La Liga win occurred against Villarreal at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's team had three shots on goal and boasted 61% possession, while Pablo Barrios and Nico Gonzalez were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liverpool have landed wins in their last two clashes against Atléti. When hosting at Anfield, there was a 2-0 scoreline and that came after a 3-2 away win at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. There have been two victories for each side during the previous 4 H2H meetings.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Liverpool	3	2	0	1	8	4	4	8:4	6
19	Atlético Madrid	3	1	0	2	7	8	-1	7:8	3

View Full Table

Liverpool have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts. Arne Slot's men have averaged 60.8% possession, 509.0 passes and 6.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Mohamed Salah has found the net 4 times, Cody Gakpo 3, with Dominik Szoboszlai and two other players on 2. Dominik Szoboszlai and Cody Gakpo have the most assists with 3, while goalie Alisson Becker has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 12.5 attempts, 6.0 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Los Colchoneros average 57.4% possession, 546.2 passes, 6.1 corners in their favour and 2.4 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.

Alexander Soerloth has landed 9 goals, Julian Alvarez 4, with Nico Gonzalez and two others scoring 1. Julian Alvarez is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galan, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Nico Gonzalez, Giacomo Raspadori, Antoine Griezmann.

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The best Asian Handicap bet could be Liverpool -1 at -118, especially if you think that they can win handsomely. We are expecting the favourites to dominate when it comes to this Champions League encounter.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Champions League experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Champions League & league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 3 of their last 4 games against Liverpool.

Liverpool -1 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Liverpool to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

Liverpool Asian Hcp -1 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Liverpool 3 - 1 Atléti

Liverpool are available to back at +900 to secure a 3-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Simeone Over 0.5 Shots -147

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has had one or more shots in four straight games. We are in favour of betting the -147 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+2200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Shots

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

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Cody Gakpo to Score +260

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) has netted three goals in his past five home matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +260.

Latest Cody Gakpo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-103

Shots

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -122

There has been under 9.5 corners in six straight Atlético Madrid away games. We’re willing to wager the -122 when it comes to the sides being short of the Total Corners line which looks appealing.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Liverpool

Total

10.00 6.70 3.30

Home

11.20 7.40 3.80

Away

10.60 5.80 4.80

Atléti

Total

8.50 6.10 2.40

Home

10.40 6.30 4.10

Away

8.20 4.80 3.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-112

Liverpool Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-149

Atléti Corners

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+750

2

+360

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Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Liverpool Most Likely Winners

Liverpool are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Champions League encounter. The -204 for them coming out on top suggests a 67% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Atlético Madrid are available at +525.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Liverpool are -100 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Atléti are +460 and the draw is priced at +155.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -132 on the BTTS market.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Champions League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-204

X

+350

2

+525

Half-Time Result

1

-100

X

+155

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-500

X2

+150

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+340

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

+102

2 Hcp +1.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-103

Mohamed Salah is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Mohamed Salah is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +350. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +135.

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

First

+135

Anytime

+350

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

First

+138

Anytime

+370

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+440

Anytime

+1100

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+155

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-103

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-103

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-114

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-119

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-208

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-233

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-278

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-313

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Liverpool Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Liverpool vs Atléti team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups and injury news right here.