Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid

Premier League side Liverpool host Spanish La Liga outfit Atlético Madrid in this Champions League match at Anfield, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 17 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Reds Look Capable of Covering the Line

Liverpool should be able to beat Atlético Madrid by two goals or more. We’ll back them -1 at -118, meaning money back if the favourites claim a one goal victory, although we think the margin should be bigger.

Like our Asian Handicap prediction? Take a moment to read our full BetMGM review, then take advantage of the current promo code before committing to your play.

2-0 Liverpool Win When Teams Last Clashed

Liverpool won their last game 1-0. This was a Premier League away victory at Turf Moor against Burnley. The Reds enjoyed an incredible 81% of possession and recorded four shots on target, with a late goal from Mohamed Salah making all the difference.

Atlético Madrid claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 La Liga win occurred against Villarreal at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's team had three shots on goal and boasted 61% possession, while Pablo Barrios and Nico Gonzalez were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liverpool have landed wins in their last two clashes against Atléti. When hosting at Anfield, there was a 2-0 scoreline and that came after a 3-2 away win at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. There have been two victories for each side during the previous 4 H2H meetings.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
1	Atlético Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Liverpool have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts. Arne Slot's men have averaged 60.8% possession, 509.0 passes and 6.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Mohamed Salah has found the net 4 times, Cody Gakpo 3, with Dominik Szoboszlai and two other players on 2. Dominik Szoboszlai and Cody Gakpo have the most assists with 3, while goalie Alisson Becker has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 12.5 attempts, 6.0 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Los Colchoneros average 57.4% possession, 546.2 passes, 6.1 corners in their favour and 2.4 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.

Alexander Soerloth has landed 9 goals, Julian Alvarez 4, with Nico Gonzalez and two others scoring 1. Julian Alvarez is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Liverpool predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson (GK), Conor Bradley, Virgil Van Dijk, Ibrahima Konaté, Milos Kerkez, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ryan Gravenberch, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny, Conor Gallagher, Pablo Barrios, Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez.

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The best Asian Handicap bet could be Liverpool -1 at -118, especially if you think that they can win handsomely. We are expecting the favourites to dominate when it comes to this Champions League encounter.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Champions League experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Champions League & league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 3 of their last 4 games against Liverpool.

Liverpool -1 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Liverpool to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Our Match Prediction

Liverpool Asian Hcp -1 @ -118 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Liverpool 3 - 1 Atléti

Liverpool are available to back at +900 to secure a 3-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Simeone Over 0.5 Shots -147

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has had one or more shots in four straight games. We are in favour of betting the -147 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Shots

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Cody Gakpo to Score +260

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) has netted three goals in his past five home matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +260.

Latest Cody Gakpo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -122

There has been under 9.5 corners in six straight Atlético Madrid away games. We’re willing to wager the -122 when it comes to the sides being short of the Total Corners line which looks appealing.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Liverpool

Total

10.00 6.70 3.30

Home

11.20 7.40 3.80

Away

10.60 5.80 4.80

Atléti

Total

8.50 6.10 2.40

Home

10.40 6.30 4.10

Away

8.20 4.80 3.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-132

Liverpool Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Atléti Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+700

2

+270

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Liverpool Most Likely Winners

Liverpool are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Champions League encounter. The -182 for them coming out on top suggests a 65% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Atlético Madrid are available at +460.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Liverpool are +105 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Atléti are +410 and the draw is priced at +155.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -154 on the BTTS market.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Champions League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-182

X

+330

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+105

X

+155

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-476

X2

+138

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+295

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-118

2 Hcp +1

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+140

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+112

Mohamed Salah is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Mohamed Salah is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +380. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +140.

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

First

+140

Anytime

+380

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

+163

Anytime

+430

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

First

+163

Anytime

+420

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+220

Anytime

+540

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+132

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+110

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

+102

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-104

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-111

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-185

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-213

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-244

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-238

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-286

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Liverpool Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Liverpool vs Atléti team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups and injury news right here.