Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Liverpool vs Leeds

Fourth-placed Liverpool go head-to-head with Leeds at Anfield, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Thursday 1 January.

We like Liverpool -1 at betting odds of -122. This Asian Handicap bet means we need the hosts to win by two goals to land a return, with our money back if the Reds beat Leeds by a one-goal margin.

Betting on our Asian Handicap selection? Access the updated BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the platform before locking in your bet.

Liverpool secured their third consecutive league win in their latest Premier League game, defeating Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 at home at Anfield. The Merseyside team had four shots on target and boasted 66% possession, while Ryan Gravenberch and Florian Wirtz scored one goal apiece.

Leeds United drew on the road in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Sunderland at Stadium of Light. Daniel Farke's side recorded 57% possession and had six shots on goal, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last time Leeds and Liverpool met involved the former hosting a 3-3 draw at Elland Road. The past 7 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Liverpool victories and one Leeds win. There have also been two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	41	35	6	41:35	42
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	36	45	-9	36:45	30

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. Liverpool have had 60.4% possession, 551.5 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, Arne Slot's side have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Hugo Ekitike is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Ryan Gravenberch, Alexander Isak and Mohamed Salah each have 2. Leading assistor is Joseph Gomez with 2, while goalkeepers Alisson Becker and Giorgi Mamardashvili have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets.

Leeds have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 13.3 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Whites average 45.7% possession, 388.2 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7, Lukas Nmecha has 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka both on 2. Look no further than Brenden Aaronson for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Ryan Gravenberch, Curtis Jones, Jeremie Frimpong, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike.

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Lukas Nmecha, Brenden Aaronson.

Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Liverpool vs Leeds with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Liverpool at -1 on the Asian Handicap looks like an appealing selection. We think that betting odds of -122 can be taken with confidence when it comes to this Premier League match.

Our Premier League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Liverpool vs Leeds league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 6 of their last 9 games on the road.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 4 of their last 7 games against Liverpool.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 54.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell goals depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Match Prediction

Liverpool Asian Hcp -1 @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (18:38, 30 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Liverpool 2 - 0 Leeds

Liverpool can be backed at +600 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 0.5 Shots On Target -132

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in eight consecutive Premier League matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -132 available.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

---

Hugo Ekitike to Score -118

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) has netted five goals in his past five Premier League matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of -118.

Latest Hugo Ekitike Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-125

First

+270

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-172

Shots

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Liverpool Under 6.5 Corners -149

In their past four matches, Liverpool have not covered the 6.5 corners line, while the last five Leeds games have involved them conceding under 6.5 corners. There is value when it comes to going under the Liverpool Team Corners line and this is available at -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Liverpool

Total

9.20 4.70 4.50

Home

10.00 5.80 4.20

Away

9.40 4.80 4.60

Leeds

Total

8.70 4.80 3.90

Home

8.90 5.80 3.10

Away

7.30 4.10 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Liverpool Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-147

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+750

2

+285

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Liverpool vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 67% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Liverpool being priced at -200 to come away with a victory in this Premier League encounter. If you’re interested in wagering Leeds United, you can get +525 for the underdog.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Liverpool at -102 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Leeds at +430. The draw is the third option at +155.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -137.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Premier League games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+340

2

+525

Half-Time Result

1

-102

X

+155

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-476

X2

+150

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+325

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-125

2 Hcp +1

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

+102

Favourite Hugo Ekitike is priced at +270 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -125.

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

-125

Anytime

+270

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+205

Anytime

+600

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Joe Gomez (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Milos Kerkez (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Andy Robertson (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ibrahima Konaté (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Wataru Endo (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-100

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-108

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-152

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-172

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-182

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-189

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-227

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-526

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Joe Gomez (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Milos Kerkez (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Ibrahima Konaté (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1429

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

Andy Robertson (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last three games at Anfield. The Merseyside team have finished with five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Leeds have gone without an away win in the last six games. Daniel Farke's side have finished with six losses, two victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

The last Anfield meeting saw Leeds beat Liverpool 2-1. In the past 3 H2H games at Anfield, we’ve seen two Liverpool wins and one Leeds triumph.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Liverpool Home Stats		5-1-4	2.70	1.20	1.50	6	4	5	5
Leeds Away Stats		2-2-6	3.10	1.00	2.10	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Liverpool vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Check the Liverpool vs Leeds team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Liverpool Team Page Leeds United Team Page

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