Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Liverpool vs Leeds

Liverpool go head-to-head with Leeds at Anfield, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Thursday 1 January.

We like Liverpool -1 at betting odds of -122. This Asian Handicap bet means we need the hosts to win by two goals to land a return, with our money back if they beat Leeds by a one-goal margin.

Betting on our Asian Handicap selection? Access the updated BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the platform before locking in your bet.

Liverpool secured their third consecutive league win in their latest Premier League game, defeating Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 at home at Anfield. The Merseyside team had four shots on target and boasted 66% possession, while Ryan Gravenberch and Florian Wirtz scored one goal apiece.

Leeds United drew on the road in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Sunderland at Stadium of Light. Daniel Farke's side recorded 57% possession and had six shots on goal, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last time Leeds and Liverpool met involved the former hosting a 3-3 draw at Elland Road. The past 7 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Liverpool victories and one Leeds win. There have also been two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	30:26	32
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	25:32	20

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. Liverpool have had 60.4% possession, 551.5 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Hugo Ekitike is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Ryan Gravenberch, Alexander Isak and Mohamed Salah each have 2. Leading assistor is Joseph Gomez with 2, while goalkeepers Alisson Becker and Giorgi Mamardashvili have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets.

Leeds have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 13.3 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Whites average 45.7% possession, 388.2 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7, Lukas Nmecha has 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka both on 2. Look no further than Brenden Aaronson for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Liverpool predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Curtis Jones, Federico Chiesa, Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike.

Leeds predicted lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Brenden Aaronson, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.

Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Liverpool vs Leeds with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Liverpool at -1 on the Asian Handicap looks like an appealing selection. We think that betting odds of -122 can be taken with confidence when it comes to this Premier League match.

Our Premier League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Liverpool vs Leeds league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 6 of their last 9 games on the road.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 4 of their last 7 games against Liverpool.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 54.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell goals depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Match Prediction

Liverpool Asian Hcp -1 @ -122 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Liverpool 2 - 0 Leeds

Liverpool can be backed at +650 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 0.5 Shots On Target -132

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in eight consecutive Premier League matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -132 available.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-133

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

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Hugo Ekitike to Score -118

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) has netted five goals in his past five Premier League matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of -118.

Latest Hugo Ekitike Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-118

First

+290

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-185

Shots

Over 4.5

+135

Under 4.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Liverpool Under 6.5 Corners -149

In their past four matches, Liverpool have not covered the 6.5 corners line, while the last five Leeds games have involved them conceding under 6.5 corners. There is value when it comes to going under the Liverpool Team Corners line and this is available at -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Liverpool

Total

9.20 4.70 4.50

Home

10.00 5.80 4.20

Away

9.40 4.80 4.60

Leeds

Total

8.70 4.80 3.90

Home

8.90 5.80 3.10

Away

7.30 4.10 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Liverpool Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-147

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-123

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+750

2

+285

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Liverpool vs Leeds Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites are 67% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Liverpool being priced at -204 to come away with a victory in this Premier League encounter. If you’re interested in wagering Leeds United, you can get +525 for the underdog.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Liverpool at -103 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Leeds at +420. The draw is the third option at +160.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -139.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Premier League games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-204

X

+350

2

+525

Half-Time Result

1

-103

X

+160

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-500

X2

+150

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+320

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-125

2 Hcp +1

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+133

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

+105

Favourite Hugo Ekitike is priced at +290 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -118.

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

First

-118

Anytime

+290

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+200

Anytime

+575

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+210

Anytime

+575

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Joe Gomez (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Milos Kerkez (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Ibrahima Konaté (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Wataru Endo (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Andy Robertson (Liverpool)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-105

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-133

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-185

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-185

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-189

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-185

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-270

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-833

Joe Gomez (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Milos Kerkez (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Conor Bradley (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1000

Ibrahima Konaté (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-1429

Andy Robertson (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-1429

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

Over 4.5

+135

Under 4.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last three games at Anfield. The Merseyside team have finished with five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Leeds have gone without an away win in the last six games. Daniel Farke's side have finished with six losses, two victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

The last Anfield meeting saw Leeds beat Liverpool 2-1. In the past 3 H2H games at Anfield, we’ve seen two Liverpool wins and one Leeds triumph.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Liverpool Home Stats		5-1-4	2.70	1.20	1.50	6	4	5	5
Leeds Away Stats		2-2-6	3.10	1.00	2.10	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Liverpool vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Check the Liverpool vs Leeds team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Liverpool Team Page Leeds United Team Page

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