Luton vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Dec 2024

Under 2.5 Looks the Best Option

We can make an argument for betting Under 2.5 when it comes to Total Goals. The stats imply that Luton and Derby could fall short of this total and the price of -150 looks a value one.

1-0 Victory for Luton in Pair’s Last Battle

Luton Town were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Blackburn Rovers at Ewood Park. The Hatters had four shots on target and 50% possession.

Derby County won their previous game, beating Portsmouth at home. It was a 4-0 win at Pride Park. The East Midlands side recorded 50% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Kane Wilson, Eiran Cashin, Ebou Adams and Marlon Pack (own goal) on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Luton and Derby saw the former triumph at home. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Kenilworth Road. The previous 6 H2H meetings have seen Luton win three times, one draw and two Derby triumphs.

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 7.2 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Luton have had 39.7% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 10.7 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.6 corners.

Elijah Adebayo is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Carlton Morris and Jacob Brown each have 2. Leading assistor is Tom Krauss with 3.

Derby have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 3.4 shots on goal, 7.4 attempts and 1.2 goals. Paul Warne's team average 42.9% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 6.3 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Jerry Yates got 3 goals, Ebou Adams notched 2, while Kane Wilson and two other players scored 1. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Kenzo Goudmijn and Craig Forsyth have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Luton confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Thomas Kaminski (GK), Mark McGuinness, Mads Juel Andersen, Thomas Holmes, Tahith Chong, Tom Krauss, Jordan Clark, Victor Moses, Jacob Brown, Carlton Morris, Elijah Adebayo.

Derby confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Nathaniel Phillips, Curtis Nelson, Sonny Bradley, Kane Wilson, Callum Elder, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ben Osborn, Ebou Adams, Kayden Jackson, Jerry Yates.

Luton vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 for this Championship clash. This bet offers us the chance to take odds of -150 and we think a return could definitely be on the cards.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our football picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Luton vs Derby league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Luton games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Derby games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 11 Derby games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Derby games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 60% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds and are expecting a low-scoring affair, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, especially if you think that one goal or less will be scored in total.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Luton 1 - 0 Derby

Let’s go for Luton to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +550. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Luton vs Derby Odds

Bookies favourites Luton Town are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Championship game and the +110 about them triumphing means a 48% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. Derby County are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +270.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

To combine various Championship selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+210

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+187.5

X

-100

2

+333.3

Double Chance

1X

-350

12

-275

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-122

2 Hcp +0.25

+108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-163

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-138

Luton vs Derby Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Luton vs Derby team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Championship squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Luton Town Team Page Derby County Team Page