Luton vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Apr 2025

Will Goals Be at a Premium?

We believe that odds of -125 are appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We’re of the opinion that Luton and Leeds will play out a low-scoring contest.

Leeds Claimed 3-0 Victory in Last H2H

Luton Town won their last game 1-0. This was a road win against Hull City at The MKM Stadium. The Hatters enjoyed just 35% possession and had two shots on target, with an own goal proving to be the difference in the end.

Leeds United drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Elland Road ended 2-2 against Swansea City. The West Yorkshire outfit had seven shots on goal and enjoyed 55% possession, with Brenden Aaronson and Wilfried Gnonto both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leeds have not lost any of the past three games against Luton. Their last encounter saw Leeds make home advantage count at Elland Road, winning 3-0. The past 3 H2H matches have included two Leeds wins along with a single draw.

Luton have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts. Matt Bloomfield's team have averaged 42.2% possession and 4.8 corners per match, conceding 1.2 goals and 5.4 corners from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Top goalscorer Jordan Clark has found the net 2 times, with Thelo Aasgaard, Jacob Brown and Alfie Doughty scoring 1 each. Lasse Nordaas and Carlton Morris have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Leeds have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 2.5 goals. The Whites average 56.6% possession, 7.6 corners taken and 3.2 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 5.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Joel Piroe is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Daniel James on 3, with Brenden Aaronson and two others bagging 2. Look no further than Junior Firpo for the top assist maker (6) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Luton confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Thomas Kaminski (GK), Christ Makosso, Mark McGuinness, Amari'i Bell, Isaiah Jones, Jordan Clark, Thelo Aasgaard, Liam Walsh, Alfie Doughty, Carlton Morris, Elijah Adebayo.

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Karl Darlow (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Junior Firpo, Ao Tanaka, Ethan Ampadu, Daniel James, Wilfried Gnonto, Manor Solomon, Joel Piroe.

Luton vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Championship showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -125 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Luton vs Leeds league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Luton games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Luton games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Luton games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Leeds games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Leeds games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to combine Under 2.5 Goals with BTTS No if you want a bigger potential return, with bettors able to land this pick through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Luton 0 - 2 Leeds

Leeds are available to back at +540 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 5.5 Corners -150

Leeds have been awarded an average of 7.60 corners in the past ten games. Leeds should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -150 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Luton

Total

10.20 4.80 5.40

Home

10.50 6.30 4.20

Away

9.80 3.70 6.10

Leeds

Total

10.80 7.60 3.20

Home

10.70 7.90 2.80

Away

10.20 7.00 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-120

Luton Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Leeds Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

Most Corners

1

+180

X

+600

2

-200

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Luton vs Leeds Odds

Bookies favourites Leeds United are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Championship game and the -175 about them triumphing means a 64% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. Luton Town are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +450.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Championship coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+450

X

+320

2

-175

Half-Time Result

1

+500

X

+120

2

+110

Double Chance

1X

+137.5

12

-450

X2

-699

Draw No Bet

1

+333.3

2

-500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-112

2 Hcp -1

+101

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-138

Luton vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Luton vs Leeds team news.

We’ve got details of the Championship squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Luton Town Team Page Leeds United Team Page