Luton vs Portsmouth Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2025

Strong Case for Backing Under 2.5 Goals

There are reasons to side with Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. Luton and Portsmouth could fall short of the line and we really like the odds of -125 that are available for this pick.

No Goals When Teams Last Met

Luton Town were beaten last game and this was on the road at Vicarage Road Stadium. Watford claimed a 2-0 victory. The Hatters managed two shots on target and had 46% possession.

Portsmouth have won their previous three games. The latest was a 2-1 home triumph at Fratton Park against Queens Park Rangers. John Mousinho's team recorded 47% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Josh Murphy and Matt Ritchie both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fratton Park played host to the last encounter between Luton and Portsmouth, with the former playing away. The clash ended in a 0-0 draw.

Luton have 7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. Matt Bloomfield's side have averaged 48.2% possession and 5.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 7.8 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Mark McGuinness has found the net 2 times, with Jacob Brown, Alfie Doughty and Tom Krauss scoring 1 each. The top assist makers are Lasse Nordaas, Carlton Morris and Mark McGuinness, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Pompey have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 4.4 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 1.3 goals. Pompey average 45.4% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Matt Ritchie on 3, followed by Colby Bishop and Connor Ogilvie with 2. Look no further than Josh Murphy for the top assist maker (4) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Luton confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Thomas Kaminski (GK), Christ Makosso, Kal Naismith, Amari'i Bell, Isaiah Jones, Jordan Clark, Thelo Aasgaard, Liam Walsh, Alfie Doughty, Carlton Morris, Jacob Brown.

Portsmouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid (GK), Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, Isaac Hayden, Andre Dozzell, Matt Ritchie, Adil Aouchiche, Josh Murphy, Colby Bishop.

Luton vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips

The best bet for this Championship game could involve going low on the number of goals. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -125 look value.

We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football tips. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Luton vs Portsmouth league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Luton games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Luton games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Luton games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There are similar bets available and that includes Under 1.5 Goals where you can get bigger odds although you don’t want two or more goals to be scored in order to land a return.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Luton 1 - 0 Portsmouth

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Luton to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +575 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Corners Prediction

Portsmouth Over 4.5 Corners -110

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Portsmouth in four consecutive matches. We think it’s possible that Portsmouth will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -110 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Luton

Total

9.60 5.20 4.40

Home

11.10 6.90 4.20

Away

9.60 3.60 6.00

Portsmouth

Total

9.70 6.00 3.70

Home

10.30 6.90 3.40

Away

11.10 4.30 6.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-120

Luton Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Portsmouth Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+600

2

+165

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Luton vs Portsmouth Odds

Luton Town are regarded as having a 49% chance of winning this Championship match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at +105. At +270, Portsmouth are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market are finding it hard to split Unders and Overs.

If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+230

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+110

2

+333.3

Double Chance

1X

-350

12

-300

X2

-138

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+108

2 Hcp +0.5

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-120

Luton vs Portsmouth Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Luton vs Portsmouth team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ve got details of the Championship squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Luton Town Team Page Portsmouth Team Page