Luxembourg vs Germany Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Nov 2025
World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Luxembourg vs Germany
Basement boys Luxembourg square off against Group A leaders Germany at Stade de Luxembourg, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 14 November. Our betting preview features expert World Cup qualifying predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.
We’re expecting Luxembourg to put up a fight against Germany and we’ll back them at +3 on the Asian Handicap. Betting odds of -125 look really appealing that they’re able to perform well enough for a return.
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Luxembourg were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-0 World Cup qualifying loss against Slovakia at Anton Malatinsky. The Red Lions had 50% of possession and one shot on target.
Germany won their previous game 1-0. This was a World Cup qualifying away victory at Windsor Park against Northern Ireland. Julian Nagelsmann's team boasted 63% possession and had two shots on goal, with Nick Woltemade finding the net in the 31st minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Germany won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 4-0 home triumph when facing Luxembourg at PreZero Arena.
| Europe World Cup Qualification | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Luxembourg |
6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1:13 | 0 |
Luxembourg have 7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.4 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts. Jeff Strasser's men have averaged 50.5% possession and 3.1 corners per match, conceding 1.7 goals and 5.1 corners from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.
Gerson Rodrigues is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Aiman Dardari and Seid Korac both have 1. The leading assistor is Danel Sinani with 2.
Germany have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 5.9 shots on goal, 15.9 attempts and 2.2 goals. Die Mannschaft average 65.2% possession, 594.3 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 10.1 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.
Tim Kleindienst and Florian Wirtz top the team’s scoring charts on 4 goals, with Joshua Kimmich on 3. Joshua Kimmich has had 6 assists in the previous 10 games, while Oliver Baumann has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Luxembourg confirmed lineup (4-5-1): Anthony Moris (GK), Laurent Jans, Seid Korac, Dirk Carlson, Florian Bohnert, Olivier Thill, Christopher Martins, Mathias Olesen, Leandro Barreiro, Aiman Dardari, Danel Sinani.
Germany confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Oliver Baumann (GK), Ridle Baku, Waldemar Anton, Jonathan Tah, David Raum, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Leon Goretzka, Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry, Florian Wirtz, Nick Woltemade.
Luxembourg vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Luxembourg vs Germany betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
Luxembourg +3 at -125 on the Asian Handicap is our prediction. We think that the hosts can perform above expectation levels in this World Cup qualifying match, with the betting sites giving them a nice headstart.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest World Cup qualifying form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Luxembourg vs Germany stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There are larger prices available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +525 available that Germany land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Corners Prediction
Germany have not covered the 7.5 corners line in three consecutive games, with Luxembourg conceding under 7.5 corners in their past ten home matches. We recommend backing the -125 that Germany aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.
Luxembourg
Germany
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Get in the game with a bet builder. Our picks are Luxembourg on the Asian Handicap at +3, two or less goals together with Germany to have under 7.5 corners.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Luxembourg vs Germany Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Germany are trading as the gigantic -1429 favourites for this World Cup qualifying encounter. This means the bookmakers give them a 93% probability of winning. At +2400, Luxembourg are regarded as having a much lower probability of winning.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Luxembourg are +1400 here and the draw is +295, with Germany on offer at -303.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -238 available for Both Teams to Score No.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the top betting sites can provide this. For any World Cup qualifying match, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Nick Woltemade is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +245 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is -156.
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 13/10 Slovakia 2 Luxembourg0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 10/10 Germany 4 Luxembourg0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 07/09 Luxembourg 0 Slovakia1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 04/09 Luxembourg 1 Northern Ireland3
- Friendlies: 10/06 Luxembourg 0 Ireland0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 13/10 Northern Ireland 0 Germany1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 10/10 Germany 4 Luxembourg0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 07/09 Germany 3 Northern Ireland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. A: 04/09 Slovakia 2 Germany0
- UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff: 08/06 Germany 0 France2
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Luxembourg Stats
Germany Stats
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Luxembourg vs Germany Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Luxembourg vs Germany before you bet. Expect the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and all current injury developments from us.
Luxembourg Confirmed Lineup 4-5-1
Germany Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Luxembourg Confirmed Lineup 4-5-1
Germany Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Luxembourg Substitutes
- 3Adulai Djabi Embalo
- 5Alessio Curci
- 6Tomas Cruz
- 9Kenan Avdusinovic
- 11Edvin Muratovic
- 12T. Pereira Cardoso
- 14Eric Veiga
- 17Vahid Selimovic
- 20Eldin Dzogovic
- 21Sebastien Thill
- 22Marvin Martins
- 23Lucas Fox
Germany Substitutes
- 2Malick Thiaw
- 6Joshua Kimmich
- 7Jamie Leweling
- 9F. Assan Ouedraogo
- 10Jonathan Burkardt
- 12Alexander Nuebel
- 13Felix Nmecha
- 14Said El Mala
- 15Nico Schlotterbeck
- 16Kevin Schade
- 18Nathaniel Brown
- 21Finn Dahmen
Previous Luxembourg Lineups
Previous Germany Lineups
Luxembourg Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jeff Strasser
Germany Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 4 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 24 |
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 0 |
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