FSV Mainz 05
Football Germany - Bundesliga MEWA Arena Sat 18 Oct 09:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen

Mainz host Bayer Leverkusen in this German Bundesliga clash at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Goals the Pick in Mainz vs Leverkusen

We can’t pass up the chance to bet on odds of -147 for Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The stats imply that Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen will produce at least three goals and we’ll play this selection with confidence.

Feeling our Total Goals pick? Have a quick read of our BetMGM review and grab the latest promo code before you place your bet.

2-2 Draw in Previous H2H

Mainz 05 have lost three straight games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 4-0 away loss to Hamburger SV at Volksparkstadion. The Rhineland-Palatinate side boasted 60% possession and recorded four shots on target.

Bayer Leverkusen made it back-to-back Bundesliga wins after a 2-0 home success over Union Berlin at BayArena. The Werkself had four shots on goal and enjoyed 69% possession, while Ernest Poku and Christian Kofane were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leverkusen have not lost any of the past four games against Mainz, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at MEWA Arena. The past 10 H2H matches have included six Leverkusen victories, two draws and two Mainz wins.

Bundesliga G W D L GF GA GD GD P
5 Leverkusen logo Leverkusen 7 4 2 1 16 11 5 16:11 14
16 Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05 7 1 1 5 8 14 -6 8:14 4
View Full Table
Mainz – Last 10 League Games

Mainz have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 52.8% possession, 413.9 passes and 6.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorers Paul Nebel and Jonathan Burkardt have found the net 3 times, with Nadiem Amiri scoring 2. Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Kaishu Sano and Nadiem Amiri have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Bayer Leverkusen – Last 10 League Games

Leverkusen have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 2.0 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Kasper Hjulmand's team have averaged 56.9% possession, 558.3 passes, 4.4 corners taken and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts.

Patrik Schick has scored 6, followed by Ernest Poku, Malik Tillman and Alejandro Grimaldo with 2 goals apiece. Alejandro Grimaldo and Nathan Tella have clocked up 3 assists, with Mark Flekken keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Lasse Rieß (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Nikolas Veratschnig, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Benedict Hollerbach.

Bayer Leverkusen confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mark Flekken (GK), Loïc Badé, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Arthur, Ezequiel Fernández, Aleix Garcia, Alejandro Grimaldo, Ernest Poku, Jonas Hofmann, Christian Kofane.

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

A generous price of -147 is on offer when it comes to Over 2.5 Goals to be notched and that looks like a great betting opportunity. Back at least three goals to be scored when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Bundesliga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen league stats:

  • The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Leverkusen games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Leverkusen games.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 10 of the last 17 Leverkusen games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 59.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Over 2.5 Goals backers in search of larger odds could consider the Result & Total Goals market. This involves getting a bigger price if you’re correctly able to predict a team to win.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Our Match Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals @ -147 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 15:37, 16 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nadiem Amiri Over 0.5 Shots On Target -102 BetMGM logo

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has racked up at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Bundesliga matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -102 up for grabs.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

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Paul Nebel to Score +350 BetMGM logo

Paul Nebel (Mainz) has registered three goals in his past eight Bundesliga games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +350 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Paul Nebel Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

Leverkusen Under 4.5 Corners -138 BetMGM logo

Bayer Leverkusen have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in four consecutive matches, while Mainz have conceded 3.40 corners on average in their previous 5 home games. We think that Leverkusen will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -138.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Mainz Logo Mainz
Total
10.10 6.40 3.70
Home
9.10 5.30 3.80
Away
9.80 4.90 4.90
Leverkusen Logo Leverkusen
Total
9.90 4.40 5.50
Home
9.30 5.80 3.50
Away
9.90 5.20 4.70
Latest Corner Odds

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Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Over 2.5 -147
Asian Handicap Mainz +0.25 -123
Shots On Target Nadiem Amiri Over 0.5 -102

Our same-game multi selections include three or more goals in total, Mainz on the Asian Handicap at +0.25 accompanied by Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) to record one or more shots on target.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.

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Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Expecting Tight Affair

Mainz 05 are currently available at +155 with the bookmakers to defeat Bayer Leverkusen, with the latter available at the same price. If you’re siding with the draw in this Bundesliga clash, then it can be backed at +255.

There are various ways to back Mainz and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s +120 currently available that they beat Leverkusen and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -182.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Bundesliga match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Patrik Schick Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is +145 available that Patrik Schick finds the net, while he is available at +350 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Player Goals
Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)
First
+145
Anytime
+350
BetMGM Logo
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
First
+220
Anytime
+600
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Christian Michel Kofane (Leverkusen)
First
+230
Anytime
+500
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Nelson Weiper (Mainz)
First
+290
Anytime
+650
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Player Shots On Target
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
Over 0.5
-192
Under 0.5
+112
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Christian Michel Kofane (Leverkusen)
Over 0.5
-152
Under 0.5
-111
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Nelson Weiper (Mainz)
Over 0.5
-133
Under 0.5
-116
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Player Shots
Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)
Over 3.5
-106
Under 3.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
Over 2.5
-114
Under 2.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Álex Grimaldo (Leverkusen)
Over 2.5
+135
Under 2.5
-
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Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)
Over 2.5
+130
Under 2.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Best Betting Offers
MEWA Arena
MEWA Arena

Leverkusen Unbeaten in Past Three H2H MEWA Arena Meetings Against Mainz

Mainz have managed five draws, three losses and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Bayer Leverkusen have not lost on their travels in the past ten matches. The Werkself have clocked up five wins and five draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The previous MEWA Arena encounter involved a 2-2 draw between Mainz and Leverkusen. We’ve seen the past 7 H2H matches at MEWA Arena involve five wins for Leverkusen, one draw and one victory for Mainz.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Mainz logo Mainz Home Stats 2-5-3 2.70 1.40 1.30 4 6 6 4
Bayer Leverkusen logo Bayer Leverkusen Away Stats 5-5-0 3.40 2.10 1.30 6 4 7 3
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Mainz logo Mainz League Stats
Bayer Leverkusen logo Bayer Leverkusen League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Lineups & Team News

Check the Mainz vs Leverkusen team news before you place your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga and all current injury news.

Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1

Bayer Leverkusen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1

Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1

1 Lasse Rieß
21 Danny da Costa 16 Stefan Bell 31 Dominik Kohr
22 Nikolas Veratschnig 6 Kaishu Sano 10 Nadiem Amiri 2 Phillipp Mwene
8 Paul Nebel 7 Jae-Sung Lee
17 Benedict Hollerbach
1 Mark Flekken
5 Loïc Badé 8 Robert Andrich 12 Edmond Tapsoba
13 Arthur 6 Ezequiel Fernández 24 Aleix Garcia 20 Alejandro Grimaldo
19 Ernest Poku 7 Jonas Hofmann
35 Christian Kofane

Bayer Leverkusen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1

Previous Mainz Lineups

05 Oct Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4-0 Mainz 05
02 Oct Europa Conference League
Omonia Nicosia 0-1 Mainz 05
27 Sep Bundesliga
Mainz 05 0-2 Dortmund
20 Sep Bundesliga
Augsburg 1-4 Mainz 05
13 Sep Bundesliga
Mainz 05 0-1 RB Leipzig
31 Aug Bundesliga
Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

Previous Bayer Leverkusen Lineups

04 Oct Bundesliga
Leverkusen 2-0 Union Berlin
01 Oct Champions League
Leverkusen 1-1 PSV
27 Sep Bundesliga
St. Pauli 1-2 Leverkusen
21 Sep Bundesliga
Leverkusen 1-1 B. M'gladbach
18 Sep Champions League
FC Copenhagen 2-2 Leverkusen
12 Sep Bundesliga
Leverkusen 3-1 Frankfurt

Injuries & Suspensions

Mainz Injury Table
Type Name Info
Robin Zentner Red card (direc
Anthony Caci Thigh
Bayer Leverkusen Injury Table
Type Name Info
Patrik Schick Thigh
Alejo Sarco National team c
Jarell Quansah Knee
Axel Tape-Kobrissa Hamstring
Nathan Tella Other
Exequiel Palacios Groin
Germany FlagBundesliga Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 27:4 21
2 RB Leipzig 7 5 1 1 10:9 16
3 Stuttgart 7 5 0 2 11:6 15
4 Dortmund 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Leverkusen 7 4 2 1 16:11 14
6 FC Koln 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 Union Berlin 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
8 Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 17:16 9
9 Freiburg 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Hamburger SV 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
11 Werder Bremen 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
12 St. Pauli 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
13 Augsburg 7 2 1 4 12:14 7
14 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
15 Wolfsburg 7 1 2 4 8:13 5
16 Mainz 05 7 1 1 5 8:14 4
17 Heidenheim 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
18 B. M'gladbach 7 0 3 4 6:15 3
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
4 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
5 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
6 Union Berlin 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Hamburger SV 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
8 FC Koln 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
9 St. Pauli 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
11 Werder Bremen 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
12 Heidenheim 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
13 Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
14 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
15 Wolfsburg 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
16 B. M'gladbach 4 0 2 2 4:10 2
17 Mainz 05 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
18 Hoffenheim 3 0 0 3 2:8 0