Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2024

BVB Facing Tough Test vs Mainz

By backing Mainz +0.5 at -119, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against Dortmund, with the stats backing up this Asian Handicap prediction.

Mainz Won 3-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Mainz 05 played Freiburg on their travels in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Europa-Park Stadion. Bo Henriksen's men enjoyed 49% possession and had two shots on target.

Borussia Dortmund have lost their previous three away games. Their latest appearance was a 2-1 home victory at Signal Iduna Park against RB Leipzig. The North Rhine-Westphalia side had seven shots on goal and enjoyed 58% possession, while Maximilian Beier and Serhou Guirassy found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at MEWA Arena, with Mainz claiming the win. Beating Dortmund by a 3-0 scoreline. Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been three draws. Dortmund have won five games and Mainz two.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	6	3	3	6:3	4
13	Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1:2	1

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Mainz have had 45.6% possession, 384.0 passes and 4.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts, while being awarded 6.2 corners.

Top goalscorer is Jonathan Burkardt on 6 goals, while Armindo Sieb and Nadiem Amiri have both bagged 2. Nadiem Amiri has the most assists with 3, while goalie Robin Zentner has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Dortmund have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.1 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 63.5% possession, 610.1 passes, 6.2 corners taken and 2.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts.

Serhou Guirassy is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Donyell Malen on 3, with Emre Can and two others bagging 2. Karim Adeyemi and Julian Brandt have clocked up 3 assists, with Gregor Kobel keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Phillipp Mwene, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Jonathan Burkardt.

Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Alexander Meyer (GK), Pascal Gross, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson, Felix Nmecha, Maximilian Beier, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Jamie Gittens, Serhou Guirassy.

Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

Mainz +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -119 on the Asian Handicap for their Bundesliga clash, with this being a confident selection on this team.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Mainz in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Mainz in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Mainz in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 11 of their last 17 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Mainz in 3 consecutive games against BVB.

Mainz +0.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -119 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 2 - 2 Dortmund

The teams can be backed at +900 to play out a 2-2 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

With a 52% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund are favourites to win this Bundesliga match and they’re available at betting odds of -108 with the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Mainz 05 are trading at +275.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Bundesliga match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+275

X

+275

2

-108

Half-Time Result

1

+280

X

+148

2

+138

Double Chance

1X

-118

12

-357

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+170

2

-222

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-114

2 Hcp -0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+143

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+140

Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Mainz vs Dortmund team news.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Bundesliga squads.

Mainz 05 Team Page Borussia Dortmund Team Page