FSV Mainz 05
Football Germany - Bundesliga MEWA Arena Fri 21 Nov 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Live Stream
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Injuries
  8. Squads
  9. Table

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs Hoffenheim

Mainz, second from bottom, clash with Hoffenheim at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 21 November.

We’re Expecting Hoffenheim to Cover the Line

The best plan could involve backing Hoffenheim with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -147 when clashing with Mainz. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

Ready to follow our Asian Handicap advice? Start by reading our honest review of BetMGM and activate the current promo code.

Hoffenheim Overcame Mainz in Previous Clash

Mainz 05 were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Eintracht Frankfurt at Deutsche Bank Park. The Rhineland-Palatinate club were dominated in possession with 44%, while they couldn’t manage a single shot on target.

Hoffenheim have won their previous four games. The latest was a 3-1 home win at PreZero Arena against RB Leipzig. Christian Ilzer's team had 48% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Albian Hajdari, Tim Lemperle and Grischa Proemel on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Hoffenheim had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At PreZero Arena, they recorded a 2-0 home victory over Mainz. Mainz have landed victory in six of the past 10 H2H games, with Hoffenheim securing two wins along with two draws.

Bundesliga G W D L GF GA GD GD P
6 Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21 16 5 21:16 19
17 Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05 10 1 2 7 10 18 -8 10:18 5
View Full Table
Mainz – Last 10 League Games

1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 11.4 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal. Mainz have had 49.1% possession, 393.7 passes and 5.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.8 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal, while earning 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Nadiem Amiri has found the net 3 times, Armindo Sieb 2, with Silvan Widmer and two other players on 1. The top assist makers are Benedict Hollerbach, Nadiem Amiri and Andreas Hanche-Olsen, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Hoffenheim – Last 10 League Games

Hoffenheim have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 52.2% possession, 437.7 passes, 5.5 corners taken and 5.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

The leading scorer has been Fisnik Asllani with 5, while Grischa Proemel and Tim Lemperle have 4. Vladimir Coufal has been the top assist maker on 4, with Oliver Baumann notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (4-4-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Lennard Maloney, Dominik Kohr, Phillipp Mwene, Sota Kawasaki, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach, Jae-Sung Lee.

Hoffenheim predicted lineup (3-5-1-1): Oliver Baumann (GK), Robin Hranac, Albian Hajdari, Bernardo, Vladimir Coufal, Grischa Proemel, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Bazoumana Toure, Andrej Kramaric, Tim Lemperle.

Mainz vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our Mainz vs Hoffenheim betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners market forecast, key player props and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll side with Hoffenheim +0.25 for this Bundesliga clash, with an attractive -147 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.

The latest Bundesliga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Mainz vs Hoffenheim league stats:

  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Hoffenheim in 7 consecutive games on the road.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Hoffenheim in 13 of their last 19 games on the road.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Hoffenheim in 12 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 10 consecutive games at home.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 17 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 12 of their last 18 games at home.
Hoffenheim +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 59.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

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Our Match Prediction
Hoffenheim Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 20:37, 19 November 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Paul Nebel Under 0.5 Shots On Target -133 BetMGM logo

Paul Nebel (Mainz) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in six straight Bundesliga matches. On this basis, we can take betting odds of -133 that this Shots on Target bet doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Paul Nebel Player Prop Odds

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Andrej Kramaric to Score +185 BetMGM logo

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim) has managed two goals in his past five Bundesliga games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +185 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Andrej Kramaric Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

Mainz Under 5.5 Corners -110 BetMGM logo

Mainz have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in five consecutive matches, with Hoffenheim conceding under 5.5 corners in their past three games. We advise betting on the -110 that Mainz won’t cover the line, with this Team Corners pick hopefully providing a return.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Mainz Logo Mainz
Total
8.70 5.00 3.70
Home
8.30 5.00 3.30
Away
9.70 5.20 4.50
Hoffenheim Logo Hoffenheim
Total
11.30 5.50 5.80
Home
9.50 4.70 4.80
Away
10.80 4.60 6.20
Latest Corner Odds

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Hoffenheim +0.25 -147
Total Goals Over 2.5 -154
Shots On Target Paul Nebel Under 0.5 -133

If you want to follow our same-game multi, try Hoffenheim to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, more than two goals to be registered together with no shots on target from Paul Nebel (Mainz).

A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

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Mainz vs Hoffenheim Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Anticipating a Tight Affair

The bookmakers have betting odds of +150 for Mainz 05 to triumph in this Bundesliga clash, with Hoffenheim trading at a price of +163 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +255.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Mainz are -122 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Hoffenheim are -111 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -189.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to wager on the Bundesliga coupon and we advise heading to the leading sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Fisnik Asllani Heads First Goalscorer Market

Fisnik Asllani can be backed to find the net anytime at +170. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +440.

Player Goals
Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim)
First
+170
Anytime
+440
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Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim)
First
+185
Anytime
+480
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Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
First
+225
Anytime
+600
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Nelson Weiper (Mainz)
First
+265
Anytime
+650
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Player Shots On Target
Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim)
Over 0.5
-278
Under 0.5
+150
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Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim)
Over 0.5
-227
Under 0.5
+128
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Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)
Over 0.5
-192
Under 0.5
+112
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Nelson Weiper (Mainz)
Over 0.5
-152
Under 0.5
-112
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Best Betting Offers
MEWA Arena
MEWA Arena
Mainz Victorious in Past Four H2H MEWA Arena Clashes

Mainz have recorded five defeats, three victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Hoffenheim haven’t lost any of their past seven away games. Christian Ilzer's team have managed four victories, three draws and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The past meeting at MEWA Arena saw Mainz defeat Hoffenheim 2-0. The past 7 H2H meetings at MEWA Arena have involved five Mainz victories, a single draw and one Hoffenheim win.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Mainz logo Mainz Home Stats 3-2-5 2.80 1.30 1.50 4 6 5 5
Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim Away Stats 4-3-3 4.10 2.20 1.90 8 2 8 2
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Mainz logo Mainz League Stats
Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 4 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists
Live Stream

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Mainz vs Hoffenheim Lineups & Team News

Check the Mainz vs Hoffenheim team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 4-4-2

Hoffenheim Predicted Lineup 3-5-1-1

Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 4-4-2

27 Robin Zentner
21 Danny da Costa 15 Lennard Maloney 31 Dominik Kohr 2 Phillipp Mwene
24 Sota Kawasaki 6 Kaishu Sano 30 Silvan Widmer 8 Paul Nebel
17 Benedict Hollerbach 7 Jae-Sung Lee
1 Oliver Baumann
2 Robin Hranac 21 Albian Hajdari 13 Bernardo
34 Vladimir Coufal 6 Grischa Proemel 7 Leon Avdullahu 18 Wouter Burger 29 Bazoumana Toure
27 Andrej Kramaric
19 Tim Lemperle

Hoffenheim Predicted Lineup 3-5-1-1

Previous Mainz Lineups

09 Nov Bundesliga
Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05
06 Nov Europa Conference League
Mainz 05 2-1 Fiorentina
01 Nov Bundesliga
Mainz 05 1-1 Werder Bremen
29 Oct DFB-Pokal
Mainz 05 0-2 Stuttgart
26 Oct Bundesliga
Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz 05
23 Oct Europa Conference League
Mainz 05 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar

Previous Hoffenheim Lineups

08 Nov Bundesliga
Hoffenheim 3-1 RB Leipzig
02 Nov Bundesliga
Wolfsburg 2-3 Hoffenheim
28 Oct DFB-Pokal
St. Pauli 10-9 Hoffenheim
25 Oct Bundesliga
Hoffenheim 3-1 Heidenheim
19 Oct Bundesliga
St. Pauli 0-3 Hoffenheim
03 Oct Bundesliga
Hoffenheim 0-1 FC Koln

Injuries & Suspensions

Mainz Injury Table
Type Name Info
Andreas Hanche-Olsen Illness
Maxim Dal Cruciate ligame
Anthony Caci Thigh
Nadiem Amiri Muscle
Maxim Leitsch Illness
Hoffenheim Injury Table
Type Name Info
Erencan Yardimci Red card (direc
Hennes Behrens Thigh
Koki Machida Cruciate ligame
Mergim Berisha Other
Valentin Gendrey Ankle
Adam Hlozek Ankle
Germany FlagBundesliga Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 10 9 1 0 35:6 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20:13 22
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16:7 21
4 Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
5 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
6 Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
7 Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23:19 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15:18 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
11 Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
12 B. M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
13 Hamburger SV 10 2 3 5 9:16 9
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
15 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14:24 7
16 St. Pauli 10 2 1 7 9:20 7
17 Mainz 05 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 5 5 0 0 20:1 15
2 Stuttgart 5 5 0 0 9:3 15
3 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
4 RB Leipzig 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
5 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
6 Werder Bremen 5 3 1 1 7:7 10
7 Frankfurt 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
8 Union Berlin 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
9 Freiburg 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
10 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
11 Hamburger SV 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
12 Hoffenheim 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
13 Heidenheim 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 B. M'gladbach 6 1 2 3 7:14 5
15 St. Pauli 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
16 Augsburg 5 1 0 4 6:15 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
18 Mainz 05 5 0 1 4 4:9 1