Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2024
Back Leipzig to Beat Mainz
We’re keen to secure odds of -111 for an away win when Leipzig face Mainz. There’s every chance that the visitors will have the edge and the Full-Time Result market offers plenty of value.
Goalless Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash
Mainz 05 have suffered two consecutive home losses. Their last game was a 3-0 road triumph at Millerntor Stadion when meeting St. Pauli. Bo Henriksen's team had 44% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Jonathan Burkardt getting two goals and Armindo Sieb scoring the other.
RB Leipzig have won two on the bounce, triumphing 1-0 in their previous game. This was away from home against Heidenheim at Voith-Arena. The Red Bulls managed two shots on goal and enjoyed 55% possession, with Ikoma Lois Openda on target in the 59th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
We saw Leipzig and Mainz draw 0-0 at Red Bull Arena Leipzig when the teams last went head-to-head. We’ve looked at the H2H over 10 meetings and there have been two draws. Mainz and Leipzig have won four games each.
Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Mainz have had 42.8% possession, 343.7 passes and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 17.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.1 corners.
Jonathan Burkardt is the top goalscorer with 7, Jae-Sung Lee has 3, with Armindo Sieb and two other players on 2. Nadiem Amiri is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Robin Zentner keeping 2 clean sheets.
RB Leipzig – Last 10 League GamesLeipzig have won 5 and drawn 5, averaging 12.7 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. Marco Rose's men average 53.6% possession, 514.5 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts.
Benjamin Sesko has top scored with 6, followed by Ikoma Lois Openda and Xavi Simons on 5 and 2. Xavi Simons has had 3 assists, with Peter Gulacsi notching 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Mainz confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Maxim Leitsch, Anthony Caci, Philipp Mwene, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Armindo Sieb, Jae-Sung Lee, Jonathan Burkardt.
RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, Lutsharel Geertruida, Antonio Nusa, Arthur Vermeeren, Amadou Haidara, Xavi Simons, Benjamin Sesko, Ikoma Lois Openda.
Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips
We’re of the opinion that Leipzig are really good betting value at odds of -111 when it comes to this Bundesliga clash. The price appeals and we’re bullish of landing a return here.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.
Key Mainz vs RB Leipzig league stats:
Leipzig to Win Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you’re able to forecast that Leipzig will prosper along with the goal tally, then you can mix the two options to secure a bigger price on the Match Result & Total market.

Correct Score Prediction
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +650 and it involves Leipzig winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Mainz vs RB Leipzig Odds
The RB Leipzig betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -120 favourites to land victory in this Bundesliga encounter which means a 55% chance of winning. Mainz 05 are regarded as the least likely winner at +280.
The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite.
Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. Bundesliga selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.







- Bundesliga: 30/03 2024 Leipzig 0 Mainz 0
- Bundesliga: 04/11 2023 Mainz 2 Leipzig 0
- Bundesliga: 01/04 2023 Leipzig 0 Mainz 3
- Bundesliga: 08/10 2022 Mainz 1 Leipzig 1
- Bundesliga: 08/01 2022 Leipzig 4 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 15/08 2021 Mainz 1 Leipzig 0
- Bundesliga: 23/01 2021 Mainz 3 Leipzig 2
- Bundesliga: 20/09 2020 Leipzig 3 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 24/05 2020 Mainz 0 Leipzig 5
- Bundesliga: 02/11 2019 Leipzig 8 Mainz 0


- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Mainz this season are Jonathan Burkardt (5), Armindo Sieb (2), Nadiem Amiri (2)
- Top Assistors for Mainz this season are Nadiem Amiri (2), Philipp Mwene (2), Andreas Hanche-Olsen (1)
Mainz vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Mainz vs Leipzig team news.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Bundesliga squads.
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Mainz 05 Substitutes
- 1Lasse Riess
- 4Aymen Barkok
- 8Paul Nebel
- 14Hyun-Seok Hong
- 16Stefan Bell
- 17Gabriel Vidovic
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 42Daniel Gleiber
- 44Nelson Weiper
RB Leipzig Substitutes
- 5E. C. Bitshiabu
- 6Eljif Elmas
- 9Yussuf Poulsen
- 14C. Baumgartner
- 19Andre Silva
- 25Leopold Zingerle
- 26Maarten Vandevoordt
- 39Benjamin Henrichs
- 44Kevin Kampl
Previous Mainz Lineups
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | B. M'gladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | B. M'gladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |











