Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Sep 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs RB Leipzig

Mainz host RB Leipzig in this German Bundesliga clash at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 13 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect a Close Encounter

Mainz look a good bet to defeat Leipzig and we can back the home team at -137 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.

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Mainz Won Last H2H Encounter

Mainz 05 played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Volkswagen Arena against Wolfsburg. Bo Henriksen's side enjoyed 60% possession and managed three shots on target, with Nadiem Amiri being the goalscorer.

RB Leipzig claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 victory occurred against Heidenheim at Red Bull Arena. The Saxony team managed five shots on goal and enjoyed 60% possession, while Christoph Baumgartner and Romulo Cruz found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mainz beat Leipzig away when the teams last met. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Red Bull Arena. It’s been five Mainz wins, two draws and three Leipzig victories in the past 10 H2H matches.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2	6	-4	2:6	3
13	Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1:2	1

View Full Table

1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. Mainz have had 55.1% possession, 440.3 passes and 6.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Jonathan Burkardt and Paul Nebel lead the way with 3 goals, while Nadiem Amiri has scored 2. Nadiem Amiri is the leading assists maker with 3.

Leipzig have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 52.2% possession, 492.2 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 6.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.1 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts.

Benjamin Sesko and Xavi Simons have top scored with 3 goals, while Ridle Baku is next on 2. Ridle Baku has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games, while Peter Gulacsi has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Lasse Rieß (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Arnaud Nordin, William Böving, Nelson Weiper.

RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Xaver Schlager, Johan Bakayoko, Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Rômulo Cardoso.

Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Mainz vs RB Leipzig betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

Back Mainz with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -137 for this Bundesliga encounter. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.

The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Bundesliga stats to get the full picture.

Key Mainz vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Mainz in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Mainz in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Mainz in 7 of their last 10 games against Leipzig.

Mainz +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -137 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 2 - 1 Leipzig

Mainz are available to back at +800 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nadiem Amiri Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has totalled one or more shots on goal in six consecutive Bundesliga games. We are in favour of betting the -114 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

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Nelson Weiper to Score +280

Nelson Weiper (Mainz) has netted two goals in his past seven Bundesliga games on home soil. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +280 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Nelson Weiper Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -118

Each of the past five Leipzig away games have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered, with the previous four Mainz matches having the same outcome. There are odds of -118 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.50 6.60 3.90

Home

9.30 5.70 3.60

Away

9.60 4.90 4.70

Leipzig

Total

11.80 5.40 6.40

Home

10.80 5.70 5.10

Away

11.10 4.90 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+160

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Mainz vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Betting Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +265 on the 1x2 betting, with RB Leipzig available to bet at odds of +140. Mainz 05 are +170 to claim victory in this Bundesliga encounter.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Leipzig at -128 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Mainz at -104.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -185 on the BTTS market.

The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Bundesliga match before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

+170

X

+265

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

+138

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-189

12

-370

X2

-222

Draw No Bet

1

-104

2

-128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-137

2 Hcp -0.25

+110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-164

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+133

Nelson Weiper Top of First Goalscorer List

Those interested in Nelson Weiper to find the net anytime can get +280, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +650.

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+450

Anytime

+1400

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-167

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-345

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-370

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Mainz Have Won Three of Past Seven H2H MEWA Arena Meetings

Mainz have racked up six draws, three wins and one loss in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Leipzig haven’t won any of their past three away games. The Red Bulls have racked up five draws, four losses and one victory in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

The past meeting at MEWA Arena saw Leipzig defeat Mainz 2-0. There have been three Mainz victories, two draws and two Leipzig wins in the previous 7 H2H meetings at MEWA Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		3-6-1	2.60	1.60	1.00	4	6	6	4
RB Leipzig Away Stats		1-5-4	2.50	0.70	1.80	5	5	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Mainz vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Mainz vs Leipzig without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

Mainz 05 Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page