Mainz vs Rosenborg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Aug 2025

Europa Conference League qualifying Betting Preview: Mainz vs Rosenborg

German Bundesliga outfit Mainz host Norwegian Eliteserien side Rosenborg in the second leg of this Europa Conference League qualifying tie at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 28 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Back Over 2.5 Goals With Confidence

It’s hard to ignore odds of -222 when it comes to betting Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Mainz and Rosenborg will produce a combined three goals and we’ll confidently play this selection.

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Rosenborg 2-1 First-Leg Winners

Mainz 05 lost when last in action. In a home game at MEWA Arena, they were turned over 1-0 by FC Koln in the Bundesliga. The Rhineland-Palatinate outfit had two shots on target and 53% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rosenborg secured a 2-1 home win in the first leg at Lerkendal Stadion, with Ole Sæter striking late to give them the advantage. Mainz dominated possession with 60%, though Rosenborg edged the shots on target 8-4.

Mainz have 1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. The Rhineland-Palatinate outfit have averaged 53.6% possession, 414.2 passes and 5.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Jonathan Burkardt has found the net 4 times, Paul Nebel 3, with Phillipp Mwene and two other players on 1. Nadiem Amiri has recorded the most assists with 3.

RBK have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. The Trolls have averaged 50.6% possession, 457.3 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Dino Islamovic got 8 goals, Marius Broholm notched 2, while Aslak Fonn Witry and two other players scored 1. Emil Konradsen Ceide has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper, Jae-Sung Lee.

Rosenborg confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Sander Tangvik (GK), Aslak Fonn Witry, Mikkel Konradsen Ceide, Tomas Nemcik, Adrian Pereira, Santeri Vaeaenaenen, Ole Kristian Selnaes, Iver Fossum, Simen Bolkan Nordli, Dino Islamovic, Ole Christian Saeter.

Mainz vs Rosenborg Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Mainz vs Rosenborg tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

The Europa Conference League qualifying encounter can produce at least three goals, with the price for Over 2.5 Goals looking really attractive. Bettors can secure -222 that this selection lands and we’re feeling confident.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Europa Conference League qualifying experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Mainz vs Rosenborg Europa Conference League qualifying & league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mainz games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Mainz games.

Over 2.5 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 69% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 75-80%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are lots of betting alternatives and that includes the BTTS Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market. It’s a nice simple bet where you can land a return if both teams score at least one goal before the full-time whistle.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -222 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 2 - 1 Rosenborg

There are odds of +700 available that Mainz land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Paul Nebel to Score +170

Paul Nebel (Mainz) has managed two goals in his past five matches. There are odds of +170 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Paul Nebel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+550

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -118

All of the past four Mainz matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with the same thing happening in the previous two Rosenborg games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Total Corners line to get covered at -118.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.20 6.10 4.10

Home

9.30 5.70 3.60

Away

9.30 4.40 4.90

Rosenborg

Total

8.90 4.70 4.20

Home

11.10 7.00 4.10

Away

9.30 4.70 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-111

Mainz Corners

Over 6.5

-116

Under 6.5

-122

Rosenborg Corners

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+115

Most Corners

1

-455

X

+950

2

+510

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Mainz vs Rosenborg Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mainz Heavy Favourites With the Betting Sites

Mainz 05 are the overwhelming -357 favourites to win this Europa Conference League qualifying clash which means a 78% probability of claiming a victory according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. At +700, Rosenborg are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.

The Asian Handicap can be a good value alternative to Full-Time Result betting. Mainz -1.5 are available to back at -123 and that means you need them to beat Rosenborg by two or more goals.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -141.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Europa Conference League qualifying match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

-357

X

+480

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-133

X

+180

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-909

X2

+205

Draw No Bet

1

-1000

2

+440

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-123

2 Hcp +1.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-238

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

-102

Benedict Hollerbach Favourite to Find the Net First

Those interested in Benedict Hollerbach to find the net anytime are able to get +116. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +420.

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+116

Anytime

+420

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+160

Anytime

+500

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+160

Anytime

+550

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+165

Anytime

+540

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+180

Anytime

+650

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+180

Anytime

+650

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+200

Anytime

+650

Dino Islamovic (Rosenborg)

First

+235

Anytime

+800

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+1150

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+360

Anytime

+1150

Ole Christian Saeter (Rosenborg)

First

+380

Anytime

+1200

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+390

Anytime

+1300

Simen Bolkan Nordli (Rosenborg)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+410

Anytime

+1400

Noah Jean Holm (Rosenborg)

First

+440

Anytime

+1300

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+460

Anytime

+1400

Emil Konraadsen Ceide (Rosenborg)

First

+510

Anytime

+1500

Jesper Reitan-Sunde (Rosenborg)

First

+510

Anytime

+1500

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1800

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Iver Fossum (Rosenborg)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Lennard Maloney (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Latest Europa Conference League qualifying and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Mainz Stats

Rosenborg Stats

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Mainz vs Rosenborg Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Mainz vs Rosenborg team news. We’ll provide the confirmed Europa Conference League qualifying lineups along with the latest injury updates.