Mainz vs Samsunspor Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Dec 2025

Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Mainz vs Samsunspor

German Bundesliga club Mainz host Turkish Super Lig team Samsunspor at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 18 December.

Samsunspor +1 looks like the bet to place on the Asian Handicap. You can secure a price of -132 that the visitors prosper with a one-goal advantage and there’s cash back for a narrow defeat against Mainz.

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Mainz 05 played Bayern Munich on their travels in their last game. It was a 2-2 Bundesliga draw at Allianz Arena. The Rhineland-Palatinate club ended up with just 15% possession and had two shots on target, while Kacper Potulski and Jae-Sung Lee each scored one goal.

Samsunspor lost when last in action. In a Super Lig home game at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu, they were turned over 2-0 by Istanbul Basaksehir. The Red Lightning were 52% in the possession stakes and managed six shots on goal.

In their most recent Europa Conference League engagements, Mainz were held 1-1 when visiting Lech Poznan, while Samsun were beaten 2-1 at home to AEK Athens.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Mainz 05	6	4	1	1	7	3	4	7:3	13
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10:6	10

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Mainz have had 40.8% possession and 4.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Jae-Sung Lee has found the net 2 times, with Kacper Potulski, Sota Kawasaki, Danny da Costa and Benedict Hollerbach scoring 1 each. Benedict Hollerbach is the top assists maker on 2.

Samsun have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.2 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Samsun team average 53.2% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 8.0 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Anthony Musaba and Marius Mouandilmadji have top scored with 3 goals, while Emre Kilinc is next on 2. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Emre Kilinc, Zeki Yavru and Carlo Holse who have all made 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Daniel Batz (GK), Dominik Kohr, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Jae-Sung Lee, Kaishu Sano, Paul Nebel, Silvan Widmer, Nadiem Amiri, Nelson Weiper.

Samsunspor confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Okan Kocuk (GK), Zeki Yavru, Lubomir Satka, Rick van Drongelen, Logi Tomasson, Antoine Makoumbou, Emre Kilinc, Carlo Holse, Olivier Ntcham, Anthony Musaba, Marius Mouandilmadji.

Mainz vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Mainz vs Samsunspor betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

For Samsunspor +1 to secure a return at -132, we need a win or a draw in this Europa Conference League encounter. We are expecting the match to be competitive and have confidence in the underdogs.

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Europa Conference League experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.

Key Mainz vs Samsunspor Europa Conference League & league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Samsunspor in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Samsunspor in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 7 consecutive games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in any of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 19 of their last 20 games.

The best betting apps make it a 56.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are different options to wager on Samsun, with Winning Margin a great alternative. Select the fixed interval and get paid out if you’re correct.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Samsunspor Asian Hcp +1 @ -132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 16 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 1 - 1 Samsunspor

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +500 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cherif Ndiaye to Score +310

Cherif Ndiaye (Samsunspor) has racked up three goals in his past five away games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +310 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Cherif Ndiaye Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+235

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Mainz Under 5.5 Corners -122

The past 10 Mainz games have involved them having an average of 4.10 corners, with Samsunspor conceding under 5.5 corners in their previous eight matches. The Mainz Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -122.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

8.00 4.10 3.90

Home

8.80 5.50 3.30

Away

9.00 4.90 4.10

Samsunspor

Total

9.10 6.00 3.10

Home

9.50 6.30 3.20

Away

11.50 5.10 6.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-125

Samsunspor Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-114

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+650

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Samsunspor Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 56% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Mainz 05 are favourites to prosper in this Europa Conference League encounter and they’re available at -127 with the bookies. The market implies that Samsunspor are the most unlikely to win at +300.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Mainz are +130 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Samsun are +310 and the draw is priced at +145.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Europa Conference League game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-127

X

+290

2

+300

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+145

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-455

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+188

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-133

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+112

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+118

Benedict Hollerbach is available at +175 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +450 to find the net first.

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+200

Anytime

+475

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Cherif Ndiaye (Samsunspor)

First

+235

Anytime

+550

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Marius Mouandilmadji (Samsunspor)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Carlo Holse (Samsunspor)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Anthony Musaba (Samsunspor)

First

+375

Anytime

+850

Tanguy Coulibaly (Samsunspor)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Celil Yüksel (Samsunspor)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Emre Kilinç (Samsunspor)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Olivier Ntcham (Samsunspor)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Kaishu Sano (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Lennard Maloney (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Joe Mendes (Samsunspor)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Logi Tomasson (Samsunspor)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Mainz Stats

Samsunspor Stats

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 40.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 43.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Mainz vs Samsunspor Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Mainz vs Samsunspor team news before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups along with timely injury updates.

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