Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2025

Strong Case for Backing Under 2.5 Goals

Mainz and St. Pauli could be set for a low-scoring encounter. We will therefore head to the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be backed at an eye-catching price of -138.

Mainz 3-0 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Mainz 05 won their last game. It was on their travels where Heidenheim were beaten 2-0 at Voith-Arena. The 05ers recorded 44% possession and had five shots on target, while Jonathan Burkardt and Nelson Weiper each scored one goal.

St. Pauli have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Freiburg by a 1-0 scoreline at Millerntor Stadion. Alexander Blessin's team recorded 53% possession and had one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mainz won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 3-0 away victory was recorded against St. Pauli at Millerntor Stadion.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Mainz have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Bo Henriksen's side have averaged 49.4% possession, 427.4 passes and 4.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.0 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 5.4 corners.

Jonathan Burkardt and Paul Nebel lead the way with 4 goals, while Nelson Weiper has scored 2. Anthony Caci, Jonathan Burkardt and Armindo Sieb are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Robin Zentner managing 4 clean sheets.

St. Pauli have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.4 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Hamburg club average 43.9% possession, 416.6 passes, 3.7 corners taken and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

The leading goalscorers have been Morgan Guilavogui on 4, Johannes Eggestein with 2 and Danel Sinani 1. Jackson Irvine has been the top assist maker on 2, with Nikola Vasilj notching 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Paul Nebel, Nadiem Amiri, Philipp Mwene, Jonathan Burkardt, Nelson Weiper.

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, David Nemeth, Philipp Treu, Jackson Irvine, Siebe van der Heyden, Lars Ritzka, Noah Weisshaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Elias Saad.

Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

We don’t think the net will bulge too many times in this Bundesliga game. For this reason, we’re backing Under 2.5 Goals and this selection is attractively priced at -138.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our football picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Mainz vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mainz games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Mainz games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Mainz games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 St. Pauli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 St. Pauli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 St. Pauli games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 57.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Under 2.5 Goals is a pick that can be included in a Bet Builder. You can load up the bet slip with a variety of options and get paid out if they all end up winning, with bigger odds secured.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 2 - 0 St. Pauli

An exciting bet could be a 2-0 victory in favor of Mainz at odds of +600. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Over 3.5 Corners -120

St. Pauli have had over 3.5 corners in three straight away matches, while Mainz have had an average of 5.40 corners against them in their previous 10 games. St. Pauli should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -120 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

9.70 4.30 5.40

Home

9.10 5.80 3.30

Away

10.50 3.80 6.70

St. Pauli

Total

9.00 3.70 5.30

Home

8.30 3.80 4.50

Away

9.70 3.60 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-286

X

+600

2

+265

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Mainz vs St. Pauli Odds

The bookies have Mainz 05 at -141 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 58% likely to win this Bundesliga match according to the latest betting odds. St. Pauli are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +390.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Bundesliga coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+265

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+133

X

+123

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-370

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-345

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-104

2 Hcp +0.75

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-125

Mainz vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Mainz vs St. Pauli team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Bundesliga squads.

Mainz 05 Team Page St. Pauli Team Page