Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs St. Pauli

Basement boys Mainz take on third-from-bottom St. Pauli at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 21 December.

St. Pauli +0.5 could be the value play when they clash with Mainz. We’ll take the Asian Handicap price of -109 that the away team land a victory or draw, giving us a strong chance of a return.

Betting on our Asian Handicap selection? Access the updated BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the platform before locking in your bet.

Bottom-of-the-table Mainz 05 drew away from home in their last Bundesliga game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Bayern Munich at Allianz Arena. Urs Fischer's team had just 15% possession and recorded two shots on target, with Kacper Potulski and Jae-Sung Lee scoring one goal apiece.

Three days ago, Mainz won 2-0 when hosting Samsunspor in the Europa Conference League.

St. Pauli claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 victory occurred against Heidenheim at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg club were restricted to just 36% possession and had five shots on goal, with Martijn Kaars netting twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mainz overcame St. Pauli at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-0 scoreline at MEWA Arena.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Mainz 05	20	4	6	10	23	33	-10	23:33	18
17	St. Pauli	20	3	5	12	18	34	-16	18:34	14

View Full Table

Mainz have 7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 42.3% possession, 371.8 passes and 4.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 2.2 goals from 6.5 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Jae-Sung Lee and Nadiem Amiri lead the way with 2 goals, while Kacper Potulski has 1. Stefan Bell, William Boeving and Benedict Hollerbach are the leading assists makers with 1.

St. Pauli have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 45.8% possession, 456.0 passes, 5.4 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.

Martijn Kaars has scored 2 goals, followed by Ricky-Jade Jones, Andreas Hountondji, Louis Oppie and Hauke Wahl on 1. Joel Chima Fujita has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Daniel Batz (GK), Dominik Kohr, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Kaishu Sano, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Silvan Widmer, Nadiem Amiri, Benedict Hollerbach.

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Joel Chima Fujita, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Louis Oppie, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Mainz vs St. Pauli tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

We’re taking St. Pauli on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Bundesliga encounter, with this wager looking like value at -109.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Bundesliga team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Mainz vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 12 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 13 of their last 18 games at home.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to back St. Pauli without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Match Prediction

St. Pauli Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -109 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (15:37, 19 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 1 - 1 St. Pauli

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +500. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Benedict Hollerbach Under 0.5 Shots On Target +105

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in five straight Bundesliga matches. There is juice when it comes to going under the Shots on Target line and this is priced at +105.

Latest Benedict Hollerbach Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

Shots

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

---

Danny Da Costa To Score +650

Danny Da Costa (Mainz) can be backed to score at +650. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Danny Da Costa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Shots

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Over 3.5 Corners -123

There’s been an average of 5.40 corners for St. Pauli in their past 10 games, with the corner count against Mainz going over 3.5 in their last five matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing St. Pauli to cover the Team Corners line, with -123 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

8.30 4.00 4.30

Home

9.50 6.00 3.50

Away

9.50 4.70 4.80

St. Pauli

Total

10.40 5.40 5.00

Home

10.20 6.50 3.70

Away

7.30 2.80 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-139

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-111

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+650

2

+190

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs St. Pauli Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Bundesliga encounter, the bookmakers have Mainz 05 as the -111 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 53% chance of triumphing. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +310 for St. Pauli.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. St. Pauli are +325 here and the draw is +117, with Mainz on offer at +155.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-111

X

+240

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+117

2

+325

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-333

X2

-118

Draw No Bet

1

-270

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-110

2 Hcp +0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-118

There is +210 available that Benedict Hollerbach finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +525.

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

James Sands (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Maxim Leitsch (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-127

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-143

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-143

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-161

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-217

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

James Sands (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-714

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

James Sands (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Mainz have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

St. Pauli have gone without an away win in the last six games. The Hamburg club have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The most recent MEWA Arena meeting saw Mainz claim a 2-0 win over St. Pauli.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		3-2-5	2.30	1.00	1.30	2	8	4	6
St. Pauli Away Stats		2-3-5	2.30	0.90	1.40	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Mainz vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

Check the Mainz vs St. Pauli team news before you place your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups plus current injury reports.

Mainz 05 Team Page St. Pauli Team Page

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