Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Mainz vs St. Pauli
Mainz take on St. Pauli at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 21 December.
St. Pauli +0.5 could be the value play when they clash with Mainz. We’ll take the Asian Handicap price of -109 that the away team land a victory or draw, giving us a strong chance of a return.
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Mainz 05 drew away from home in their last Bundesliga game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Bayern Munich at Allianz Arena. Urs Fischer's team had just 15% possession and recorded two shots on target, with Kacper Potulski and Jae-Sung Lee scoring one goal apiece.
Three days ago, Mainz won 2-0 when hosting Samsunspor in the Europa Conference League.
St. Pauli claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 victory occurred against Heidenheim at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg club were restricted to just 36% possession and had five shots on goal, with Martijn Kaars netting twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Mainz overcame St. Pauli at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-0 scoreline at MEWA Arena.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |  St. Pauli |
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 18 |  Mainz 05 |
14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13:26 | 7 |
Mainz have 7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 42.3% possession, 371.8 passes and 4.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 2.2 goals from 6.5 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 4.3 corners.
Jae-Sung Lee and Nadiem Amiri lead the way with 2 goals, while Kacper Potulski has 1. Stefan Bell, William Boeving and Benedict Hollerbach are the leading assists makers with 1.
St. Pauli have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 45.8% possession, 456.0 passes, 5.4 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.
Martijn Kaars has scored 2 goals, followed by Ricky-Jade Jones, Andreas Hountondji, Louis Oppie and Hauke Wahl on 1. Joel Chima Fujita has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Mainz predicted lineup (3-2-4-1): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Kacper Potulski, Sota Kawasaki, Nikolas Veratschnig, William Boeving, Lennard Maloney, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Benedict Hollerbach.
St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-5-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Joel Chima Fujita, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Louis Oppie, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Mainz vs St. Pauli tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
We’re taking St. Pauli on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Bundesliga encounter, with this wager looking like value at -109.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Bundesliga team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Mainz vs St. Pauli league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you want to back St. Pauli without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.
Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
St. Pauli
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +500. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in five straight Bundesliga matches. There is juice when it comes to going under the Shots on Target line and this is priced at +105.
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Danny Da Costa (Mainz) can be backed to score at +650. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
There’s been an average of 5.40 corners for St. Pauli in their past 10 games, with the corner count against Mainz going over 3.5 in their last five matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing St. Pauli to cover the Team Corners line, with -123 available.
Mainz
St. Pauli
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Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: St. Pauli with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, less than three goals and Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz) to not have a shot on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Mainz vs St. Pauli Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
For this Bundesliga encounter, the bookmakers have Mainz 05 as the -115 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 53% chance of triumphing. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +320 for St. Pauli.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. St. Pauli are +335 here and the draw is +118, with Mainz on offer at +150.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
There is +210 available that Benedict Hollerbach finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +525.
Mainz have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
St. Pauli have gone without an away win in the last six games. The Hamburg club have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
The most recent MEWA Arena meeting saw Mainz claim a 2-0 win over St. Pauli.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz Home Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.30 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 6 | |
| St. Pauli Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.30 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Mainz League Stats
St. Pauli League Stats
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Mainz this season are Nadiem Amiri (3), Armindo Sieb (2), Jae-Sung Lee (2)
- Top Assistors for Mainz this season are Andreas Hanche-Olsen (1), Benedict Hollerbach (1), Kaishu Sano (1)
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Mainz vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News
Check the Mainz vs St. Pauli team news before you place your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups plus current injury reports.
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-2-4-1
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-2-4-1
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Mainz Lineups
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Urs Fischer
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 51:11 | 38 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26:12 | 32 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29:16 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29:20 | 26 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29:29 | 24 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:23 | 18 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:28 | 16 |
| 13 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:30 | 11 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13:26 | 7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 31:6 | 22 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 17 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 16 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Heidenheim | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 2 |
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