Málaga vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Málaga vs Almería

Málaga take on Almería at Estadio La Rosaleda, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Sunday 21 December.

The odds of -120 catch the eye when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection as we expect both Málaga and Almería to find the net. The stats suggest that this outcome is likely to happen.

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Málaga won their last game 3-1. This was an away victory at Estadio Carlos Belmonte against Albacete. Los Boquerones had five shots on target and boasted 57% possession, with David Larrubia, Dani Lorenzo and Chupe scoring one goal apiece.

Almería lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Burgos by a 2-1 scoreline at UD Almeria Stadium. Rubi's men recorded four shots on goal and had 52% possession, with Thalys on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Almería are unbeaten when it comes to the past nine games against Málaga, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw at UD Almeria Stadium. The 9 most recent H2H games have included five Almería victories along with four draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	18	9	5	4	34	24	10	34:24	32
11	Málaga	18	6	5	7	24	23	1	24:23	23

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Málaga have had 53.1% possession and 4.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts, while being awarded 5.0 corners.

Chupe, Adrian Nino, Rafa Rodriguez and Eneko Jauregi are the leading goalscorers with 3, while David Larrubia has 2. Victor, Joaquin Munoz and Julen Lobete have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Almería have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 6.3 shots on goal, 11.5 attempts and 2.0 goals. Los Indálicos average 53.3% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 8.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Sergio Arribas and Adrian Embarba have 5 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Daijiro Chirino on 3. Sergio Arribas has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Málaga predicted lineup (4-3-3): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Angel Recio, Einar Galilea, Víctor García, Carlos Dotor, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, David Larrubia, Eneko Jauregi, Joaquín Muñoz.

Almería predicted lineup (4-3-3): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Aridane Hernández, Nélson Monte, Álex Muñoz, Dion Lopy, Sergio Arribas, Stefan Dzodic, Leo Baptistao, Thalys, Adrián Embarba.

Málaga vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Málaga vs Almería, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Goals could be on the cards and we’re backing both sides to find the net in this La Liga 2 encounter. You can get odds of -120 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection and this looks like real value.

Sportsgambler.com boast La Liga 2 expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Málaga vs Almería league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Málaga games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Málaga games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Málaga games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Almería games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Almería games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Almería games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 games between these teams.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There are plenty of other exciting betting options and that includes the Total Goals market where you can back Over 2.5 at a similar sort of price.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Málaga 1 - 1 Almería

The teams can be backed at +410 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sergio Arribas to Score +320

Sergio Arribas (Almería) has scored three goals in his past five La Liga 2 games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +320.

Latest Sergio Arribas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+650

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Corners Prediction

Almería Under 4.5 Corners -123

Almería have had under 4.5 corners in seven consecutive away games, with Málaga conceding less than 4.5 corners in their past three home matches. The number of Almería corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -123.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Málaga

Total

9.00 4.00 5.00

Home

8.00 4.50 3.50

Away

9.60 3.80 5.80

Almería

Total

9.40 5.30 4.10

Home

11.30 7.80 3.50

Away

7.70 3.20 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-154

Málaga Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-159

Almería Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-123

Most Corners

1

+118

X

+600

2

-115

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Málaga vs Almería Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies have Almería at +123 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 45% likely to win this La Liga 2 encounter according to the latest betting odds. Málaga are the outsiders at +205 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

A win for Almería would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -112 that they overcome Málaga going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

All of the La Liga 2 matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+220

2

+123

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

+117

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-345

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+116

2

-167

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-127

2 Hcp -0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-118

There is +240 available that Ibrahima Koné finds the net, while he is available at +500 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+240

Anytime

+500

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+285

Anytime

+600

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Juan Pedro Jiménez "Juanpe" (Málaga)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Josue Dorrio (Málaga)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Silvi Clua (Almería)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Lucas Robertone (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Dion Lopy (Almería)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Aridane Hernández (Almería)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Daijiro Chirino (Almería)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Málaga are unbeaten over their previous five games at Estadio La Rosaleda. Los Boquerones have racked up five draws, four wins and one loss in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Almería have racked up four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Málaga were involved in a 1-1 draw when last meeting Almería at Estadio La Rosaleda. The previous 5 H2H meetings at Estadio La Rosaleda have featured three Almería victories and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Málaga Home Stats		4-5-1	3.10	1.90	1.20	6	4	7	3
Almería Away Stats		4-4-2	2.70	1.50	1.20	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Málaga vs Almería Lineups & Team News

The Málaga vs Almería team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga 2 and all current injury news.

Málaga Team Page Almería Team Page

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