Málaga vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Málaga vs Almería

Málaga take on Almería at Estadio La Rosaleda, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Sunday 21 December.

The odds of -120 catch the eye when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection as we expect both Málaga and Almería to find the net. The stats suggest that this outcome is likely to happen.

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Málaga won their last game 3-1. This was an away victory at Estadio Carlos Belmonte against Albacete. Los Boquerones had five shots on target and boasted 57% possession, with David Larrubia, Dani Lorenzo and Chupe scoring one goal apiece.

Almería lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Burgos by a 2-1 scoreline at UD Almeria Stadium. Rubi's men recorded four shots on goal and had 52% possession, with Thalys on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Almería are unbeaten when it comes to the past nine games against Málaga, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw at UD Almeria Stadium. The 9 most recent H2H games have included five Almería victories along with four draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Almería	24	11	6	7	45	35	10	45:35	39
6	Málaga	24	11	5	8	36	28	8	36:28	38

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Málaga have had 53.1% possession and 4.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts, while being awarded 5.0 corners.

Chupe, Adrian Nino, Rafa Rodriguez and Eneko Jauregi are the leading goalscorers with 3, while David Larrubia has 2. Victor, Joaquin Munoz and Julen Lobete have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Almería have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 6.3 shots on goal, 11.5 attempts and 2.0 goals. Los Indálicos average 53.3% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 8.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Sergio Arribas and Adrian Embarba have 5 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Daijiro Chirino on 3. Sergio Arribas has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.

Confirmed Lineups

Málaga confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Victor, Dani Lorenzo, Izan Merino, Carlos Dotor, David Larrubia, Chupe, Joaquin Munoz.

Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Aridane Hernandez, Nelson Monte, Alex Munoz, Iddrisu Baba, Dion Lopy, Sergio Arribas, Gui Guedes, Adrian Embarba, Thalys.

Málaga vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Málaga vs Almería, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Goals could be on the cards and we’re backing both sides to find the net in this La Liga 2 encounter. You can get odds of -120 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection and this looks like real value.

Sportsgambler.com boast La Liga 2 expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Málaga vs Almería league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Málaga games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Málaga games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Málaga games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Almería games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Almería games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Almería games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 games between these teams.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There are plenty of other exciting betting options and that includes the Total Goals market where you can back Over 2.5 at a similar sort of price.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (14:08, 19 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Málaga 1 - 1 Almería

The teams can be backed at +400 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sergio Arribas to Score +320

Sergio Arribas (Almería) has scored three goals in his past five La Liga 2 games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +320.

Latest Sergio Arribas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Almería Under 4.5 Corners -123

Almería have had under 4.5 corners in seven consecutive away games, with Málaga conceding less than 4.5 corners in their past three home matches. The number of Almería corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -123.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Málaga

Total

9.00 4.00 5.00

Home

8.00 4.50 3.50

Away

9.60 3.80 5.80

Almería

Total

9.40 5.30 4.10

Home

11.30 7.80 3.50

Away

7.70 3.20 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-147

Málaga Corners

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-139

Almería Corners

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-133

Most Corners

1

+104

X

+600

2

-102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Málaga vs Almería Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Almería are +140 with the bookies to get the better of Málaga, with the latter having betting odds of +180. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this La Liga 2 encounter, this can be wagered at +225.

A win for Almería would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get +104 that they overcome Málaga going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -137.

All of the La Liga 2 matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+225

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

+120

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-357

X2

-270

Draw No Bet

1

-102

2

-137

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

-106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-104

There is +245 available that Ibrahima Koné finds the net, while he is available at +550 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+275

Anytime

+600

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Juan Pedro Jiménez "Juanpe" (Málaga)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Josue Dorrio (Málaga)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Silvi Clua (Almería)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Lucas Robertone (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Moussa Diarra (Málaga)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Dion Lopy (Almería)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Aridane Hernández (Almería)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Daijiro Chirino (Almería)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Álex Centelles (Almería)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Álex Muñoz (Almería)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Málaga are unbeaten over their previous five games at Estadio La Rosaleda. Los Boquerones have racked up five draws, four wins and one loss in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Almería have racked up four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Málaga were involved in a 1-1 draw when last meeting Almería at Estadio La Rosaleda. The previous 5 H2H meetings at Estadio La Rosaleda have featured three Almería victories and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Málaga Home Stats		4-5-1	3.10	1.90	1.20	6	4	7	3
Almería Away Stats		4-4-2	2.70	1.50	1.20	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Málaga vs Almería Lineups & Team News

The Málaga vs Almería team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga 2 and all current injury news.

Málaga Team Page Almería Team Page

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