Málaga vs Burgos Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Málaga vs Burgos

Málaga host Burgos at Estadio La Rosaleda, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 23 January.

Málaga look like a spot of value at +105 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Burgos based on the information available.

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Málaga have got the win in their last five games. Most recently, a 1-0 victory occurred on the road when meeting Córdoba at Estadio El Arcangel. Juan Funes' team had 40% possession and three shots on target, with David Larrubia netting the winner in the 29th minute.

Burgos have won their previous two La Liga 2 matches. The latest was a 1-0 home victory at Estadio El Plantio against Huesca. The Castile and León outfit were 48% in the possession stakes and recorded four shots on goal, with Fer Nino firing the winner in the 73rd minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burgos have avoided defeat against Málaga in the past seven meetings. In the last encounter, home team Burgos claimed a 2-1 win at Estadio El Plantio. The 7 most recent H2H games have included four Burgos victories along with three draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Málaga	22	10	5	7	32	26	6	32:26	35
7	Burgos	22	10	5	7	26	20	6	26:20	35

View Full Table

Málaga have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Los Boquerones have averaged 51.6% possession and 4.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 4.1 corners.

Chupe leads the way with 5 goals, Adrian Nino has 4, with David Larrubia and two others on 2. Victor has recorded the most assists with 2.

Burgos have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 6.7 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. Luis Ramis' side average 49.0% possession, 4.5 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

Mario Gonzalez has scored 2 goals, followed by Fer Nino, Inigo Cordoba, David Gonzalez and Ivan Morante on 1. Aitor Cordoba, Florian Miguel and Curro Sanchez have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Málaga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Rafita, David Larrubia, Carlos Dotor, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, Chupete, Adrián Niño.

Burgos predicted lineup (4-4-2): Ander Cantero Armendariz (GK), Álex Lizancos, Sergio Gonzalez, Grego Sierra, Florian Miguel, David González, Miguel Angel Atienza, Iván Morante, Iñigo Córdoba, Víctor Mollejo, Curro.

Málaga vs Burgos Prediction & Betting Tips

We bring you the complete Málaga vs Burgos betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, key corners pick, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that Málaga can get the upper hand in this La Liga 2 game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of +105 look too good to resist.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest La Liga 2 team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Málaga vs Burgos league stats:

• Málaga have won 5 consecutive games.
• Málaga have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Málaga have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Those who are looking for bigger odds when backing Málaga should consider the Asian Handicap. Place a wager on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Málaga To Win @ +105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (20:38, 21 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Málaga 1 - 0 Burgos

There could be merit in backing Málaga to win 1-0. Odds of +400 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dani Lorenzo to Score +540

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga) has racked up two goals in his past four La Liga 2 matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +540 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Dani Lorenzo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+540

First

+1050

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -143

We’ve seen an average 11.40 corners in the past five Burgos away games, while there has been over 8.5 corners in three straight Burgos matches. We think it’s achievable that the sides will cover the Total Corners line and there are odds of -143 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Málaga

Total

8.50 4.40 4.10

Home

7.10 3.50 3.60

Away

9.80 4.30 5.50

Burgos

Total

10.00 4.50 5.50

Home

7.90 4.10 3.80

Away

9.30 4.10 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-102

Málaga Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-161

Burgos Corners

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-132

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+650

2

+190

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Málaga vs Burgos Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 49% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Málaga are favourites to prosper in this La Liga 2 encounter and they’re available at +105 with the bookies. Burgos are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +280.

If you think Málaga can overcome Burgos, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -139 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -156 about Both Teams to Score No.

The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to La Liga 2 games.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+200

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+102

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-303

X2

-152

Draw No Bet

1

-233

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-139

2 Hcp +0.25

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-213

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-156

Those interested in favourite Carlos Ruiz Rubio to find the net first can get +480, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +240.

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+240

Anytime

+480

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+275

Anytime

+550

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+290

Anytime

+550

Fernando Niño "Fer Niño" (Burgos)

First

+350

Anytime

+650

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Curro Sanchez (Burgos)

First

+440

Anytime

+850

Juan Pedro Jiménez "Juanpe" (Málaga)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

David González Ballesteros (Burgos)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Josue Dorrio (Málaga)

First

+500

Anytime

+900

Ivan Chapela (Burgos)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Iñigo Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+540

Anytime

+1000

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Marcelo Expósito Jiménez (Burgos)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Luismi Sánchez Benítez (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Moussa Diarra (Málaga)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Ivan Morante (Burgos)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Florian Miguel (Burgos)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Málaga have not lost at Estadio La Rosaleda in the past seven matches. Juan Funes' team have six wins, three draws and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Burgos have collected five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Málaga and Burgos played out a 2-2 draw when the teams last met at Estadio La Rosaleda. In the previous 3 meetings at Estadio La Rosaleda, it’s been two draws and a victory for Burgos.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Málaga Home Stats		6-3-1	3.10	2.00	1.10	7	3	7	3
Burgos Away Stats		5-1-4	2.60	1.40	1.20	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Málaga vs Burgos Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Málaga vs Burgos team news before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups along with timely injury updates.

Málaga Team Page Burgos Team Page

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