Mali vs Senegal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Jan 2026
Africa Cup of Nations Betting Preview: Mali vs Senegal
Mali square off against Senegal in this Africa Cup of Nations quarter-final at Stade Ibn-Batouta, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Friday 9 January.
There’s a strong case for backing Senegal -0.75 on the Asian Handicap against Mali at -128. It means your stake is equally split between -0.5 and -1, so we need a win by two goals for a full return.
Betting on our Asian Handicap selection? Access the updated BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the platform before locking in your bet.
Group A runners-up Mali come into this quarter-final after edging past Tunisia on penalties following a 1–1 draw after extra time at Stade Mohamed V in the round of 16. The Eagles had just 28% possession and recorded one shot on target, while Lassine Sinayoko was the goalscorer.
Group D winners Senegal claimed a 3–1 round of 16 win over Sudan at Stade Ibn-Batouta last time out. Pape Thiaw's team racked up nine shots on goal and boasted 67% possession, with Pape Gueye on the scoresheet twice and Ibrahim Mbaye also finding the net.
| Africa Cup of Nations | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Mali |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 1 |  Senegal |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7:1 | 7 |
1 win and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. Mali have had 47.0% possession, 404.0 passes and 3.0 corners per game. On average, Tom Saintfiet's side have conceded 1.3 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.8 corners.
Lassine Sinayoko has scored 3 goals.
Senegal have won 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.5 goals from 15.8 attempts and 8.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 62.5% possession, 512.3 passes, 5.8 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 6.0 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Pape Gueye, Cherif Ndiaye and Nicolas Jackson, with 2 goals apiece. Sadio Mane has been the chief assist maker in the previous 4 games with 3.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Mali predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Djigui Diarra (GK), Hamari Traore, Abdoulaye Diaby, Ousmane Camara, Amadou Dante, Yves Bissouma, Aliou Dieng, Mamadou Sangare, Kamory Doumbia, Dorgeles Nene, Lassine Sinayoko.
Senegal predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Edouard Mendy (GK), Krepin Diatta, Kalidou Koulibaly, Moussa Niakhate, Ismail Jakobs, Pape Gueye, Idrissa Gana Gueye, Ismaila Sarr, Iliman Ndiaye, Sadio Mane, Nicolas Jackson.
Mali vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips
Prepare for Mali vs Senegal with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
Take Senegal -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -128. The price makes plenty of appeal that the favourites comfortably beat Mali, with this Africa Cup of Nations quarter-final being potentially one-sided.
Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the Africa Cup of Nations form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.
Key Mali vs Senegal stats:
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 56.2% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.
Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Senegal
There are odds of +460 available that the Lions of Teranga land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Iliman Ndiaye (Senegal) can be wagered to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -120. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Habib Diallo (Senegal) has racked up two goals in his past four games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +250 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi always adds excitement and the picks are Senegal on the Asian Handicap at -0.75, Under 2.5 goals along with Iliman Ndiaye (Senegal) to finish with one or more shots on target.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Mali vs Senegal Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
For this Africa Cup of Nations quarter-final, Senegal are the -167 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that the Lions of Teranga have a 63% chance of winning. At +575, Mali are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Senegal available at +117 and Mali at +525. The third option is the draw which is priced at +116.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at -175.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Africa Cup of Nations match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Sadio Mané is the First Goalscorer favourite at +380. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +170.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Mali Stats
Senegal Stats
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 6.75 corners conceded in the last 4 matches
- An average of 5.25 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 4 home matches
- An average of 9.75 corners awarded in the last 4 matches
- An average of 10.25 corners awarded in the last 4 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 3 of the last 4 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 2 of the last 4 home matches
- An average of 5.75 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 4 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 2.00 corners against in the last 2 away matches
- An average of 8.75 corners awarded in the last 4 matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded in the last 2 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 0 of the last 4 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 0 of the last 2 away matches
- An average of 47.00% possession in the last 4 matches
- An average of 49.75% possession in the last 4 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 4 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 4 home matches
Mali vs Senegal Lineups & Team News
Check the Mali vs Senegal team news before you place your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Africa Cup of Nations lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Mali Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Senegal Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Mali Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Senegal Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Mali Lineups
Previous Senegal Lineups
Mali Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tom Saintfiet
Senegal Player Stats & Squad
Africa Cup of Nations Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | DR Congo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Gabon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 0 |
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