Mali vs Tunisia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026
Africa Cup of Nations Betting Preview: Mali vs Tunisia
Group A runners-up Mali take on Tunisia, who finished second in Group C, in this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 showdown at Stade Mohamed V, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Saturday 3 January.
Tunisia at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Mali. Backing the Eagles of Carthage at -130 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.
Mali drew 0-0 with Comoros in their last game, with this taking place at Stade Mohamed V. Mali dominated possession with 68% of the ball and had two shots on target.
Tunisia drew 1-1 in their previous match, playing Tanzania at Prince Moulay Abdellah Olympic Annex Stadium. Sami Trabelsi's men had two shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, while Ismael Gharbi found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Tunisia haven’t lost to Mali in their past three matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at Stade Amadou Gon Coulibaly. The past 5 H2H meetings have resulted in three draws along with a win for Mali and Tunisia.
| Africa Cup of Nations | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mali |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Tunisia |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
Mali have drawn all of their previous 3 games, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Tom Saintfiet's side have averaged 53.3% possession, 459.0 passes and 2.7 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 5.3 corners from 2.3 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.
Lassine Sinayoko has registered 2 goals.
Tunisia have won 1, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.0% possession, 410.0 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.
Elias Achouri has scored 2 goals, followed by Ismael Gharbi, Montassar Talbi, Ali Abdi and Ellyes Skhiri on 1. Hannibal Mejbri is the top assists provider in the last 3 games with 2.
Confirmed Lineups
Mali confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Djigui Diarra (GK), Woyo Coulibaly, Abdoulaye Diaby, Ousmane Camara, Amadou Dante, Yves Bissouma, Aliou Dieng, Mamadou Sangare, Lassana Coulibaly, Mahamadou Doumbia, Lassine Sinayoko.
Tunisia confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Aymen Dahmen (GK), Yan Valery, Montassar Talbi, Dylan Bronn, Ali Abdi, Ferjani Sassi, Ellyes Skhiri, Ismael Gharbi, Hannibal Mejbri, Hadj Mahmoud, Hazem Mastouri.
Mali vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the key Mali vs Tunisia betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We think that Tunisia are going to win this match and you should consider betting them at odds of -130 on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The Eagles of Carthage could prove too strong in this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 encounter.
We’re always focused on the Africa Cup of Nations form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.
Key Mali vs Tunisia stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.
Before you bet, see what free bets you can claim today. Our guide highlights the best welcome bonuses and offers available now.
Correct Score Prediction
The Eagles of Carthage can be backed at +500 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Hazem Mastouri (Tunisia) can be backed at -161 to finish with one or more shots on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Mohamed Elias Achouri (Tunisia) can be wagered at +430 to be among the goals. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates Tunisia with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, BTTS No and Hazem Mastouri (Tunisia) to end up with one or more shots on target.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Mali vs Tunisia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
This Africa Cup of Nations encounter sees Mali available at +165 and Tunisia priced at +240 for the victory. If you want to back the game to finish level, the bookies have odds of +155 about the draw.
You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Mali at +240, go for Tunisia at +320 or take the draw at -122.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -189 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Africa Cup of Nations games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Hazem Mastouri is the First Goalscorer favourite at +575. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +280.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Mali Stats
Tunisia Stats
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.67 corners awarded and 5.33 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 4.75 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 4 home matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 7.75 corners awarded in the last 4 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 2 of the last 4 home matches
- An average of 5.33 corners awarded and 2.67 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 4.67 corners awarded and 3.67 corners against in the last 3 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 8.33 corners awarded in the last 3 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 0 of the last 3 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 0 of the last 3 away matches
- An average of 53.33% possession in the last 3 matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 4 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 3 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 4 home matches
Mali vs Tunisia Lineups & Team News
The latest Mali vs Tunisia team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Africa Cup of Nations lineups and the latest injury reports.
Mali Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 4-3-1-2
Mali Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 4-3-1-2
Mali Substitutes
- 1Ismael Diawara
- 2Hamari Traore
- 7Dorgeles Nene
- 9El Bilal Toure
- 12Mohamed Camara
- 13Fode Doucoure
- 14Mamadou Camara
- 15Mamadou Fofana
- 18Mamadou Doumbia
- 19Kamory Doumbia
- 22Mamadou Samassa
- 24Ibrahima Sissoko
- 27Gaoussou Diakite
- 28Nathan Gassama
Tunisia Substitutes
- 1Noureddine Farhati
- 4Yassine Meriah
- 5M. Ali Ben
- 7Elias Achouri
- 8Elias Saad
- 12Ali Maaloul
- 14Mohamed Ben Ali
- 18Nader Ghandri
- 19Firas Chaouat
- 21Mortadha Ben Ouanes
- 22Bechir Ben Said
- 23Naim Sliti
- 24Adem Arous
- 26Sebastian Tounekti
- 27Seifeddine Jaziri
Previous Mali Lineups
Previous Tunisia Lineups
Mali Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tom Saintfiet
Tunisia Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | DR Congo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Gabon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 0 |
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