Mali vs Tunisia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

Africa Cup of Nations Betting Preview: Mali vs Tunisia

Group A runners-up Mali take on Tunisia, who finished second in Group C, in this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 showdown at Stade Mohamed V, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Saturday 3 January.

Tunisia at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Mali. Backing the Eagles of Carthage at -130 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.

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Mali drew 0-0 with Comoros in their last game, with this taking place at Stade Mohamed V. Mali dominated possession with 68% of the ball and had two shots on target.

Tunisia drew 1-1 in their previous match, playing Tanzania at Prince Moulay Abdellah Olympic Annex Stadium. Sami Trabelsi's men had two shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, while Ismael Gharbi found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tunisia haven’t lost to Mali in their past three matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at Stade Amadou Gon Coulibaly. The past 5 H2H meetings have resulted in three draws along with a win for Mali and Tunisia.

Africa Cup of Nations		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Mali	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	2:2	3
2	Tunisia	3	1	1	1	6	5	1	6:5	4

View Full Table

Mali have drawn all of their previous 3 games, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Tom Saintfiet's side have averaged 53.3% possession, 459.0 passes and 2.7 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 5.3 corners from 2.3 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

Lassine Sinayoko has registered 2 goals.

Tunisia have won 1, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.0% possession, 410.0 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Elias Achouri has scored 2 goals, followed by Ismael Gharbi, Montassar Talbi, Ali Abdi and Ellyes Skhiri on 1. Hannibal Mejbri is the top assists provider in the last 3 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mali predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Djigui Diarra (GK), Fode Doucoure, Abdoulaye Diaby, Ousmane Camara, Nathan Gassama, Mohamed Camara, Yves Bissouma, Mamadou Sangare, Kamory Doumbia, Dorgeles Nene, Lassine Sinayoko.

Tunisia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Aymen Dahmen (GK), Yan Valery, Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Ali Abdi, Ismael Gharbi, Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri, Elias Achouri, Hazem Mastouri, Sebastian Tounekti.

Mali vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Mali vs Tunisia betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We think that Tunisia are going to win this match and you should consider betting them at odds of -130 on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The Eagles of Carthage could prove too strong in this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 encounter.

We’re always focused on the Africa Cup of Nations form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Mali vs Tunisia stats:

• The 0.0 line has been covered by Tunisia in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Tunisia in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Mali in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Mali in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Mali in 4 of their last 5 games against Tunisia.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Our Match Prediction

Tunisia Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -130 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mali 0 - 1 Tunisia

The Eagles of Carthage can be backed at +460 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hazem Mastouri Over 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Hazem Mastouri (Tunisia) can be backed at -161 to finish with one or more shots on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Hazem Mastouri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-108

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Mohamed Elias Achouri To Score +430

Mohamed Elias Achouri (Tunisia) can be wagered at +430 to be among the goals. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Mohamed Elias Achouri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

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Mali vs Tunisia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

This Africa Cup of Nations encounter sees Tunisia available at +175 and Mali priced at +200 for the victory. If you want to back the game to finish level, the bookies have odds of +170 about the draw.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Tunisia at +245, go for Mali at +270 or take the draw at -111.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -161 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Africa Cup of Nations games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+200

X

+170

2

+175

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

-111

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-227

X2

-270

Draw No Bet

1

-110

2

-130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-164

2 Hcp -0.25

+125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-270

Over 2.5

+195

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+118

No

-161

Hazem Mastouri is the First Goalscorer favourite at +500. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +230.

Hazem Mastouri (Tunisia)

First

+230

Anytime

+500

El Bilal Toure (Mali)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Lassine Sinayoko (Mali)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Mohamed Elias Achouri (Tunisia)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Kamory Doumbia (Mali)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Nene Dorgeles (Mali)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Elias Saad (Tunisia)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Yves Bissouma (Mali)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane (Tunisia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Ferjani Sassi (Tunisia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Aliou Dieng (Mali)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Hannibal Mejbri (Tunisia)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Mamadou Sangaré (Mali)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Ali Abdi (Tunisia)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Yassine Meriah (Tunisia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Mahamadou Doumbia (Mali)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Lassana Coulibaly (Mali)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Hazem Mastouri (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-108

El Bilal Toure (Mali)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-159

Lassine Sinayoko (Mali)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Mohamed Elias Achouri (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Nene Dorgeles (Mali)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Kamory Doumbia (Mali)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Elias Saad (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Yves Bissouma (Mali)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Ferjani Sassi (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Aliou Dieng (Mali)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Hannibal Mejbri (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Mamadou Sangaré (Mali)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Mahamadou Doumbia (Mali)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Ali Abdi (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Yassine Meriah (Tunisia)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Mali Stats

Tunisia Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.67 corners awarded and 5.33 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 4.75 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 4 home matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 7.75 corners awarded in the last 4 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 2 of the last 4 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.33 corners awarded and 2.67 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 4.67 corners awarded and 3.67 corners against in the last 3 away matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 8.33 corners awarded in the last 3 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 0 of the last 3 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 0 of the last 3 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.33% possession in the last 3 matches
• An average of 54.00% possession in the last 4 home matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 3 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 4 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.00% possession in the last 3 matches
• An average of 53.00% possession in the last 3 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 3 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 3 away matches

Mali vs Tunisia Lineups & Team News

The latest Mali vs Tunisia team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Africa Cup of Nations lineups and the latest injury reports.

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