Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Apr 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Mallorca vs Real Madrid

Third-from-bottom Mallorca host second-placed Real Madrid at Estadi Son Moix, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 4 April.

We’re going for Mallorca on the Asian Handicap +1 at -112 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw when clashing with Real Madrid. However, a one-goal defeat would see our stake refunded.

Mallorca were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Elche at Estadio Martínez Valero. Martin Demichelis' team had 53% possession and managed four shots on target, with Pablo Torre being the goalscorer.

Real Madrid beat Atlético Madrid in their previous game, making it three consecutive wins. It was a 3-2 home triumph at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues had 53% possession and managed ten shots on goal, while Vinicius Junior was on the scoresheet twice and Federico Valverde also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Madrid have won the last two clashes against Mallorca, achieving winning home scorelines of 2-1 and 2-1 at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H games have involved eight Madrid victories, a single draw and one Mallorca win.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	29	22	3	4	63	26	37	63:26	69
18	Mallorca	29	7	7	15	34	47	-13	34:47	28

View Full Table

Mallorca have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. The Palma outfit have averaged 46.9% possession, 412.3 passes and 3.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.9 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 16.8 attempts and 7.0 corners.

Vedat Muriqi leads the way with 7 goals, while Pablo Torre and Samu have 3 and 2 respectively. Leading assistor is Sergi Darder with 3.

Madrid have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 2.2 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.9% possession, 609.2 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 3.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.

Vinicius Junior has top scored with 6, followed by Kylian Mbappe and Federico Valverde on 5 and 4. Trent Alexander-Arnold, Arda Guler and Brahim Diaz are top assists providers with 2, while Thibaut Courtois has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mallorca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Roman (GK), Antonio Sanchez, Antonio Raillo, Martin Valjent, Toni Lato, Samu, Omar Mascarell, Zito Luvumbo, Pablo Torre, Mateo Joseph, Vedat Muriqi.

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin (GK), Daniel Carvajal, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Eduardo Camavinga, Thiago Pitarch, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior.

Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Mallorca vs Real Madrid betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

In order for our Mallorca +1 bet to land at -112, we need the underdogs to win or draw this La Liga game. We think Los Piratas will make the game competitive and feel confident with this Asian Handicap wager.

The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the La Liga team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.

Key Mallorca vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Mallorca in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Mallorca in 13 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 6 of their last 10 games against Mallorca.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you are hunting down bigger odds for Mallorca to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Our Match Prediction

Mallorca Asian Hcp +1 @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 2, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mallorca 1 - 1 Real Madrid

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Torre to Score +750

Pablo Torre (Mallorca) has registered two goals in his past four La Liga games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +750 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Pablo Torre Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+2200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -143

It has now been six straight Mallorca home matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered. We think it’s possible that the teams will cover the Total Corners line and odds of -143 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mallorca

Total

10.20 3.20 7.00

Home

9.90 3.40 6.50

Away

10.10 2.90 7.20

Real Madrid

Total

9.90 6.70 3.20

Home

9.80 6.60 3.20

Away

10.10 6.60 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-127

Mallorca Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-103

Real Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+245

X

+750

2

-263

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mallorca vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Real Madrid are forecasted to have a 65% chance of triumphing in this La Liga encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -185. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +500 about Mallorca.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Madrid available at +107 and Mallorca at +410. The third option is the draw which is priced at +145.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -149 for the BTTS Yes option.

All of the La Liga matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+500

X

+325

2

-185

Half-Time Result

1

+410

X

+145

2

+107

Double Chance

1X

+140

12

-455

X2

-769

Draw No Bet

1

+300

2

-526

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-112

2 Hcp -1

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+110

Kylian Mbappé is the market leader at +260 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-120

Anytime

+260

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+150

Anytime

+450

Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca)

First

+180

Anytime

+550

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Jan Virgili (Mallorca)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Abdón Prats (Mallorca)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Zito Luvumbo (Mallorca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Mateo Joseph (Mallorca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Javi Llabrés (Mallorca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Torre (Mallorca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Álvaro Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

David Jiménez (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

David Alaba (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Takuma Asano (Mallorca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Fran García (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ferland Mendy (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Mallorca have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Madrid have six wins, three draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

When the sides last met at Estadi Son Moix, Mallorca drew 1-1 with Madrid. In the previous 5 H2H games at Estadi Son Moix, there have been two wins apiece and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mallorca Home Stats		5-2-3	3.10	1.80	1.30	7	3	8	2
Real Madrid Away Stats		6-3-1	2.30	1.60	0.70	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Mallorca vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Mallorca vs Madrid team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for La Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Mallorca Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

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