Malta vs Poland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Nov 2025
World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Malta vs Poland
Malta meet second-placed Poland at Ta' Qali, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 17 November. With a three-point gap to the Netherlands and a 13-goal disadvantage, Poland are effectively locked in as Group G runners-up.
We’re sweet on Malta +1.75 at odds of -115 when it comes to their clash against Poland, with half our Asian Handicap stake going on +1.5 and the other half going on +2.0. The hosts should perform well.
Malta come into this match in winning form after having defeated Finland 1–0 on the road in their most recent World Cup qualifier at the Olympiastadion. Emilio De Leo's team recorded just 39% possession and had one shot on target, with Jake Grech bagging a late winning goal.
Poland drew 1–1 in their previous match, a home World Cup qualifier against the Netherlands at the National Stadium in Warsaw. The Eagles were restricted to 42% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Jakub Kaminski finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Poland and Malta saw the former win at home. It was a 2-0 scoreline at the National Stadium.
| Europe World Cup Qualification | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Malta |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 4:19 | 5 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.4 goals from 6.6 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. Malta have had 47.3% possession and 2.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 12.5 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal, while earning 4.6 corners.
Jake Grech, Alexander Satariano, Teddy Teuma and Ryan Camenzuli are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. Leading assistors have been Ilyas Chouaref and Adam Overend with 1, while goalkeeper Henry Bonello has 2 clean sheets.
Poland have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.6 goals from 16.2 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal. Jan Urban's side average 47.0% possession, 413.3 passes, 5.2 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
Robert Lewandowski has scored 3 goals, followed by Jakub Kaminski, Sebastian Szymanski, Matty Cash and Karol Swiderski on 2. Robert Lewandowski has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Lukasz Skorupski has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Malta confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Henry Bonello (GK), Zach Muscat, Kurt Shaw, Gabriel Mentz, Ryan Camenzuli, Matthew Guillaumier, Alexander Satariano, Joseph Mbong, Teddy Teuma, Ilyas Chouaref, Irvin Cardona.
Poland confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Bartlomiej Dragowski (GK), Przemyslaw Wisniewski, Tomasz Kedziora, Jakub Kiwior, Pawel Wszolek, Michal Skoras, Jakub Kaminski, Bartosz Slisz, Piotr Zielinski, Nicola Zalewski, Robert Lewandowski.
Malta vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips
Make the most of Malta vs Poland with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
Taking Malta at +1.75 could be the way forward for this World Cup qualifying encounter. The underdogs have a good chance of running the opposition close and we’re happy to take betting odds of -115.
Our team of experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.
Key Malta vs Poland stats:
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction for the correct score is Poland to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +540. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Robert Lewandowski (Poland) hasn't covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in six straight games. Let’s stick with this betting trend and wager him to go under the Shots on Target line at odds of -161.
Paweł Wszołek (Poland) is available to find the net at +300. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Poland have averaged 4.30 corners in the past 10 away matches, with the corner count against Malta going under 6.5 in their previous eight home games. We’re backing Poland to fall short when it comes to Team Corners and this pick is on offer at -130.
Malta
Poland
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Malta on the Asian Handicap at +1.75, No on the Both Teams to Score market together with Robert Lewandowski (Poland) to record under 2.5 shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Malta vs Poland Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Poland are convincing -370 favourites to land the spoils in this World Cup qualifying encounter, which means a 79% likelihood of securing a victory according to the current betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +1000 about Malta.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Poland are -143 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Malta are +700 and the draw is priced at +170.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -167 available for Both Teams to Score No.
You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the World Cup qualifying coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.
Robert Lewandowski can be backed to find the net anytime at -204, with +165 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 14/11 Poland 1 Netherlands1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 12/10 Lithuania 0 Poland2
- Friendlies: 09/10 Poland 1 New Zealand0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 07/09 Poland 3 Finland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 04/09 Netherlands 1 Poland1
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Malta Stats
Poland Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Malta vs Poland Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Malta vs Poland team news before wagering. We’ll provide the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups along with the latest injury updates.
Malta Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Poland Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Malta Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Poland Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Malta Substitutes
- 2Jean Borg
- 8Paul Mbong
- 9Jake Grech
- 12Matthias Debono
- 13Enrico Pepe
- 14Andrea Zammit
- 15Myles Beerman
- 16Rashed Al-Tumi
- 17Adam Overend
- 18Brandon Paiber
- 19Trent Buhagiar
- 21Juan Corbalan
Poland Substitutes
- 1Mateusz Kochalski
- 2Matty Cash
- 5Jan Ziolkowski
- 6Kryspin Szczesniak
- 7Karol Swiderski
- 8Bartosz Kapustka
- 11Kamil Grosicki
- 12Kamil Grabara
- 16Adam Buksa
- 18Bartosz Bereszynski
- 20Filip Rozga
- 23Kacper Kozlowski
Previous Malta Lineups
Previous Poland Lineups
Malta Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Emilio De Leo
Poland Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 4 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 24 |
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 0 |
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