Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Burnley

Manchester City host Burnley in this Premier League encounter at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Clarets Should Be Able to Cover the Line

Wagering Burnley +2.25 at -125 on the Asian Handicap means our stake is divided equally between +2 and +2.5. The scoreline could be competitive when they go up against Man City.

Like this Asian Handicap prediction? Claim the newest BetMGM promo code and see how the site rates in our expert review before locking in your bet.

City Have Been Unstoppable When Playing Burnley

Manchester City played Arsenal away in their last Premier League game. It was a 1-1 draw at Emirates Stadium. Pep Guardiola's men had just 33% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Erling Haaland scoring the goal.

On Wednesday night, City secured a 2-0 win when visiting Huddersfield Town in the EFL Cup.

Burnley played Nottingham Forest at home in their previous Premier League game. It was a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor. The Lancashire club recorded just 37% possession and had five shots on goal, while Jaidon Anthony found the net.

Four days ago, Burnley suffered a 2-1 EFL Cup home defeat at the hands of Cardiff City.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was City who came out on top when they last played Burnley. At Etihad Stadium, a 3-1 home win was recorded. In the past 10 H2H meetings, City have won every time.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Man City	5	2	1	2	9	5	4	9:5	7
16	Burnley	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	5:8	4

View Full Table

City have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Pep Guardiola's team have averaged 57.2% possession, 519.2 passes and 5.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.7 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 9.4 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Erling Haaland leads the way with 7 goals, Bernardo Silva has 2, with Phil Foden and two others on 1. Jeremy Doku is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeepers Ederson, James Trafford and Gianluigi Donnarumma keeping 5 clean sheets between them.

Burnley have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 4.6 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Lancashire club average 46.3% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 13.2 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Jaidon Anthony and Josh Brownhill with 5, while Zian Flemming has 3. Josh Cullen, Jaidon Anthony and Hannibal Mejbri have clocked up 2 assists, with Martin Dubravka keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Abdukodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Rodri, Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva, Tijjani Reijnders, Jérémy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Burnley predicted lineup (5-4-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Josh Laurent, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Estève, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Lesley Ugochukwu, Josh Cullen, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster.

Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Manchester City vs Burnley with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We anticipate a payout when we bet on Burnley +2.25 at -125 for this Premier League clash. This Asian Handicap wager has a great chance of landing a return based on the team news and stats at our disposal.

Our job is to consult the latest Premier League team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Manchester City vs Burnley league stats:

• The +2.25 line has been covered by Burnley in 4 consecutive games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 16 of their last 20 games.

Burnley +2.25 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.

Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp +2.25 @ -125 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Man City 1 - 0 Burnley

We’re taking a chance on Man City to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +750 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaidon Anthony Over 0.5 Shots On Target +155

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in back-to-back league away matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of +155.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Shots

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Tijjani Reijnders To Score +230

Tijjani Reijnders (City) is available to be on the scoresheet at +230. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Tijjani Reijnders Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Man City Under 7.5 Corners -138

City have had under 7.5 corners in seven consecutive games, with Burnley conceding less than 7.5 corners in their past four away matches. We’re happy to back the -138 when it comes to City falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.90 5.50 3.40

Home

8.20 5.00 3.20

Away

8.70 4.40 4.30

Burnley

Total

8.60 3.70 4.90

Home

9.30 4.60 4.70

Away

8.30 4.10 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Man City Corners

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-138

Burnley Corners

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

Most Corners

1

-1667

X

+1300

2

+950

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Manchester City vs Burnley Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

City Victory on the Cards According to Bookies

Manchester City are strong -588 favourites to win this Premier League encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 85% chance of claiming victory. If you’re interested in wagering Burnley, you can get +1500 for the underdog.

For those wanting an alternative, City are -192 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Burnley being priced up at +850 and the draw is +210.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -154.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

-588

X

+650

2

+1500

Half-Time Result

1

-192

X

+210

2

+850

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1111

X2

+380

Draw No Bet

1

-2500

2

+900

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-100

2 Hcp +2.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+188

Over 2.5

-244

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+117

No

-154

Erling Haaland Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is Erling Haaland at +180, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-208

Anytime

+180

Phil Foden (City)

First

+155

Anytime

+450

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Oscar Bobb (City)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Rodri (City)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+390

Anytime

+1200

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Rico Lewis (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+128

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-115

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-127

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-179

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-233

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-263

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Rico Lewis (City)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

City Victorious in Past Six H2H Etihad Stadium Clashes

City have clocked up eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Burnley have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

When the teams previously met at Etihad Stadium, City defeated Burnley 3-1. For the past 6 H2H meetings at Etihad Stadium, City have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester City Home Stats		8-1-1	3.20	2.30	0.90	6	4	5	5
Burnley Away Stats		5-3-2	2.40	1.50	0.90	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester City vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for City vs Burnley before making your bets. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League as well as the latest injury reports.

Manchester City Team Page Burnley Team Page