Manchester City vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Napoli

Premier League team Manchester City host Italian Serie A side Napoli in this Champions League match at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 18 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

There’s a Case for Backing Citizens to Win

The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Man City are currently priced at -164. We think they can overcome Napoli and this looks a value play.

If you're backing City, don’t miss the chance to use the latest BetMGM promo code. Our in-depth review is worth a look too.

Each Team Won Previous Clash

Manchester City won their last game, beating Manchester United at home. It was a 3-0 Premier League victory at Etihad Stadium. Pep Guardiola's men had 45% of possession and five shots on target, while Erling Haaland registered two goals and Phil Foden scored one.

Napoli got a Serie A win in their previous game. It was on their travels where Fiorentina were beaten 3-1 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Gli Azzurri were 47% in the possession stakes and recorded eight shots on goal, with Kevin De Bruyne, Rasmus Hoejlund and Sam Beukema all on target.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 13.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. City have had 60.6% possession, 556.1 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 9.0 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.5 corners.

Erling Haaland leads the way with 6 goals, Bernardo Silva has 2, with Phil Foden and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Jeremy Doku with 4, while goalkeepers Ederson, James Trafford and Stefan Ortega collectively have 5 clean sheets.

Napoli have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 14.2 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 61.0% possession, 534.9 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.3 goals from 8.3 attempts and 1.5 shots on goal.

Scott McTominay is the leading goalscorer with 7, Romelu Lukaku has 3, with Kevin De Bruyne and Giacomo Raspadori getting 2. Matteo Politano has clocked up 3 assists, with Alex Meret keeping 8 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Rico Lewis, Josko Gvardiol, Ruben Dias, Nico O'Reilly, Nico González, Tijjani Reijnders, Oscar Bobb, Bernardo Silva, Savinho, Erling Haaland.

Napoli predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Sam Beukema, Alessandro Buongiorno, Leonardo Spinazzola, Andre Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Matteo Politano, Kevin De Bruyne, Scott McTominay, Rasmus Højlund.

Manchester City vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Manchester City vs Napoli with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll take the plunge and back Man City to secure victory when they line up in this Champions League game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -164 look attractive.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Champions League recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Manchester City vs Napoli Champions League & league stats:

• City have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• City have won 7 of their last 10 games.

City to Win Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 62.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to back City at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -164 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Man City 2 - 0 Napoli

Man City are available to back at +650 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Scott McTominay Over 0.5 Shots On Target +102

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has bagged a minimum of one shot on goal in six straight matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of +102 up for grabs.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

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Bernardo Silva to Score +550

Bernardo Silva (City) has racked up two goals in his past five home games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +550 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Bernardo Silva Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Shots

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -123

t’s been six straight City games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 8.20 corners in the previous five Napoli away matches. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -123.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.40 5.90 2.50

Home

8.20 5.00 3.20

Away

8.70 4.80 3.90

Napoli

Total

9.00 5.40 3.60

Home

10.20 6.90 3.30

Away

8.60 3.90 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-120

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Napoli Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-286

X

+750

2

+300

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Manchester City vs Napoli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest City Win

Manchester City are the -164 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 62% chance of winning this Champions League encounter according to the latest betting odds. Napoli are regarded as the least likely winner at +420.

City have been priced at -100 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -1 market. A 2+ goal victory over Napoli would land a return, while it’s money back if they win by a single goal.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -137.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Champions League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-164

X

+310

2

+420

Half-Time Result

1

+115

X

+145

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-435

X2

+125

Draw No Bet

1

-417

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-100

2 Hcp +1

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+117

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

+102

Erling Haaland Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Erling Haaland is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +260 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -115.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-115

Anytime

+260

Oscar Bobb (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Phil Foden (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Rodri (City)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Noa Lang (Napoli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-213

Under 1.5

+123

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-114

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-109

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-159

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-189

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-357

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-476

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Manchester City Stats

Napoli Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Manchester City vs Napoli Lineups & Team News

Double-check the City vs Napoli team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Champions League, along with current injury news.