Manchester City vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Napoli

Premier League giants Manchester City host defending Italian Serie A champions Napoli in this Champions League match at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 18 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

There’s a Case for Backing Citizens to Win

The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Man City are currently priced at -164. We think the Premier League side can overcome Napoli and this looks a value play.

If you're backing City, don’t miss the chance to use the latest BetMGM promo code. Our in-depth review is worth a look too.

Each Team Won Previous Clash

Manchester City won their last game, beating Manchester United at home. It was a 3-0 Premier League victory at Etihad Stadium. Pep Guardiola's men had 45% of possession and five shots on target, while Erling Haaland registered two goals and Phil Foden scored one.

Napoli got a Serie A win in their previous game. It was on their travels where Fiorentina were beaten 3-1 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Gli Azzurri were 47% in the possession stakes and recorded eight shots on goal, with Kevin De Bruyne, Rasmus Hoejlund and Sam Beukema all on target.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Man City	3	2	1	0	6	2	4	6:2	7
23	Napoli	3	1	0	2	4	9	-5	4:9	3

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 13.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. City have had 60.6% possession, 556.1 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 9.0 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.5 corners.

Erling Haaland leads the way with 6 goals, Bernardo Silva has 2, with Phil Foden and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Jeremy Doku with 4, while goalkeepers Ederson, James Trafford and Stefan Ortega collectively have 5 clean sheets.

Napoli have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 14.2 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 61.0% possession, 534.9 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.3 goals from 8.3 attempts and 1.5 shots on goal.

Scott McTominay is the leading goalscorer with 7, Romelu Lukaku has 3, with Kevin De Bruyne and Giacomo Raspadori getting 2. Matteo Politano has clocked up 3 assists, with Alex Meret keeping 8 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Abdukodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Rodri, Bernardo Silva, Tijjani Reijnders, Phil Foden, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Napoli confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Vanja Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Sam Beukema, Alessandro Buongiorno, Leonardo Spinazzola, Stanislav Lobotka, Matteo Politano, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne, Scott McTominay, Rasmus Hoejlund.

Manchester City vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Manchester City vs Napoli with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll take the plunge and back Man City to secure victory when they line up in this Champions League game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -164 look attractive.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Champions League recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Manchester City vs Napoli Champions League & league stats:

• City have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• City have won 7 of their last 10 games.

City to Win Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 62.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to back City at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -164 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Man City 2 - 0 Napoli

Man City are available to back at +650 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Scott McTominay Over 0.5 Shots On Target +102

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has bagged a minimum of one shot on goal in six straight matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of +102 up for grabs.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Bernardo Silva to Score +550

Bernardo Silva (City) has racked up two goals in his past five home games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +550 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Bernardo Silva Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -123

t’s been six straight City games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 8.20 corners in the previous five Napoli away matches. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -123.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.40 5.90 2.50

Home

8.20 5.00 3.20

Away

8.70 4.80 3.90

Napoli

Total

9.00 5.40 3.60

Home

10.20 6.90 3.30

Away

8.60 3.90 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Napoli Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-333

X

+750

2

+340

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Manchester City vs Napoli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest City Win

Manchester City are the -154 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 61% chance of winning this Champions League encounter according to the latest betting odds. Napoli are regarded as the least likely winner at +410.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for City against Napoli means a full payout at -122 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -133.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Champions League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+300

2

+410

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+138

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-417

X2

+117

Draw No Bet

1

-385

2

+255

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-122

2 Hcp +0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-102

Erling Haaland Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Erling Haaland is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +260 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -114.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-114

Anytime

+260

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Oscar Bobb (City)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Phil Foden (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Rodri (City)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Noa Lang (Napoli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-109

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-109

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-122

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-123

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-139

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-185

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-233

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-455

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-476

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Manchester City Stats

Napoli Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Manchester City vs Napoli Lineups & Team News

Double-check the City vs Napoli team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Champions League, along with current injury news.