Marseille vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Marseille vs Ajax

French Ligue 1 side Marseille host Dutch Eredivisie club Ajax in this Champions League match at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 30 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We like Marseille -1 at betting odds of -123. This Asian Handicap bet means we need the hosts to win by two goals to land a return, with our money back if they beat Ajax by a one-goal margin.

Marseille won their last game 2-1. This was a Ligue 1 road win against Strasbourg at Stade de la Meinau. Roberto De Zerbi's team boasted 60% possession and recorded nine shots on target, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Amir Murillo scoring one goal apiece.

Ajax won their previous game, beating NAC Breda at home. It was a 2-1 Eredivisie victory at Johan Cruyff Arena. The Sons of God had 51% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Oscar Gloukh and Kenneth Taylor found the net.

In their most recent Champions League matches, Marseille were away to Real Madrid and lost 2-1, while Ajax lost 2-0 at home to Inter Milan.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	11:14	9
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	8:21	6

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Marseille have had 56.8% possession, 520.4 passes and 6.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts, while being awarded 3.2 corners.

Amine Gouiri is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Mason Greenwood has 5 and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 3. Mason Greenwood is the top assists maker on 5, with goalkeepers Geronimo Rulli and Jeffrey De Lange managing 2 clean sheets between them.

Ajax have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, with an average of 6.2 shots on goal, 15.5 attempts and 1.8 goals. Johnny Heitinga's team average 57.1% possession, 529.8 passes, 6.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Wout Weghorst has scored 5 goals, followed by Kenneth Taylor, Oscar Gloukh, Davy Klaassen and Mika Godts on 2. Steven Berghuis has clocked up 3 assists, with Vitezslav Jaros and Remko Pasveer collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Emerson, Arthur Vermeeren, Matthew O'Riley, Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Ajax confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Lucas Rosa, Ko Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Youri Regeer, Kenneth Taylor, Steven Berghuis, Oscar Gloukh, Mika Godts.

Marseille vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Marseille vs Ajax betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We’re sweet on Marseille for this Champions League game. The favourites are available at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take odds of -123 that are currently on offer for this pick.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Champions League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Marseille vs Ajax Champions League & league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by OM in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1 line has been covered by OM in 7 of their last 10 games at home.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Marseille Asian Hcp -1 @ -123 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 28, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 2 - 0 Ajax

Marseille are available at +650 to secure a 2-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matt O'Riley Under 0.5 Shots On Target -132

Matt O'Riley (OM) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in three consecutive matches. We’ll go with the latest numbers and back him to go under the Shots on Target line at odds of -132.

Latest Matt O'Riley Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

---

Mason Greenwood to Score +128

Mason Greenwood (OM) has found the net in seven of his past ten games on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +128.

Latest Mason Greenwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+115

First

+340

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-159

Shots

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Ajax Over 2.5 Corners -156

The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Ajax in their past ten games, while Marseille have conceded 5.20 corners on average in their last 5 matches. If you agree with our verdict that the Ajax Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of -156 that they go over.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

10.10 6.30 3.80

Home

8.70 6.60 2.10

Away

10.40 6.50 3.90

Ajax

Total

11.00 5.90 5.10

Home

10.40 6.60 3.80

Away

9.40 5.50 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-149

Marseille Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+106

Ajax Corners

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+105

Most Corners

1

-417

X

+800

2

+425

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Marseille vs Ajax Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Marseille are the -238 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 70% chance of triumphing in this Champions League encounter according to the latest odds. Ajax are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +600.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Marseille available at -110 and Ajax at +475. The third option is the draw which is priced at +165.

If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -135.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Champions League game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-238

X

+380

2

+600

Half-Time Result

1

-110

X

+165

2

+475

Double Chance

1X

-1000

12

-556

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-667

2

+390

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-115

2 Hcp +1.25

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+148

Over 2.5

-185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-135

No

+104

You will find favourite Mason Greenwood at +340 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +115 that he finds the net any time.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+115

Anytime

+340

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+128

Anytime

+360

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+143

Anytime

+380

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Robinio Vaz (OM)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Matt O'Riley (OM)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Darryl Bakola (OM)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Angel Gomes (OM)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Raul Moro (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nayef Aguerd (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ulisses Garcia (OM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+115

Robinio Vaz (OM)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-112

Matt O'Riley (OM)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-139

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-159

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-208

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Nadir Bilal (OM)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-263

Darryl Bakola (OM)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Angel Gomes (OM)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-455

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-556

Nayef Aguerd (OM)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Robinio Vaz (OM)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Matt O'Riley (OM)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Nadir Bilal (OM)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Angel Gomes (OM)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Marseille Stats

Ajax Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 2.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 63.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Marseille vs Ajax Lineups & Team News

Always review the Marseille vs Ajax team news before locking in your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups alongside the newest injury information.

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