Marseille vs Montpellier Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Apr 2025

Can Montpellier Avoid a Heavy Defeat?

It’s logical to back Montpellier +2 on the Asian Handicap against Marseille at odds of -115. Our stake is refunded if the visitors lose by two goals and we’ll get a nice payout if they perform better than this.

Marseille Beat Montpellier When Teams Last Met

Marseille lost away from home in their last game. Monaco won 3-0 at Stade Louis II. The Provence side had most of the ball boasting 59% possession and four shots on target.

Montpellier have lost their previous ten games including a recent 2-0 defeat. This occurred away at Stade Raymond Kopa against Angers. La Paillade dominated possession with 64% of the ball but had just one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille have beaten Montpellier in the last two clashes. A 5-0 away win at Stade de la Mosson followed a 4-1 home triumph at Stade Orange Velodrome. There have been four draws in the previous 10 H2H meetings along with six Marseille victories.

Marseille have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.7 goals from 15.4 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal. OM have averaged 68.5% possession, 702.7 passes and 6.9 corners per game, conceding 1.8 goals and 2.0 corners from 8.8 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood and Amine Gouiri are joint-top scorers with 4 goals on the board. Amine Gouiri and Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg have the most assists with 3, while goalie Geronimo Rulli has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Montpellier have lost all of their past 10 matches, with an average of 0.1 goals from 11.5 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.4% possession, 4.1 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.2 goals from 15.2 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Tanguy Coulibaly has scored 1 times. Teji Savanier has managed to clock up 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Amir Murillo, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Ulisses Garcia, Luis Henrique, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Amine Gouiri.

Montpellier confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Benjamin Lecomte (GK), Yael Mouanga, Becir Omeragic, Lucas Mincarelli Davin, Wilfried Ndollo Bille, Theo Sainte-Luce, Tanguy Coulibaly, Rabby Nzingoula, Jordan Ferri, Nicolas Pays, Junior Ndiaye.

Marseille vs Montpellier Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re sweet on Montpellier +2 for this Ligue 1 showdown, with a price of -115 on offer. The visitors should punch above their weight with a two-goal headstart and we’re expecting a closer affair.

Football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key Marseille vs Montpellier league stats:

• The +2 line has been covered by Montpellier in 12 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The +2 line has been covered by Montpellier in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by OM in any of their last 5 games.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 5 consecutive games.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 6 of their last 10 games against Montpellier.

Montpellier +2 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

A Bet Builder offers a chance to combine Montpellier to cover the line with other picks. For every extra selection that you make, the odds gets bigger until you’re content with the wager.

Our Match Prediction

Montpellier Asian Hcp +2 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 1 - 0 Montpellier

Marseille are available at +900 when it comes to them winning 1-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Amine Gouiri Over 3.5 Shots -123

Amine Gouiri (OM) has recorded over 3.5 shots in three straight Ligue 1 home matches. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Player Shots and you can secure -123 that he goes over the line.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-110

First

+330

Shots

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-

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Mason Greenwood to Score -108

Mason Greenwood (OM) has been on the scoresheet in seven of his past ten Ligue 1 matches on home soil. There are odds of -108 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Mason Greenwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-139

First

+290

Shots

Over 3.5

-286

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -120

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three straight Marseille home games, while the same outcome has happened in two  consecutive Montpellier matches. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

8.90 6.90 2.00

Home

8.60 6.10 2.50

Away

9.10 6.30 2.80

Montpellier

Total

10.00 4.10 5.90

Home

10.60 5.20 5.40

Away

10.50 4.60 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Marseille Corners

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

-104

Montpellier Corners

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-109

Most Corners

1

-667

X

+850

2

+480

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Marseille vs Montpellier Odds

The latest betting odds give Marseille a 86% chance of winning which means they’re overwhelming -599 favourites to win this Ligue 1 clash with the bookies. At +1200, Montpellier are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Ligue 1 betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

-599

X

+650

2

+1200

Half-Time Result

1

-188

X

+210

2

+900

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-1000

X2

+400

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+1000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

+109

2 Hcp +2.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+220

Over 2.5

-275

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Mason Greenwood is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There’s the chance to back Mason Greenwood at +290 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

-139

Anytime

+290

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

-110

Anytime

+330

Neal Maupay (OM)

First

+143

Anytime

+430

Adrien Rabiot (OM)

First

+155

Anytime

+510

Luis Henrique (OM)

First

+165

Anytime

+510

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Ulisses Garcia (OM)

First

+410

Anytime

+1400

Valentin Rongier (OM)

First

+410

Anytime

+1200

Andy Delort (Montpellier)

First

+425

Anytime

+1150

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+425

Anytime

+1300

Ismaël Bennacer (OM)

First

+460

Anytime

+1400

Pol Lirola (OM)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Quentin Merlin (OM)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Téji Savanier (Montpellier)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Derek Cornelius (OM)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Wahbi Khazri (Montpellier)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Amir Murillo (OM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Othmane Maamma (Montpellier)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Junior Ndiaye (Montpellier)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Amar Dedic (OM)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Tanguy Coulibaly (Montpellier)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Geoffrey Kondogbia (OM)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-286

Under 3.5

-

Neal Maupay (OM)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (OM)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Luis Henrique (OM)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Nadir Bilal (OM)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Andy Delort (Montpellier)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Téji Savanier (Montpellier)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Pol Lirola (OM)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Derek Cornelius (OM)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Wahbi Khazri (Montpellier)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Amir Murillo (OM)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Othmane Maamma (Montpellier)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Amar Dedic (OM)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Tanguy Coulibaly (Montpellier)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Marseille vs Montpellier Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Marseille vs Montpellier team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Ligue 1 squads.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Montpellier Team Page