Marseille vs Nantes Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille clash with Nantes at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 4 January.

A big victory could be on the cards for Marseille against Nantes. We’re taking the hosts at -1.75 at Asian Handicap odds of -125, with the stake split between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal winning margin is needed for a full return.

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Marseille won their last Ligue 1 game, beating Monaco at home. It was a 1-0 victory at Stade Vélodrome. OM had the majority of the ball boasting 58% possession and eight shots on target, with Mason Greenwood scoring a late winner.

In their most recent encounter, Marseille won 6-0 when visiting Bourg en Bresse Peronnas in the Coupe de France.

Nantes have now lost three consecutive matches. Away from home in their previous game, Angers won 4-1 at Stade Raymond Kopa. Ahmed Kantari's men had 45% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Fabien Centonze on the scoresheet.

The last outing involving Nantes saw them triumph 5-3 in the Coupe de France away to Concarneau.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been three straight wins for Marseille when playing Nantes. In their last encounter, Marseille came out with a 2-0 home victory at Stade Vélodrome. The past 10 H2H matches have included eight Marseille wins along with two draws.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Marseille	16	10	2	4	36	15	21	36:15	32
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14	28	-14	14:28	11

View Full Table

Marseille have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts. The Provence team have averaged 62.1% possession, 609.0 passes and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Mason Greenwood is the top scorer with 9 goals, while Igor Paixao and Robinio Vaz each have 3. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is top assists maker with 5, while goalkeeper Geronimo Rulli has kept 4 clean sheets.

Nantes have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Les Canaris have averaged 41.7% possession, 338.3 passes, 2.7 corners taken and 7.1 corners against, while conceding 2.1 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts.

We’ve seen Youssef El Arabi, Matthis Abline and Bahereba Guirassy score 2 goals each. Mayckel Lahdo, Kelvin Amian and Matthis Abline have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Anthony Lopes has one clean sheet.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, CJ Egan-Riley, Emerson, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Arthur Vermeeren, Timothy Weah, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Nantes predicted lineup (4-3-3): Anthony Lopes (GK), Fabien Centonze, Kelvin Amian, Tylel Tati, Deiver Machado, Johann Lepenant, Nicolas Cozza, Junior Mwanga, Yassine Benhattab, Amady Camara, Matthis Abline.

Marseille vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Marseille vs Nantes betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Marseille should finish well clear of their opponents and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means that tempting betting odds of -125 are available for this Ligue 1 clash.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Ligue 1 form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Marseille vs Nantes league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by OM in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by OM in 10 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Nantes in 2 consecutive games on the road.

The best betting apps make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the betting sites and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Match Prediction

Marseille Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 4 - 0 Nantes

Let’s go for Marseille to win 4-0, a bet which is available at +750. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthis Abline Over 2.5 Shots +145

Matthis Abline (Nantes) has totalled over 2.5 shots in seven of his past ten Ligue 1 matches. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of +145.

Latest Matthis Abline Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+950

Shots

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

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Mason Greenwood to Score -125

Mason Greenwood (OM) has racked up six goals in his past five Ligue 1 home games. We’re happy to take the -125 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Mason Greenwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-125

First

+300

Shots

Over 3.5

-333

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -110

The past five home games involving Marseille have had an average of 7.40 corners. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

8.40 4.70 3.70

Home

7.90 5.00 2.90

Away

10.00 6.00 4.00

Nantes

Total

9.80 2.70 7.10

Home

9.40 3.60 5.80

Away

10.30 3.00 7.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-110

Marseille Corners

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+105

Nantes Corners

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-833

X

+1000

2

+650

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Marseille vs Nantes Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Full-Time Result odds suggest that Marseille have a 83% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -476 favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter. Nantes are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +1100.

Marseille can be backed at -172 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Nantes can be chanced at +700 and the draw is +195.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -141.

For those wagering on Ligue 1 games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-476

X

+550

2

+1100

Half-Time Result

1

-172

X

+195

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1111

X2

+300

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+700

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-125

2 Hcp +1.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+163

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+104

No

-141

There is -125 available that Mason Greenwood finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +300.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

-125

Anytime

+300

Robinio Vaz (OM)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+140

Anytime

+430

Neal Maupay (OM)

First

+145

Anytime

+410

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Matt O'Riley (OM)

First

+240

Anytime

+800

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+300

Anytime

+950

Matthis Abline (Nantes)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Youssef El Arabi (Nantes)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Mostafa Mohamed (Nantes)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Ulisses Garcia (OM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Amir Murillo (OM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

CJ Egan-Riley (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Emerson Palmieri (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Geoffrey Kondogbia (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Facundo Medina (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Remy Cabella (Nantes)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Dehmaine Assoumani (Nantes)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-333

Under 3.5

-

Robinio Vaz (OM)

Over 3.5

+140

Under 3.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Neal Maupay (OM)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Matthis Abline (Nantes)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Hamed Traorè (OM)

Over 1.5

-244

Under 1.5

-

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Youssef El Arabi (Nantes)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Mostafa Mohamed (Nantes)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Leonardo Balerdi (OM)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

CJ Egan-Riley (OM)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Benjamin Pavard (OM)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Facundo Medina (OM)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Marseille have gone unbeaten at Stade Vélodrome in the last four games. OM have recorded seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Nantes haven’t triumphed in three straight games on the road. Ahmed Kantari's men have finished with five defeats, four draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Marseille were 2-0 victors against Nantes last time out at Stade Vélodrome. The past 7 H2H games at Stade Vélodrome have featured five Marseille wins and two Nantes victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Marseille Home Stats		7-2-1	3.30	2.50	0.80	7	3	4	6
Nantes Away Stats		1-4-5	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Marseille vs Nantes Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Marseille vs Nantes before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with the latest injury news.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Nantes Team Page

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