Marseille vs PSG Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Sep 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille host PSG in this Le Classique encounter at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Monday 22 September. Our French Ligue 1 betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

OM Should Be Able to Cover the Line

By backing Marseille +0.5 at -111, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against PSG, with the stats backing up this Asian Handicap prediction.

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8 PSG Wins in Last 10 H2H Clashes

Marseille have enjoyed successive Ligue 1 home victories at Stade Vélodrome. Last time out, Lorient were beaten 4-0. The Provence team enjoyed a remarkable 72% of possession and recorded eight shots on target, while Mason Greenwood, Benjamin Pavard, Angel Gomes and Nayef Aguerd scored one goal apiece.

On Tuesday night, Marseille were defeated 2-1 away to Real Madrid in the Champions League.

Paris Saint-Germain made it four straight victories after a 2-0 home win over RC Lens at Parc des Princes. Luis Enrique's men enjoyed 68% possession and managed six shots on goal, while Bradley Barcola netted twice.

Four days ago, PSG claimed a 4-0 victory in the Champions League when hosting Atalanta.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been five consecutive victories for PSG when playing Marseille. In their last clash, PSG came out with a 3-1 home win at Parc des Princes. The previous 10 H2H games have involved eight PSG triumphs, one Marseille win and one draw.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	PSG	11	7	3	1	21	9	12	21:9	24
2	Marseille	11	7	1	3	25	11	14	25:11	22

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Marseille have had 60.3% possession, 562.0 passes and 6.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts, while being awarded 3.0 corners.

Mason Greenwood leads the way with 7 goals, while Amine Gouiri and Adrien Rabiot have 6 and 3 respectively. The leading assistor is Mason Greenwood with 5.

PSG have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.2 goals from 16.5 attempts and 7.2 shots on goal. Les Parisiens average 73.8% possession, 763.6 passes, 6.9 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 7.0 attempts and 2.4 shots on goal.

Bradley Barcola and Goncalo Ramos have scored 4 goals, followed by Joao Neves with 3. Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz and Ousmane Dembele have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Lucas Chevalier has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Timothy Weah, Matthew O'Riley, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Emerson, Mason Greenwood, Amine Gouiri, Igor Paixao.

PSG confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Chevalier (GK), Marquinhos, Ilya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz, Achraf Hakimi, Goncalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Marseille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips

Be fully equipped for Marseille vs PSG with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Marseille +0.5 could be the best bet when they play this Ligue 1 game. We’ll take odds of -111 that the home team manage to either land a victory or draw, giving us two outcomes for our money.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Ligue 1 verdict is reached.

Key Marseille vs PSG league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by OM in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by OM in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by OM in 16 of their last 19 games at home.

Marseille +0.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 52.6% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Our Match Prediction

Marseille Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 1 - 1 PSG

The teams can be backed at +600 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mason Greenwood Over 2.5 Shots -111

Mason Greenwood (OM) has fired over 2.5 shots in three consecutive Ligue 1 games on home soil. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Player Shots line, with betting odds of -111 now available.

Latest Mason Greenwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+185

First

+500

Shots

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

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Achraf Hakimi to Score +460

Achraf Hakimi (PSG) has racked up two goals in his past four Ligue 1 matches on the road. We’ll throw a dart at +460 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Achraf Hakimi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+475

First

+1300

Shots

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

PSG To Have Most Corners -110

PSG have racked up a higher number of corners in their past five games. PSG might come out on top in terms of corners awarded and odds of -110 make appeal.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

9.60 6.60 3.00

Home

8.70 6.70 2.00

Away

10.80 7.60 3.20

PSG

Total

9.90 6.90 3.00

Home

9.20 7.30 1.90

Away

8.70 4.50 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-139

Marseille Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

PSG Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+132

X

+600

2

-116

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Marseille vs PSG Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

PSG Betting Favourites to Win

Paris Saint-Germain are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Ligue 1 encounter. The -133 for them coming out on top suggests a 57% probability based on their latest betting odds. The market implies that Marseille are the most unlikely to win at +330.

PSG and Marseille can be backed at +117 and +330 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +148.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -182.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Ligue 1 game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+330

X

+300

2

-133

Half-Time Result

1

+330

X

+148

2

+117

Double Chance

1X

-102

12

-455

X2

-500

Draw No Bet

1

+205

2

-303

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-116

2 Hcp -0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+132

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Top of First Goalscorer List

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is available at +110 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +290 to find the net first.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+110

Anytime

+290

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

First

+180

Anytime

+430

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+185

Anytime

+500

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Robinio Vaz (OM)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Matt O'Riley (OM)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Joao Neves (PSG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Darryl Bakola (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Angel Gomes (OM)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 2.5

+215

Under 2.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Matt O'Riley (OM)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Robinio Vaz (OM)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Joao Neves (PSG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Marseille Racking Up the Home Wins

Marseille have managed six consecutive victories at Stade Vélodrome. OM have secured nine wins and one defeat in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 3.50 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

PSG have landed three straight away wins. Luis Enrique's side have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 3.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

PSG beat Marseille 3-0 when the teams last met at Stade Vélodrome. PSG have landed four victories in the previous 5 H2H games at Stade Vélodrome and there’s also been a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Marseille Home Stats		9-0-1	4.70	3.50	1.20	8	2	7	3
PSG Away Stats		8-1-1	4.50	3.20	1.30	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Marseille vs PSG Lineups & Team News

The Marseille vs PSG team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 and all current injury news.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Paris Saint-Germain Team Page