Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2025

Toulouse to Cover the Line?

Toulouse +0.75 at odds of -112 look like a great wager against Marseille. We’re feeling bullish when it comes to this Asian Handicap pick which means a divided stake between +0.5 and +1.0.

6 of Last 8 H2H Clashes Have Been Marseille Wins

Marseille have been beaten in their last three games. Away at Stade Auguste Delaune, Reims recently beat them 3-1. OM recorded an incredible 80% of possession and had six shots on target, while Valentin Rongier registered the goal.

Toulouse have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Brest by a 4-2 scoreline at Stadium Municipal. Carles Martinez's team had four shots on goal and boasted 54% possession, with Vincent Sierro and Joshua King on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille have avoided defeat against Toulouse in the past eight meetings. Their last encounter was staged at Stadium Municipal, with Marseille winning 3-1 on the road. The past 8 H2H matches have included six Marseille wins along with two draws.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Marseille have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 17.3 attempts. Roberto De Zerbi's side have averaged 69.6% possession, 712.0 passes and 8.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.6 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 8.5 attempts and 2.4 corners.

Top scorers are Amine Gouiri and Mason Greenwood on 4 goals, while Adrien Rabiot has racked up 3. The leading assistors are Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg and Amine Gouiri with 3, while goalie Geronimo Rulli has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Toulouse have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 12.1 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. The Occitania outfit average 47.5% possession, 407.8 passes, 5.6 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 10.0 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Frank Magri is the leading goalscorer with 4, Vincent Sierro has 3, with Charlie Cresswell and Noah Edjouma getting 2. Aron Doennum, Gabriel Suazo and Shavy Babicka are top assists providers with 2, while Kjetil Haug has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Gerónimo Rulli (GK), Amir Murillo, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Derek Cornelius, Luis Henrique, Ismaël Bennacer, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Neal Maupay.

Toulouse confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Guillaume Restes (GK), Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark Mckenzie, Shavy Babicka, Cristhian Cásseres Jr, Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo, Aron Dönnum, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri.

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips

We can make a strong case for Toulouse on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given +0.75 for this Ligue 1 game. A nice return could be on the cards and we like this line at appealing at odds of -112.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Marseille vs Toulouse league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Toulouse in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Toulouse in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 3 consecutive games.

Toulouse +0.75 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Those searching for a different wager to betting Toulouse on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.

Our Match Prediction

Toulouse Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 2-2 draw. Odds of +1100 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -150

The ten past matches involving Marseille have had an average of 10.50 corners, with the last five Toulouse games involving 9.80. We think that the value can be landed by betting on Total Corners and you can secure -150 that the teams go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

10.50 8.10 2.40

Home

8.30 5.70 2.60

Away

8.80 6.10 2.70

Toulouse

Total

9.40 5.60 3.80

Home

8.60 5.60 3.00

Away

8.60 4.00 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-150

Under 8.5

+110

Marseille Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Toulouse Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+575

2

+215

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Marseille vs Toulouse Odds

The Marseille betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -138 favourites to land victory in this Ligue 1 encounter which means a 58% chance of winning. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Toulouse are available at +350.

If you want to bet on the number of goals in the match, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals.

Should you want to back Marseille to win this Ligue 1 match, then there is -333 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Toulouse chalked at +240.

Full-Time Result

1

-138

X

+300

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+130

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-549

12

-450

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-101

2 Hcp +0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+105

Marseille vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Marseille vs Toulouse team news.

We’ve got details of the Ligue 1 squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Toulouse Team Page