Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille host Toulouse at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Saturday 29 November.

There’s a reasonable prospect that three goals or more will be scored when Marseille go up against Toulouse. On this basis, we’ll side with Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market and the odds of -128 are really appealing.

Feeling our Total Goals pick? Have a quick read of our BetMGM review and grab the latest promo code before you place your bet.

Marseille won last time out by a 5-1 scoreline. On the road against Nice at Allianz Riviera, they made it three wins on the spin. The Provence side enjoyed 48% possession and eleven shots on target, with Mason Greenwood able to score two goals.

Four days ago, Marseille triumphed 2-1 at home against Newcastle United in the Champions League.

Toulouse were beaten 1-0 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Angers at Stadium Municipal. Le TéFéCé had the lion’s share of the ball recording 54% possession and six shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille have claimed back-to-back victories over Toulouse. On home soil at Stade Vélodrome, the scoreline was 3-2 following a 3-1 away win at Stadium Municipal. The past 9 H2H matches have included seven Marseille wins along with two draws.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Marseille	17	10	2	5	36	17	19	36:17	32
8	Toulouse	17	6	5	6	24	22	2	24:22	23

View Full Table

Marseille have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.7 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. OM have averaged 59.2% possession, 600.9 passes and 4.9 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 3.5 corners.

Mason Greenwood is the top scorer with 9 goals, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Angel Gomes and Robinio Vaz each have 3. Leading assistor is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang with 4, while goalies Geronimo Rulli and Jeffrey De Lange have 5 clean sheets between them.

Toulouse have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Carles Martinez's team have averaged 45.3% possession, 365.4 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.

Aron Doennum is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Charlie Cresswell, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri and Emersonn have 2. Yann Gboho and Aron Doennum have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Guillaume Restes has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Timothy Weah, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Bilal Nadir, Mason Greenwood, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Toulouse confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Guillaume Restes (GK), Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Djibril Sidibe, Alexis Vossah, Cristian Casseres Jr., Dayann Methalie, Aron Doennum, Frank Magri, Emersonn.

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Marseille vs Toulouse tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

We can see plenty of goals being scored when it comes to this Ligue 1 encounter. On this basis, betting on Over 2.5 Goals looks the way forward, especially at appealing odds of -128.

The latest Ligue 1 injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Marseille vs Toulouse league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 OM games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 OM games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 OM games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

In the quest for a larger price, then consider combining Over 2.5 Goals with other picks. This involves going for a Bet Builder and there are some attractive odds on the cards.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -128 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 2 - 1 Toulouse

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Marseille. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Frank Magri Over 1.5 Shots -156

Frank Magri (Toulouse) has had over 1.5 shots in seven of his past ten Ligue 1 games on the road. There is odds of -156 available when it comes to this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Frank Magri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+850

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Angel Gomes to Score +575

Angel Gomes (OM) has registered two goals in his past four Ligue 1 home matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +575 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Angel Gomes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1700

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -147

The 8.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four straight Toulouse matches, with the previous five Marseille games averaging 9.20 corners. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Total Corners line is covered at -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

8.40 4.90 3.50

Home

7.50 5.10 2.40

Away

10.10 5.90 4.20

Toulouse

Total

9.90 5.70 4.20

Home

9.50 5.50 4.00

Away

9.90 4.90 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-147

Marseille Corners

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-116

Toulouse Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-270

X

+700

2

+265

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Marseille vs Toulouse Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites are 64% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Marseille being priced at -179 to come away with a victory in this Ligue 1 encounter. For those wanting to back Toulouse, you will find +460 about this outsider.

One way of getting with Marseille is taking them at -105 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’re successful if they beat Toulouse by two goals and get money back if the margin is just one.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -128.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Ligue 1 matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-179

X

+310

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+102

X

+145

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-476

X2

+128

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+290

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-105

2 Hcp +1

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-141

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-106

Mason Greenwood is priced at +330 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +112 to find the net anytime.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+112

Anytime

+330

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+135

Anytime

+380

Robinio Vaz (OM)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Matt O'Riley (OM)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Darryl Bakola (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Noah Edjouma (Toulouse)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Angel Gomes (OM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Robinio Vaz (OM)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Matt O'Riley (OM)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Marseille have racked up eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 3.10 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Toulouse have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The previous Stade Vélodrome encounter involved a 3-2 Marseille win against Toulouse. Marseille have secured three wins from the previous 4 H2H games at Stade Vélodrome, with the other result being a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Marseille Home Stats		8-1-1	4.10	3.10	1.00	8	2	5	5
Toulouse Away Stats		3-2-5	2.20	1.00	1.20	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Marseille vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Marseille vs Toulouse team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Olympique Marseille Team Page Toulouse Team Page

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