Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Nov 2025
Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs Toulouse
Marseille host Toulouse at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Saturday 29 November.
There’s a reasonable prospect that three goals or more will be scored when Marseille go up against Toulouse. On this basis, we’ll side with Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market and the odds of -128 are really appealing.
Feeling our Total Goals pick? Have a quick read of our BetMGM review and grab the latest promo code before you place your bet.
Marseille won last time out by a 5-1 scoreline. On the road against Nice at Allianz Riviera, they made it three wins on the spin. The Provence side enjoyed 48% possession and eleven shots on target, with Mason Greenwood able to score two goals.
Four days ago, Marseille triumphed 2-1 at home against Newcastle United in the Champions League.
Toulouse were beaten 1-0 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Angers at Stadium Municipal. Le TéFéCé had the lion’s share of the ball recording 54% possession and six shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Marseille have claimed back-to-back victories over Toulouse. On home soil at Stade Vélodrome, the scoreline was 3-2 following a 3-1 away win at Stadium Municipal. The past 9 H2H matches have included seven Marseille wins along with two draws.
| Ligue 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marseille |
13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 33:12 | 28 |
| 10 | Toulouse |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 18:17 | 16 |
Marseille have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.7 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. OM have averaged 59.2% possession, 600.9 passes and 4.9 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 3.5 corners.
Mason Greenwood is the top scorer with 9 goals, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Angel Gomes and Robinio Vaz each have 3. Leading assistor is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang with 4, while goalies Geronimo Rulli and Jeffrey De Lange have 5 clean sheets between them.
Toulouse have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Carles Martinez's team have averaged 45.3% possession, 365.4 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.
Aron Doennum is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Charlie Cresswell, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri and Emersonn have 2. Yann Gboho and Aron Doennum have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Guillaume Restes has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey De Lange (GK), Timothy Weah, Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Emerson, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Arthur Vermeeren, Mason Greenwood, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Toulouse predicted lineup (4-4-2): Guillaume Restes (GK), Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Aron Doennum, Cristian Casseres Jr., Alexis Vossah, Dayann Methalie, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri, Emersonn.
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Marseille vs Toulouse tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
We can see plenty of goals being scored when it comes to this Ligue 1 encounter. On this basis, betting on Over 2.5 Goals looks the way forward, especially at appealing odds of -128.
The latest Ligue 1 injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
Key Marseille vs Toulouse league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
In the quest for a larger price, then consider combining Over 2.5 Goals with other picks. This involves going for a Bet Builder and there are some attractive odds on the cards.
Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Marseille. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Angel Gomes (OM) has racked up two goals in his past four Ligue 1 matches on home soil. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +575.
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Corners Prediction
The 8.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four straight Toulouse matches, with the previous five Marseille games averaging 9.20 corners. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Total Corners line is covered at -147.
Marseille
Toulouse
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: three or more goals to be registered, Marseille to claim a victory along with more than 8.5 corners to be taken.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Marseille vs Toulouse Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The favourites are 65% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Marseille being priced at -182 to come away with a victory in this Ligue 1 encounter. For those wanting to back Toulouse, you will find +460 about this outsider.
One way of getting with Marseille is taking them at -104 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’re successful if they beat Toulouse by two goals and get money back if the margin is just one.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Ligue 1 matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Mason Greenwood is priced at +330 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +115 to find the net anytime.
Marseille have racked up eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 3.10 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Toulouse have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
The previous Stade Vélodrome encounter involved a 3-2 Marseille win against Toulouse. Marseille have secured three wins from the previous 4 H2H games at Stade Vélodrome, with the other result being a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marseille Home Stats |
8-1-1 | 4.10 | 3.10 | 1.00 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 5 | |
Toulouse Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Ligue 1: 06/04 2025 Marseille 3 Toulouse 2
- Ligue 1: 31/08 2024 Toulouse 1 Marseille 3
- Ligue 1: 21/04 2024 Toulouse 2 Marseille 2
- Ligue 1: 17/09 2023 Marseille 0 Toulouse 0
- Ligue 1: 19/02 2023 Toulouse 2 Marseille 3
- Ligue 1: 29/12 2022 Marseille 6 Toulouse 1
- Ligue 1: 08/02 2020 Marseille 1 Toulouse 0
- Ligue 1: 24/11 2019 Toulouse 0 Marseille 2
- Ligue 1: 18/05 2019 Toulouse 2 Marseille 5
Marseille League Stats
Toulouse League Stats
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 2.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 45.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Marseille this season are Mason Greenwood (10), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5), Robinio Vaz (4)
- Top Assistors for Marseille this season are Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (4), Bilal Nadir (3), Mason Greenwood (3)
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Marseille vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Marseille vs Toulouse team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Marseille Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Toulouse Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Marseille Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Toulouse Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Marseille Lineups
Previous Toulouse Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Ligue 1 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27:11 | 30 |
| 2 | Marseille | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Lens | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 4 | Lille | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 27:17 | 23 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Rennes | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23:18 | 21 |
| 7 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 21 |
| 8 | Monaco | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25:25 | 20 |
| 9 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:23 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Angers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | 14 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Brest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Nantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 17 | Metz | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | 11 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7:19 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Marseille | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 4 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Nice | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Lyon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Angers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 16 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 7 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 18 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 5 |
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