Metz vs Brest Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Metz vs Brest

Bottom-of-the-table Metz go head-to-head with Brest at Stade Saint-Symphorien, with kick-off set for 11:15 on Sunday 1 March.

There’s a value bet when it comes to backing Brest who are trading at a price of +112. You can squeeze plenty of juice from the odds when it comes to this Full-Time Result pick and the visitors can defeat Metz.

Metz have lost back-to-back Ligue 1 games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 3-0 defeat against Paris Saint-Germain at Parc des Princes. The Lorraine side had just 33% possession and didn’t record a single shot on target.

Brest claimed a 2-0 home victory over Marseille at Stade Francis-Le Blé in their previous game. Les Pirates were restricted to just 32% possession and managed four shots on goal, with Ludovic Ajorque netting twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brest have enjoyed four successive victories against Metz. In the last encounter, home team Brest claimed a 3-2 win at Stade Francis-Le Blé. The previous 8 matches featuring these teams have led to six Brest victories and two Metz wins.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Brest	23	8	6	9	31	34	-3	31:34	30
18	Metz	23	3	4	16	22	52	-30	22:52	13

View Full Table

8 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts. Metz have had 48.2% possession, 458.6 passes and 3.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.2 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Gauthier Hein has found the net 2 times, with Nathan Mbala, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Koffi Kouao and Sadibou Sane scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Gauthier Hein with 2, while goalie Jonathan Fischer has recorded one clean sheet.

Brest have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 4.1 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 1.4 goals. Eric Roy's team average 40.2% possession, 353.7 passes, 3.5 corners taken and 5.4 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 12.9 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Ludovic Ajorque has scored 4, followed by Remy Lascary, Romain Del Castillo and Kamory Doumbia with 2 goals apiece. Ludovic Ajorque has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Gregoire Coudert has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Metz predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Terry Yegbe, Fode Ballo-Toure, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Lucas Michal, Alpha Toure, Boubacar Traore, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

Brest predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gregoire Coudert (GK), Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Michel Diaz, Daouda Guindo, Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, Romain Del Castillo, Kamory Doumbia, Eric Ebimbe, Ludovic Ajorque.

Metz vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips

This Metz vs Brest betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Brest look like a quality wager and we’re expecting them to land the honours. There is a price of +112 that they win this Ligue 1 encounter and this selection looks like value.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Ligue 1 form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Metz vs Brest league stats:

• Metz have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Metz have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Metz have lost their last 2 games.
• Metz have lost their last 4 games against Brest.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 47.2% chance of delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 50-55%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bettors who are interested in backing Brest at bigger odds can pair this pick with another selection on the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets.

Start strong with your bet. Explore our curated list of betting offers, free bets, sign-up promos and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Brest To Win @ +112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 17:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Metz 0 - 1 Brest

Our prediction for the correct score is Brest to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +600. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe Over 1.5 Shots +116

Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe (Brest) has fired over 1.5 shots in back-to-back Ligue 1 matches. We are in favour of betting the +116 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.

Latest Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

---

Ludovic Ajorque to Score +165

Ludovic Ajorque (Brest) has managed three goals in his past five Ligue 1 matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +165 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Ludovic Ajorque Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+430

Shots

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -143

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four consecutive Metz matches, with the last ten Brest games averaging 8.90 corners. We think the teams might end up being short on this front, with odds of -143 on offer when it comes to this Total Corners selection.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Metz

Total

7.40 3.30 4.10

Home

8.20 4.10 4.10

Away

8.40 3.30 5.10

Brest

Total

8.90 3.50 5.40

Home

9.70 5.60 4.10

Away

9.90 2.30 7.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-143

Metz Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+115

Brest Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-104

Most Corners

1

+138

X

+600

2

-132

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Metz vs Brest Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookies giving them a 47% probability of winning, Brest might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are +112 when it comes to triumphing in this Ligue 1 clash. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +230 for Metz.

There are different betting angles when backing Brest including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -119 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Metz.

If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get similar odds on Under or Over 2.5 Goals. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -154.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+245

2

+112

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+117

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-152

12

-357

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-189

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-105

2 Hcp -0.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-109

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+114

Favourite Ludovic Ajorque is now available at +430 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Ludovic Ajorque (Brest)

First

+165

Anytime

+430

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Romain Del Castillo (Brest)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Remy Labeau Lascary (Brest)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Kamory Doumbia (Brest)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe (Brest)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Pathé Mboup (Brest)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Lucas Michal (Metz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Kenny Lala (Brest)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Lucas Tousart (Brest)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Jessy Deminguet (Metz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Boubacar Traoré (Metz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Joris Chotard (Brest)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ludovic Ajorque (Brest)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Romain Del Castillo (Brest)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Remy Labeau Lascary (Brest)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Kamory Doumbia (Brest)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe (Brest)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Pathé Mboup (Brest)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Michal (Metz)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Kenny Lala (Brest)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Tousart (Brest)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Jessy Deminguet (Metz)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Boubacar Traoré (Metz)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Joris Chotard (Brest)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Metz have not triumphed at Stade Saint-Symphorien in five straight matches. The Lorraine side have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Brest haven’t triumphed in four straight games on the road. Les Pirates have clocked up five losses, three draws and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

Brest were 1-0 victors against Metz last time out at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Brest boast a 100% win record for the past 3 H2H meetings at Stade Saint-Symphorien.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Metz Home Stats		2-3-5	2.70	1.00	1.70	5	5	5	5
Brest Away Stats		2-3-5	3.20	1.30	1.90	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Metz vs Brest Lineups & Team News

Always review the Metz vs Brest team news before locking in your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Metz Team Page Stade Brestois 29 Team Page

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