Metz vs Marseille Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Metz vs Marseille

Metz host Marseille in this French Ligue 1 meeting at Stade Saint-Symphorien, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Side With Metz and a Goals Start

Metz +1 on the Asian Handicap could be the order of the day. We can back them at +102 against Marseille and benefit if the underdogs draw or win, while there’s stake back if they only lose by a single goal.

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1-1 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Metz drew their last game 0-0 at home, with the action taking place at Stade Saint-Symphorien against Le Havre. Les Grenats had 52% possession, but were unable to record a shot on target.

Marseille have won three on the bounce, triumphing 2-1 in their previous game. This was away to Strasbourg at Stade de la Meinau. Roberto De Zerbi's side enjoyed 60% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Amir Murillo were on the scoresheet.

On Tuesday night, Marseille triumphed 4-0 at home to Ajax in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Marseille have not lost to Metz in the past seven meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Stade Vélodrome. The previous 7 H2H games have featured six draws and one Marseille victory.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Marseille	6	4	0	2	12	5	7	12:5	12
18	Metz	6	0	2	4	5	13	-8	5:13	2

View Full Table

4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 7.7 attempts and 2.2 shots on goal. Metz have had 51.3% possession, 465.5 passes and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.2 goals from 12.3 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal, while earning 5.7 corners.

Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Gauthier Hein, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Boubacar Traore and Sadibou Sane are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. Gauthier Hein is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Jonathan Fischer has kept one clean sheet.

Marseille have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 14.1 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. The Provence club average 56.8% possession, 520.4 passes, 6.3 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

Amine Gouiri has scored 6, followed by Mason Greenwood on 5 and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang with 3. Mason Greenwood has had 5 assists, with Geronimo Rulli and Jeffrey De Lange notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Metz predicted lineup (4-3-3): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Koffi Frank Kouao, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Terry Yegbe, Fode Ballo-Toure, Gauthier Hein, Jessy Deminguet, Boubacar Traoré, Morgan Bokele, Habib Diallo, Cheikh Sabaly.

Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gerónimo Rulli (GK), Amir Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Matt O'Riley, Pierre Emil Højbjerg, Timothy Weah, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri.

Metz vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Metz vs Marseille betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

There’s a case for siding with Metz +1 at odds of +102 for this Ligue 1 match. This Asian Handicap bet looks really attractive based on the latest stats and we’re happy with the line and price for the home team.

The Ligue 1 form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Metz vs Marseille league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Metz in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Metz in 2 consecutive games against OM.

Metz +1 Probability

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 49.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Metz Asian Hcp +1 @ +102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Metz 1 - 1 Marseille

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amine Gouiri to Score +215

Amine Gouiri (OM) has racked up three goals in his past four Ligue 1 away games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +215 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+500

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -139

The three past home games involving Metz have had an average of 7.67 corners, with two consecutive Marseille matches seeing under 9.5 corners. The Total Corners line looks too high and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -139.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Metz

Total

9.83 4.17 5.67

Home

7.67 3.67 4.00

Away

12.00 4.67 7.33

Marseille

Total

9.50 6.30 3.20

Home

8.70 6.60 2.10

Away

9.90 6.80 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-137

Metz Corners

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+125

Marseille Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+310

X

+700

2

-294

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Metz vs Marseille Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving Marseille Plenty of Respect

Marseille are regarded as having a 67% chance of winning this Ligue 1 clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -204. Metz are seen as the most unlikely winner at +510.

Marseille and Metz can be backed at -108 and +450 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +150.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -133 on the BTTS market.

All of the Ligue 1 matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+510

X

+350

2

-204

Half-Time Result

1

+450

X

+150

2

-108

Double Chance

1X

+145

12

-556

X2

-909

Draw No Bet

1

+330

2

-526

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

+102

2 Hcp -1

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-102

Mason Greenwood is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Those interested in Mason Greenwood to find the net anytime are able to get +145. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +380.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+145

Anytime

+380

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+155

Anytime

+380

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+175

Anytime

+430

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Robinio Vaz (OM)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Matt O'Riley (OM)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Darryl Bakola (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Brian Madjo (Metz)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Ibou Sané (Metz)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Angel Gomes (OM)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nayef Aguerd (OM)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ulisses Garcia (OM)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

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Metz vs Marseille Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Metz vs Marseille team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 and the newest injury information.

Metz Team Page Olympique Marseille Team Page