Metz vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Mar 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Metz vs Toulouse

Bottom-of-the-table Metz clash with Toulouse at Stade Saint-Symphorien, with kick-off set for 12:15 on Sunday 15 March.

There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Metz and Toulouse might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -147 look more than fair.

Metz have suffered defeat in their last four games. Most recently, a 3-0 scoreline occurred away at Stade Bollaert-Delelis against Lens. Les Grenats had 48% possession, but were unable to record a shot on target.

Toulouse have been defeated in three consecutive away games. Their previous contest was a 1-0 home loss to Marseille at Stadium Municipal. Carles Martinez's side had 49% possession and recorded two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three wins on the bounce for Toulouse when playing Metz. Their last clash was at Stadium Municipal, with Toulouse claiming a 4-0 home victory. The previous 4 H2H meetings have featured three Toulouse wins and one draw.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Toulouse	25	8	7	10	33	29	4	33:29	31
18	Metz	25	3	4	18	22	56	-34	22:56	13

View Full Table

Metz have 8 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The Lorraine team have averaged 48.3% possession, 457.9 passes and 4.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 2.2 goals from 5.5 shots on goal, 14.0 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Nathan Mbala is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Gauthier Hein is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Jonathan Fischer managing one clean sheet.

Toulouse have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 13.5 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Le TéFéCé average 45.8% possession, 413.4 passes, 5.1 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.

Santiago Hidalgo and Yann Gboho have scored 3, followed by Julian Vignolo with 2. Djibril Sidibe is top assists provider with 2, while Guillaume Restes has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Metz predicted lineup (5-3-2): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Sadibou Sane, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Maxime Colin, Bouna Sarr, Fode Ballo-Toure, Boubacar Traore, Believe Munongo, Alpha Toure, Giorgi Kvilitaia, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

Toulouse predicted lineup (3-4-3): Guillaume Restes (GK), Djibril Sidibe, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mark McKenzie, Warren Kamanzi, Cristian Casseres Jr., Pape Demba Diop, Dayann Methalie, Aron Doennum, Emersonn, Yann Gboho.

Metz vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Metz vs Toulouse with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

The betting sites offer us the opportunity to back our Under 2.5 Goals prediction. The two teams might play out a fairly dull Ligue 1 encounter and odds of -147 stick out on the coupon.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Ligue 1 stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Metz vs Toulouse league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 12 Metz games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Toulouse games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the Under 2.5 Goals selection on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is the other pick that you can include here.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 18:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Metz 0 - 1 Toulouse

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Toulouse at odds of +500. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yann Gboho Over 1.5 Shots -147

Yann Gboho (Toulouse) has covered the 1.5 shots total in four of his past five Ligue 1 matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get -147 that he goes over the line.

Latest Yann Gboho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

---

Pape Diop To Score +290

Pape Diop (Toulouse) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +290. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Pape Diop Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+700

Shots

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Metz Over 3.5 Corners -132

Metz have had a corner average of 5.40 in the past five home games, while Toulouse have conceded an average 4.80 corners in their last ten away matches. If you agree with our verdict that the Metz Team Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -132 that this happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Metz

Total

8.30 4.00 4.30

Home

9.10 4.90 4.20

Away

8.50 3.20 5.30

Toulouse

Total

9.50 5.10 4.40

Home

10.00 6.20 3.80

Away

8.90 4.10 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-147

Metz Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-100

Toulouse Corners

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+105

Most Corners

1

+160

X

+600

2

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Metz vs Toulouse Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Toulouse as -102 favourites for this Ligue 1 encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 51% likely to triumph. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +280 for Metz.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Toulouse are -102, although Metz are +0.5 at -122 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Ligue 1 game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+280

X

+235

2

-102

Half-Time Result

1

+320

X

+108

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-133

12

-345

X2

-417

Draw No Bet

1

+160

2

-238

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-122

2 Hcp -0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-118

Julián Vignolo can be backed to find the net anytime at +220. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +525.

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+220

Anytime

+540

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Joel Asoro (Metz)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Cristian Cásseres (Toulouse)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Djibril Sidibé (Toulouse)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Boubacar Traoré (Metz)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Bouna Sarr (Metz)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Cásseres (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Boubacar Traoré (Metz)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Bouna Sarr (Metz)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Metz haven’t triumphed in six straight games at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Les Grenats have managed six losses, two victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

It’s now been three straight Toulouse defeats on the road. Carles Martinez's side have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Toulouse beat Metz 1-0 when the teams last met at Stade Saint-Symphorien.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Metz Home Stats		2-2-6	2.60	0.90	1.70	5	5	4	6
Toulouse Away Stats		3-2-5	2.10	1.10	1.00	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Metz vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News

The Metz vs Toulouse team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with the latest injury news.

Metz Team Page Toulouse Team Page

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