Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Middlesbrough vs Southampton

Middlesbrough go head-to-head with Southampton at Riverside Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 4 January.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Southampton +0.25 at -112 against Middlesbrough. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

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Middlesbrough lost on the road in their last Championship game, making it back-to-back league defeats. Derby County won 1-0 at Pride Park. The Boro dominated possession with 68% of the ball and recorded five shots on target.

Southampton played Millwall at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at St. Mary's. The South Coast club dominated possession with 67% of the ball and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough haven’t lost to Southampton in their past three matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at St. Mary's. The past 3 H2H matches have involved two draws and one Middlesbrough win.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Middlesbrough	25	12	7	6	33	26	7	33:26	43
14	Southampton	25	8	9	8	38	34	4	38:34	33

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 17.2 attempts. Middlesbrough have had 66.7% possession and 8.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.6 corners.

Morgan Whittaker leads the way with 6 goals, with David Strelec and Riley McGree getting 2 apiece. Hayden Hackney is the top assists maker on 3.

Southampton have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 5.8 shots on goal, 15.5 attempts and 2.0 goals. The Saints average 59.7% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 15.2 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Adam Armstrong is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Finn Azaz is on 5 and Taylor Harwood-Bellis on 3. Leo Scienza and Adam Armstrong have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Middlesbrough predicted lineup (4-4-2): Solomon Brynn (GK), Callum Brittain, Luke Ayling, Matthew Targett, Alex Bangura, Aidan Morris, Morgan Whittaker, Hayden Hackney, Delano Burgzorg, Kaly Sene, Tommy Conway.

Southampton predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Jack Stephens, Elias Jelert, Flynn Downes, Cameron Bragg, Ryan Manning, Léo Scienza, Cameron Archer, Kuryu Matsuki.

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Middlesbrough vs Southampton betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Southampton have a good chance of winning this Championship clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -112 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Championship data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Middlesbrough vs Southampton league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Southampton in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Southampton in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Southampton in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 2 consecutive games against Southampton.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 52.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Southampton to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.

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Our Match Prediction

Southampton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Southampton

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Southampton which is available at odds of +850. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tommy Conway Over 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) can be wagered to register at least one shot on goal at -161. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.

Latest Tommy Conway Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

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Ryan Manning to Score +700

Ryan Manning (Southampton) has registered two goals in his past five Championship games away from home. There are odds of +700 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Ryan Manning Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

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Corners Prediction

Southampton Over 4.5 Corners -120

Southampton have covered the 4.5 corners line in five straight games. If you agree with our verdict that the Southampton Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of -120 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Middlesbrough

Total

11.60 8.00 3.60

Home

10.90 5.90 5.00

Away

10.20 6.90 3.30

Southampton

Total

11.30 6.00 5.30

Home

10.90 6.30 4.60

Away

9.80 4.60 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-103

Under 10.5

-137

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-137

Southampton Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-118

Most Corners

1

-133

X

+650

2

+132

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Middlesbrough vs Southampton Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Middlesbrough are regarded as having a 46% chance of winning this Championship clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +117. Southampton are regarded as the least likely winner at +215.

Should you want to back Middlesbrough to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -179 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Southampton have been chalked up at +123.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -175 on the BTTS market.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Championship games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+250

2

+215

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+135

2

+240

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-357

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-115

2 Hcp +0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-175

No

+125

Favourite Morgan Whittaker is priced at +550 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +200.

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Damion Downs (Southampton)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Shea Charles (Southampton)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen (Southampton)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-100

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-108

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-133

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Damion Downs (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-179

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-167

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-200

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-189

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-208

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-244

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Middlesbrough have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Southampton are winless in the last four away games. The South Coast club have managed five losses, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Middlesbrough beat Southampton 2-1 when they last met at Riverside Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Middlesbrough Home Stats		5-3-2	2.50	1.40	1.10	6	4	7	3
Southampton Away Stats		3-2-5	3.40	1.70	1.70	8	2	10	0

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Middlesbrough vs Southampton Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Middlesbrough vs Southampton team news beforehand. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Championship lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Middlesbrough Team Page Southampton Team Page

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