Millwall vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2024
Lions Look a Great Bet to Land Victory
There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Millwall record a victory and they are priced at -105 to beat Derby. We think that the Full-Time Result market offers bettors plenty of value.
Millwall Claimed 2-1 Victory in Last H2H
Millwall played out a 0-0 draw in their last game. This was away from home at The Hawthorns against West Bromwich Albion. The South London side recorded just 17% possession and had four shots on target.
Derby County have lost four straight road games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 2-0 home win over Queens Park Rangers at Pride Park. The Rams were 52% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, with Curtis Nelson and Marcus Harness both on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 2-1 win for Millwall at Pride Park when they last played Derby. In the past 7 H2H meetings, there has been one draw. Millwall have won four games and Derby two.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Millwall have had 39.6% possession and 5.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.2 corners.
Duncan Watmore leads the way with 5 goals, Romain Esse has 2, with George Honeyman and two others on 1. The leading assistors are Macaulay Langstaff and George Honeyman with 2.
Derby County – Last 9 League GamesDerby have won 4 and lost 5, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 41.1% possession, 5.8 corners taken and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.
We’ve seen Curtis Nelson, Kenzo Goudmijn and Kayden Jackson score 2 goals each. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has had 3 assists in the previous 9 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Millwall confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lukas Bornhoeft Jensen (GK), Ryan Leonard, Japhet Tanganga, Jake Cooper, Joe Bryan, Casper de Norre, George Saville, Romain Esse, George Honeyman, Duncan Watmore, Macaulay Langstaff.
Derby confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Ryan Nyambe, Curtis Nelson, Eiran Cashin, Craig Forsyth, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ebou Adams, Marcus Harness, Kayden Jackson, Jerry Yates, Corey Blackett-Taylor.
Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Millwall look a great bet for this Championship game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -105 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.
Football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.
Key Millwall vs Derby league stats:
Millwall to Win Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are some different ways to back Millwall if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Millwall at odds of +480. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Millwall vs Derby Odds
The Millwall betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -105 favourites to land victory in this Championship encounter which means a 51% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +320 about Derby County.
A low-scoring game will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds.
The Draw No Bet market is popular for Championship matches, with the football betting sites offering Millwall at -275 and Derby County are priced at +200 for the win.







- Championship: 23/02 2022 Derby 1 Millwall 2
- Championship: 06/11 2021 Millwall 1 Derby 1
- Championship: 13/03 2021 Derby 0 Millwall 1
- Championship: 05/12 2020 Millwall 0 Derby 1
- Championship: 20/06 2020 Millwall 2 Derby 3
- Championship: 14/12 2019 Derby 0 Millwall 1
- Championship: 20/02 2019 Derby 0 Millwall 1


- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.78 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 5.25 corners awarded and 4.25 corners against in the last 4 away matches
- An average of 11.78 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 4 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 2 of the last 4 away matches
- An average of 39.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 41.11% possession in the last 9 matches
- An average of 43.25% possession in the last 4 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 9 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 4 away matches
- Top Scorers for Millwall this season are Duncan Watmore (5), Romain Esse (2), George Honeyman (1)
- Top Assistors for Millwall this season are George Honeyman (2), Macaulay Langstaff (2), Casper de Norre (1)
Millwall vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Our Millwall vs Derby team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Championship squads.
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Millwall Substitutes
- 2Dan McNamara
- 3Murray Wallace
- 11Femi Azeez
- 13Liam Roberts
- 14Ryan Wintle
- 16Daniel Kelly
- 26Mihailo Ivanovic
- 44Alfie Massey
- 45Wes Harding
Derby Substitutes
- 2Kane Wilson
- 5Sonny Bradley
- 8Ben Osborn
- 9James Collins
- 11N. Mendez-Laing
- 12Nathaniel Phillips
- 20Callum Elder
- 31Josh Vickers
- 39Dajaune Brown
Previous Millwall Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |














