Millwall vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Mar 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Millwall vs Derby

Third-placed Millwall welcome seventh-placed Derby to The Den, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Tuesday 10 March.

There’s an opportunity to bet on BTTS Yes when it comes to this Millwall vs Derby contest. The odds of -135 are really attractive and we anticipate that the teams will be among the goals.

Millwall have got the win in their last three games. Most recently, a 3-1 victory occurred on the road when meeting Hull City at MKM Stadium. Alex Neil's side managed four shots on target and had 44% possession, while Jake Cooper, Mihailo Ivanovic and Josh Coburn scored one goal apiece.

Derby County claimed a home win in their previous Championship match. A 2-1 triumph against Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park made it back-to-back league victories. The Rams boasted 55% possession and had four shots on goal, with Ben Brereton Diaz and Matthew Clarke both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Millwall have not lost to Derby in the past six meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in five Millwall victories, three draws and two Derby wins.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Millwall	37	20	8	9	51	41	10	51:41	68
7	Derby	37	15	9	13	54	48	6	54:48	54

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Millwall have had 49.4% possession and 5.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.

Mihailo Ivanovic and Josh Coburn lead the way with 3 goals, while Jake Cooper has scored 2. Femi Azeez is the leading assists maker with 5.

Derby have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.9 goals from 12.4 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. The East Midlands outfit average 47.7% possession, 3.4 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 11.4 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Rhian Brewster and Patrick Agyemang have top scored with 4 goals, while Ben Brereton Diaz is next on 3. Look no further than Ben Brereton Diaz for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Millwall confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Anthony Patterson (GK), Dan McNamara, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Femi Azeez, Barry Bannan, Billy Mitchell, Camiel Neghli, Mihailo Ivanovic, Josh Coburn.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Josh Vickers (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Derry Murkin, David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton Diaz, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Millwall vs Derby betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

It’s likely that we’ll see the two teams finding the net and that leads us to bet BTTS Yes for this Championship showdown. This betting selection is priced at -135 and can be backed with confidence.

Sportsgambler.com boast Championship expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Millwall vs Derby league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Millwall games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Millwall games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Derby games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Derby games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Derby games.

According to the odds, there’s a 57.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you want more juice from your BTTS Yes price, the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market provides the chance to land bigger odds by combining this pick with Over 2.5 Goals.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -135 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 8, 21:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Millwall 2 - 1 Derby

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves the Lions winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Femi Azeez to Score +200

Femi Azeez (Millwall) has netted three goals in his past eight Championship home matches. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +200.

Latest Femi Azeez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+205

First

+500

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -116

All of the past nine Derby games have seen the 10.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the last two  Millwall matches. We’re happy to back the -116 when it comes to the teams falling short of the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Millwall

Total

9.80 5.50 4.30

Home

10.90 6.20 4.70

Away

10.10 5.00 5.10

Derby

Total

7.60 3.40 4.20

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

8.70 3.60 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-133

Millwall Corners

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

-105

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+700

2

+185

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Millwall vs Derby Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of -106 suggest that Millwall are likely victors and there’s a 52% probability that the favourites win this Championship clash. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +290 for Derby County.

You can choose Millwall -0.5 or Derby +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -109 and -119. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -127.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Championship match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-106

X

+240

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+114

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-357

X2

-127

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-109

2 Hcp +0.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-109

There is +190 available that Mihailo Ivanović finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +480.

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

William Smallbone (Millwall)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Thomas Watson (Millwall)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Barry Bannan (Millwall)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Raees Bangura-Williams (Millwall)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Luke Cundle (Millwall)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Millwall have six wins, two draws and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Derby have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Millwall were involved in a 1-1 draw when last meeting Derby at The Den. There have been two draws in the past 4 H2H meetings at The Den along with two Derby wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Millwall Home Stats		6-2-2	2.90	1.80	1.10	7	3	6	4
Derby Away Stats		5-1-4	3.10	1.80	1.30	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Millwall vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Millwall vs Derby team news before you bet. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Championship lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Millwall Team Page Derby County Team Page

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