Millwall vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall host Stoke in this Championship fixture at The Den, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 21 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Potters Should Be Able to Cover the Line

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Stoke +0.25 at -122 against Millwall. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

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Millwall Won Previous H2H Clash

Millwall won their previous league game 2-1. This away victory at Loftus Road against Queens Park Rangers was their second Championship win on the spin. The South London club had 43% possession and five shots on target, with Femi Azeez and Mihailo Ivanovic scoring one goal each.

Stoke City won their previous game, beating Wrexham at home. It was a 1-0 win at bet365 Stadium. Mark Robins' side had three shots on goal and recorded 56% possession, with Sorba Thomas firing the winner in the 36th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Millwall haven’t lost to Stoke in their past six games. Their last encounter was at The Den, with Millwall claiming a 1-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with six Millwall wins, one Stoke victory and three draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Stoke	10	5	3	2	12	6	6	12:6	18
6	Millwall	10	5	2	3	11	13	-2	11:13	17

View Full Table

Millwall have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. Alex Neil's team have averaged 46.9% possession and 4.8 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 5.5 corners from 12.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Femi Azeez and Camiel Neghli are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Mihailo Ivanovic has 1. Femi Azeez, Billy Mitchell and Thierno Ballo have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Stoke have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.7 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Potters average 52.2% possession, 6.4 corners in their favour and 4.3 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Sorba Thomas is the leading goalscorer with 4, Million Manhoef has 3, with Lewis Baker and Divin Mubama getting 2. Look no further than Sorba Thomas for the top assist maker (4) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Millwall predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Steven Benda (GK), Ryan Leonard, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Casper De Norre, Billy Mitchell, Femi Azeez, Will Smallbone, Thierno Ballo, Mihailo Ivanovic.

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ben Wilmot, Ashley Phillips, Aaron Cresswell, Tomas Rigo, Tatsuki Seko, Million Manhoef, Lewis Baker, Sorba Thomas, Divin Mubama.

Millwall vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Millwall vs Stoke with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Stoke look a quality wager for this Championship encounter and we can bet the away team at -122 with a +0.25 goal handicap. The latest numbers imply that they can swerve defeat and claim a victory.

Our job is to consult the latest Championship team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Millwall vs Stoke league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Millwall in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Millwall in 11 of their last 20 games at home.

Stoke +0.25 Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Stoke Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Millwall 0 - 1 Stoke

Stoke are available to back at +575 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sorba Thomas to Score +500

Sorba Thomas (Stoke) has scored four goals in his past ten Championship games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +500 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Sorba Thomas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1000

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Corners Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners -133

The 11.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in seven straight Millwall matches, with the previous ten Stoke away games averaging 10.10 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -133 for this Total Corners wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Millwall

Total

10.30 4.80 5.50

Home

10.20 5.40 4.80

Away

10.80 4.10 6.70

Stoke

Total

10.70 6.40 4.30

Home

8.80 5.40 3.40

Away

10.10 5.20 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Millwall Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-182

X

+650

2

+175

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Millwall vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Expecting Close Encounter

With a 44% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Millwall are favourites to prosper in this Championship encounter and they’re available at +125 with the bookies. For those wanting to back Stoke City, you will find +215 about this outsider.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Stoke are +118 here. However, if you want to back favourites Millwall, then -172 is on offer.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

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Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+230

2

+215

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+110

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-357

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-172

2

+118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-112

2 Hcp +0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-122

Femi Azeez Heads First Goalscorer Market

Femi Azeez is priced at +450 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +210 to find the net anytime.

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

First

+210

Anytime

+450

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

William Smallbone (Millwall)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Massimo Luongo (Millwall)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Joe Bryan (Millwall)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Ben Pearson (Stoke)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Past Four H2H The Den Meetings Won by Millwall

Millwall have collected seven victories and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Stoke are winless over their previous three games on their travels. Mark Robins' side have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Millwall beat Stoke 1-0 when the teams last met at The Den. The previous 7 H2H meetings at The Den have featured five Millwall victories and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Millwall Home Stats		7-0-3	2.50	1.30	1.20	6	4	3	7
Stoke Away Stats		3-4-3	1.90	0.80	1.10	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Millwall vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Check the Millwall vs Stoke team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Millwall Team Page Stoke City Team Page