Millwall vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall host Stoke in this Championship fixture at The Den, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 21 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Stoke +0.25 at -122 against Millwall. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

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Millwall won their previous league game 2-1. This away victory at Loftus Road against Queens Park Rangers was their second Championship win on the spin. The South London club had 43% possession and five shots on target, with Femi Azeez and Mihailo Ivanovic scoring one goal each.

Stoke City won their previous game, beating Wrexham at home. It was a 1-0 win at bet365 Stadium. Mark Robins' side had three shots on goal and recorded 56% possession, with Sorba Thomas firing the winner in the 36th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Millwall haven’t lost to Stoke in their past six games. Their last encounter was at The Den, with Millwall claiming a 1-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with six Millwall wins, one Stoke victory and three draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Millwall	18	9	4	5	22	25	-3	22:25	31
4	Stoke	18	9	3	6	26	14	12	26:14	30

View Full Table

Millwall have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. Alex Neil's team have averaged 46.9% possession and 4.8 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 5.5 corners from 12.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Femi Azeez and Camiel Neghli are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Mihailo Ivanovic has 1. Femi Azeez, Billy Mitchell and Thierno Ballo have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Stoke have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.7 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Potters average 52.2% possession, 6.4 corners in their favour and 4.3 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Sorba Thomas is the leading goalscorer with 4, Million Manhoef has 3, with Lewis Baker and Divin Mubama getting 2. Look no further than Sorba Thomas for the top assist maker (4) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Millwall confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Max Crocombe (GK), Ryan Leonard, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Derek Mazou-Sacko, Casper de Norre, Femi Azeez, William Smallbone, Thierno Ballo, Mihailo Ivanovic.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Eric Bocat, Tatsuki Seko, Steven Nzonzi, Lamine Cisse, Tomas Rigo, Sorba Thomas, Robert Bozenik.

Millwall vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Millwall vs Stoke with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Stoke look a quality wager for this Championship encounter and we can bet the away team at -122 with a +0.25 goal handicap. The latest numbers imply that they can swerve defeat and claim a victory.

Our job is to consult the latest Championship team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Millwall vs Stoke league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Millwall in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Millwall in 11 of their last 20 games at home.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Stoke Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -122 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Millwall 0 - 1 Stoke

Stoke are available to back at +550 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Thierno Ballo Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Thierno Ballo (Millwall) is available at -147 to finish without a shot on goal. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Thierno Ballo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-143

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Sorba Thomas to Score +525

Sorba Thomas (Stoke) has registered four goals in his past ten Championship games. There are odds of +525 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Sorba Thomas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

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Corners Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners -133

The 11.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in seven straight Millwall matches, with the previous ten Stoke away games averaging 10.10 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -133 for this Total Corners wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Millwall

Total

10.30 4.80 5.50

Home

10.20 5.40 4.80

Away

10.80 4.10 6.70

Stoke

Total

10.70 6.40 4.30

Home

8.80 5.40 3.40

Away

10.10 5.20 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Millwall Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+650

2

+160

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Millwall vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The draw is available at +225 if you believe that this Championship clash will finish level, with Millwall at +140 and Stoke City chalked up at +195 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Stoke are +105 here. However, if you want to back favourites Millwall, then -147 is on offer.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -130.

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Full-Time Result

1

+140

X

+225

2

+195

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+107

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-345

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-147

2

+105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-100

2 Hcp +0.25

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-159

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-108

No

-130

Femi Azeez is priced at +450 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +230 to find the net anytime.

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

First

+230

Anytime

+450

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

William Smallbone (Millwall)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Massimo Luongo (Millwall)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Joe Bryan (Millwall)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Ben Pearson (Stoke)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-112

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-143

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-185

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-213

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

William Smallbone (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1000

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-833

Ben Pearson (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+440

Under 0.5

-1250

Millwall have collected seven victories and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Stoke are winless over their previous three games on their travels. Mark Robins' side have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Millwall beat Stoke 1-0 when the teams last met at The Den. The previous 7 H2H meetings at The Den have featured five Millwall victories and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Millwall Home Stats		7-0-3	2.50	1.30	1.20	6	4	3	7
Stoke Away Stats		3-4-3	1.90	0.80	1.10	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Millwall vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Check the Millwall vs Stoke team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Millwall Team Page Stoke City Team Page

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