Millwall vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Sep 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Millwall vs Watford

Millwall host Watford in this Championship clash at The Den, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 22 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

A Low-Scoring Encounter Could Be On the Cards

There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Millwall and Watford might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -152 look more than fair.

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Millwall Won When They Last Played Watford

Millwall drew away from home in their last Championship game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Charlton Athletic at The Valley. Alex Neil's team enjoyed 64% possession and managed three shots on target, with Raees Bangura-Williams being the goalscorer.

On Tuesday night, Millwall suffered a penalty shoot-out defeat (1-1 after 90 mins) when visiting Crystal Palace in the EFL Cup.

Watford lost when last in action. In a home game at Vicarage Road, they were beaten 1-0 by Blackburn Rovers. The Hornets had 51% of possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The two teams last clashed at Vicarage Road, with Millwall recording the away victory. Overcoming Watford by a 2-1 scoreline. There have been four Millwall victories, two draws and two Watford wins in the previous 8 H2H games.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Millwall	14	7	3	4	16	19	-3	16:19	24
12	Watford	14	5	4	5	18	17	1	18:17	19

View Full Table

Millwall have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Alex Neil's team have averaged 43.9% possession and 4.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 10.6 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Mihailo Ivanovic has found the net 4 times, Camiel Neghli 2, with Raees Bangura-Williams and two other players on 1. The leading assistor is George Saville with 2.

Watford have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.2 shots on goal, 9.9 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Hornets average 49.2% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 10.8 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Nestory Irankunda, Luca Kjerrumgaard and Moussa Sissoko score 2 goals each. Imran Louza has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Millwall confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Steven Benda (GK), Ryan Leonard, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Joe Bryan, Camiel Neghli, Massimo Luongo, Derek Mazou-Sacko, Aidomo Emakhu, Thierno Ballo, Josh Coburn.

Watford confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Egil Selvik (GK), Max Alleyne, Kevin Keben, Matthew Pollock, Formose Mendy, Nampalys Mendy, Imran Louza, Hector Kyprianou, Marc Bola, Vivaldo Semedo, Nestory Irankunda.

Millwall vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Millwall vs Watford tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

We don’t expect the teams to serve up too much excitement, with Under 2.5 Goals on the cards for this Championship game. This selection provides attractive betting odds of -152.

The Championship experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Millwall vs Watford league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Millwall games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Millwall games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Millwall games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Watford games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Watford games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 60.2% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Millwall 1 - 0 Watford

Let’s go for Millwall to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +510. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard Over 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford) can be wagered to register one or more shots on goal at -164. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-108

Shots

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

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Camiel Neghli to Score +430

Camiel Neghli (Millwall) has registered two goals in his past six Championship games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +430.

Latest Camiel Neghli Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-192

Shots

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -125

Each of the past ten Watford games have involved the 10.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with the previous two  Millwall matches having the same outcome. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Millwall

Total

10.70 4.80 5.90

Home

10.60 5.10 5.50

Away

11.00 4.20 6.80

Watford

Total

8.00 4.00 4.00

Home

9.90 5.80 4.10

Away

8.70 3.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-127

Millwall Corners

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-114

Watford Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-149

X

+700

2

+165

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Millwall vs Watford Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Millwall Have the Shortest Odds to Win

For this Championship encounter, the bookmakers have Millwall as the -100 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 50% chance of triumphing. The +280 means that Watford are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There are two Asian Handicap options and they are Millwall -0.5 at -100 or alternatively Watford +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -123.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -132.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Championship game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-100

X

+235

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+105

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-333

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-227

2

+163

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-100

2 Hcp +0.5

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-159

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-132

Mihailo Ivanović Favourite to Score the First Goal

Mihailo Ivanović is the market leader at +450 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

First

+215

Anytime

+450

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

First

+250

Anytime

+500

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Rocco Vata (Watford)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Luke Cundle (Millwall)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Massimo Luongo (Millwall)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Joe Bryan (Millwall)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Hector Kyprianou (Watford)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+145

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-106

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-100

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-108

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-123

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-154

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-192

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Rocco Vata (Watford)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Imran Louza (Watford)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Luke Cundle (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-476

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Massimo Luongo (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Joe Bryan (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Hector Kyprianou (Watford)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1429

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

Thierno Ballo (Millwall)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Camiel Neghli (Millwall)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Imran Louza (Watford)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Jake Cooper (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Massimo Luongo (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Joe Bryan (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Six Millwall Triumphs From Their Past Ten Home Clashes

Millwall have six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Watford have not won in the past eight away matches. Paulo Pezzolano's side have six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Watford won 3-2 when they last played Millwall at The Den. The past 4 H2H meetings at The Den have involved two Millwall victories, a single draw and one Watford win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Millwall Home Stats		6-1-3	2.20	1.10	1.10	4	6	4	6
Watford Away Stats		1-3-6	1.90	0.70	1.20	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Millwall vs Watford Lineups & Team News

Always review the Millwall vs Watford team news before locking in your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Millwall Team Page Watford Team Page